Premier League
· Regular Season - 12
October 24, 2026 18:30
Jhon Cordoba
(ast. Ilya Vakhania)
30'
90'+3
(ast. Vladislav Pospelov)
Loris Mouyokolo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Krasnodar a 39% win probability (draw 34%, Baltika 26%). The final result was FC Krasnodar 1–1 Baltika. In 3 previous meetings, FC Krasnodar have won 0 times, with 3 draws and 0 wins for Baltika.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
4
0.92
Actual xG
0.83
3
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
3
Corners
6
20
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
Eduardo Anderson
⚽Jhon Cordoba
· ast. Ilya Vakhania
30'
57'
Fahd Moufi
/
Maksim Petrov
57'
Ivan Belikov
/
Ilya Petrov
58'
Eldar Ćivić
Ilya Vakhania
62'
Christian
67'
Daniil Utkin
/ Magomed Ozdoev
69'
73'
Vladislav Pospelov
/
Konstantin Shiltsov
73'
Chinonso Offor
/
Brayan Gil
Christian
/ Juan Manuel Boselli
75'
Ilya Vakhania
/ Sergey Petrov
77'
81'
Ilya Porokhov
/
Eldar Ćivić
Lucas Olaza
85'
Murad Musaev
89'
90'+3
ast. Vladislav Pospelov ·
Loris Mouyokolo⚽
Pre-match prediction
39.74%
FC
34.14%
X ←
26.12%
Baltika
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
34.14%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.87
0.92
+0.05
0.61
0.83
+0.22
xG dominance was balanced (0.92 – 0.83).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
S. Agkatsev
G
S. Agkatsev
G
15
L. Olaza
D
L. Olaza
D
5
Jubal
D
Jubal
D
3
Vítor Tormena
D
Vítor Tormena
D
40
I. Vakhania
1 👟
77'
D
I. Vakhania
1 👟
77'
D
6
Kevin Pina
M
Kevin Pina
M
53
A. Chernikov
M
A. Chernikov
M
11
Batxi
M
Batxi
M
47
D. Utkin
69'
M
D. Utkin
69'
M
18
Christian
75'
M
Christian
75'
M
9
J. Córdoba
1 ⚽
F
J. Córdoba
1 ⚽
F
Bench
16
A. Koryakin
G
A. Koryakin
G
10
D. Vorobjev
F
D. Vorobjev
F
27
E. Burkin
M
E. Burkin
M
23
J. Boselli
15'
F
J. Boselli
15'
F
21
M. Ozdoev
21'
M
M. Ozdoev
21'
M
2
M. Rodríguez
D
M. Rodríguez
D
98
S. Petrov
13'
D
S. Petrov
13'
D
17
V. Paltsev
D
V. Paltsev
D
1
E. Latyshonok
G
E. Latyshonok
G
77
E. Ćivić
81'
D
E. Ćivić
81'
D
21
E. Anderson
D
E. Anderson
D
24
L. Mouyokolo
1 ⚽
D
L. Mouyokolo
1 ⚽
D
2
S. Varatynov
D
S. Varatynov
D
22
M. Beveev
D
M. Beveev
D
7
K. Shiltsov
73'
M
K. Shiltsov
73'
M
10
I. Petrov
57'
M
I. Petrov
57'
M
8
A. Mendel
M
A. Mendel
M
73
M. Petrov
57'
M
M. Petrov
57'
M
91
B. Gil
73'
F
B. Gil
73'
F
Bench
5
A. Mourid
M
A. Mourid
M
9
C. Offor
17'
F
C. Offor
17'
F
44
E. Lyubakov
G
E. Lyubakov
G
18
F. Moufi
33'
D
F. Moufi
33'
D
26
I. Belikov
33'
M
I. Belikov
33'
M
3
I. Kirsch
D
I. Kirsch
D
81
I. Kukushkin
G
I. Kukushkin
G
11
I. Porokhov
9'
F
I. Porokhov
9'
F
68
M. Ryadno
D
M. Ryadno
D
14
S. Kovač
M
S. Kovač
M
42
V. Pospelov
1 👟
17'
M
V. Pospelov
1 👟
17'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Córdoba
F · FC
7.85
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
L. Mouyokolo
D · Baltika
7.44
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 27 pass
Jubal
D · FC
7.37
1 shots
· 70 pass
E. Latyshonok
G · Baltika
7.20
· 14 pass
Vítor Tormena
D · FC
6.98
· 85 pass
V. Pospelov
M · Baltika
6.94
1 👟
1 shots
· 7 pass
FC Krasnodar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Agkatsev | G | 90 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Olaza | D | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 38% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jubal | D | 90 | 7.37 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Vítor Tormena | D | 90 | 6.98 | — | — | 0 | 85 | 68% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Vakhania | D | 77 | 6.13 | — | 1 | 0 | 41 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kevin Pina | M | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 33% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Chernikov | M | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Batxi | M | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Utkin | M | 69 | 6.43 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Christian | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Córdoba | F | 90 | 7.85 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Boselli | F | 15 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ozdoev | M | 21 | 6.64 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Petrov | D | 13 | 6.91 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Baltika — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Latyshonok | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Ćivić | D | 81 | 6.06 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Anderson | D | 90 | 5.83 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Mouyokolo | D | 90 | 7.44 | 1 | — | 3 | 27 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Varatynov | D | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Beveev | D | 90 | 6.17 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Shiltsov | M | 73 | 6.35 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Petrov | M | 57 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mendel | M | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 16% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Petrov | M | 57 | 6.37 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Gil | F | 73 | 6.46 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Offor | F | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Moufi | D | 33 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Belikov | M | 33 | 6.76 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Porokhov | F | 9 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Pospelov | M | 17 | 6.94 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
The final score was FC Krasnodar 1–1 Baltika.
What did the model predict before FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
The model assigned 39% probability to a FC Krasnodar win, 34% to a draw, and 26% to an Baltika win.