The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Juarez a 44% win probability (draw 22%, Tigres UANL 32%). The final result was FC Juarez 2–1 Tigres UANL. In 2 previous meetings, FC Juarez have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Tigres UANL.
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
4
0.84
Actual xG
0.54
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
44.35%
FC ←
22.97%
X
32.67%
Tigres
we assigned to the actual result (FC Juarez)
44.35%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.90
0.84
-1.06
1.37
0.54
-0.83
xG dominance was balanced (0.84 – 0.54).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL?
The final score was FC Juarez 2–1 Tigres UANL.
What did the model predict before FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL?
The model assigned 44% probability to a FC Juarez win, 22% to a draw, and 32% to an Tigres UANL win.