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FC Krasnodar - Akhmat

Cup August 05, 2026 19:45
FC Krasnodar
vs
Akhmat
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.55%
Win
FC Krasnodar
29.37%
Draw
30.08%
Win
Akhmat
1.77
Expected xG
1.53

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.28%)
1X2 Result
1 41%
X 29%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 60%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 69%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Krasnodar a 40% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Akhmat. Expected goals are 1.8 for FC Krasnodar and 1.5 for Akhmat (total 3.3), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.28% probability. In 2 previous meetings, FC Krasnodar have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Akhmat.

Season Stats

FC Krasnodar
7W 4D 2L
Akhmat
1W 1D 4L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
1.3
0.8
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
77%
O 1.5
83%
69%
O 2.5
67%
46%
BTTS
67%
54%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
33%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
FC Krasnodar
3W 2D 1L · at home
Akhmat
0W 1D 2L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.7
0.3
Conceded
2.3
50%
Win %
0%
83%
Win or Draw
33%
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
33%
O 3.5
33%
17%
BTTS
100%
83%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
0%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FC Krasnodar Akhmat →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7% 5.7% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
1 6.6% 10.0% 7.6% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.8% 8.8% 6.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.4% 5.2% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.3% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar
D Spartak Moscow 1–1
D Dynamo 0–0
D Dynamo 0–0
W CSKA Moscow 4–0
L CSKA Moscow 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
Akhmat Akhmat
D Rubin 3–3
L FC Orenburg 0–1
L Zenit 2–1
W Rubin 2–0
L FC Orenburg 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar
Attack
55
Defence
69
Form
62
Akhmat Akhmat
Attack
48
Defence
88
Form
75
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

2
FC Krasnodar
0
Draw
0
Akhmat
4 Apr 2026 Premier League 1–0
4 Oct 2025 Premier League 2–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat?
The model gives FC Krasnodar a 40% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 30% for an Akhmat win.
How many goals are expected in FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat?
Expected goals: FC Krasnodar 1.8, Akhmat 1.5 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.28%.