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Premier League · Regular Season - 2 August 02, 2026 17:15
FC Krasnodar
#1 · 19 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Fakel
#16 · 3 pts
Jubal Junior (ast. L. Olaza) 4'
N. Krivtsov (ast. Christian) 27'
N. Krivtsov (ast. Joao Batxi) 59'
85' (ast. N. Giorgobiani) M. Turishchev
88' (ast. B. Pusi) A. Sutormin
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Krasnodar a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Fakel 30%). The final result was FC Krasnodar 3–2 Fakel. In 1 previous meetings, FC Krasnodar have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Fakel.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
2
56%
Possession
44%
2
Corners
4
11
Tackles
11
4
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Jubal Junior · ast. L. Olaza
4'
⚽N. Krivtsov · ast. Christian
27'
Douglas Augusto
29'
Jubal Junior
50'
51'
(missed pen.) A. Gnapi Dable⚽
⚽N. Krivtsov · ast. Joao Batxi
59'
61'
M. Turishchev / A. Gnapi Dable ↕
↕ Douglas Augusto / K. Lenini
61'
↕ Christian / D. Utkin
61'
↕ I. Vakhania / V. Paltsev
69'
↕ A. Chernikov / M. Ozdoev
69'
↕ Jubal Junior / Diego Costa
72'
76'
A. Kovalev / Y. Zhuravlev ↕
76'
B. Pusi / V. Yakimov ↕
85'
ast. N. Giorgobiani · M. Turishchev⚽
85'
A. Bagamaev / B. Magomedov ↕
86'
A. Sutormin / N. Giorgobiani ↕
88'
ast. B. Pusi · A. Sutormin⚽
D. Utkin
90'+1
Joao Batxi
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
39.04%
FC ←
30.57%
X
30.39%
Fakel
we assigned to the actual result (FC Krasnodar) 39.04% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
0.95
—
—
Fakel
1.48
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 7 19
2 Dynamo Dynamo 8 16
3 CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 8 16
4 Zenit Zenit 8 15
5 Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 7 13
6 Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala 7 12
7 Baltika Baltika 8 11
8 Rubin Rubin 8 11
9 Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 8 10
10 FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 8 8
11 FC Rostov FC Rostov 7 8
12 Akhmat Akhmat 7 7
13 Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 8 6
14 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 8 4
15 Akron Akron 7 4
16 Fakel Fakel 8 3
Lineups
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 4-2-3-1
1 S. Agkatsev S. Agkatsev G 6.60
15 L. Olaza L. Olaza 1 👟 D 7.50
5 Jubal Jubal 1 ⚽ 72' D 7.70
3 Vítor Tormena Vítor Tormena D 6.70
40 I. Vakhania I. Vakhania 69' D 7.20
8 Douglas Augusto Douglas Augusto 61' M 6.70
53 A. Chernikov A. Chernikov 69' M 6.90
11 Batxi Batxi 1 👟 M 6.90
88 N. Krivtsov N. Krivtsov 2 ⚽ M 9.20
18 Christian Christian 1 👟 61' M 7.20
10 D. Vorobjev D. Vorobjev F 6.30
Bench
59 A. Khmarin A. Khmarin D
96 A. Koksharov A. Koksharov F
16 A. Koryakin A. Koryakin G
4 Diego Costa Diego Costa 18' D 6.90
47 D. Utkin D. Utkin 29' M 6.70
67 Kazbek Mukailov Kazbek Mukailov F
6 Kevin Pina Kevin Pina 29' M 6.30
21 M. Ozdoev M. Ozdoev 21' M 6.20
17 V. Paltsev V. Paltsev 21' D 6.50
Fakel Fakel 5-3-2
1 D. Frolkin D. Frolkin G 5.90
10 I. Alshin I. Alshin D 5.60
44 Y. Zhuravlev Y. Zhuravlev 76' D 6.30
20 I. Yurganov I. Yurganov D 5.90
5 A. Gabaraev A. Gabaraev D 6.50
55 D. Todorović D. Todorović D 5.60
23 V. Yakimov V. Yakimov 76' M 6.20
52 R. Netfullin R. Netfullin M 6.70
97 B. Magomedov B. Magomedov 85' M 6.30
99 N. Giorgobiani N. Giorgobiani 1 👟 85' F 6.20
9 A. Gnapi Dable A. Gnapi Dable 61' F 5.90
Bench
8 A. Bagamaev A. Bagamaev 11' M 6.70
25 A. Belyaev A. Belyaev F
17 A. Kovalev A. Kovalev 14' M 6.60
11 A. Sutormin A. Sutormin 1 ⚽ 11' M 7.70
19 B. Pusi B. Pusi 1 👟 14' F 6.90
96 I. Obukhov I. Obukhov G
18 Kirill Simonov Kirill Simonov M
53 M. Bardachev M. Bardachev D
7 M. Turishchev M. Turishchev 1 ⚽ 29' F 7.90
93 M. Uridia M. Uridia F
35 V. Dorovskikh V. Dorovskikh G
Best on the pitch
N. Krivtsov
N. Krivtsov
M · FC
9.20
2 ⚽
3 shots · 30 pass
M. Turishchev
M. Turishchev
F · Fakel
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
Jubal
Jubal
D · FC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 46 pass
A. Sutormin
A. Sutormin
M · Fakel
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 8 pass
L. Olaza
L. Olaza
D · FC
7.50
1 👟
· 59 pass
I. Vakhania
I. Vakhania
D · FC
7.20
· 27 pass
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Agkatsev G 90 6.60 — — — 21 15% — — —
L. Olaza D 90 7.50 — 1 — 59 44% — — —
Jubal D 72 7.70 1 — 1 46 43% 1 1 —
Vítor Tormena D 90 6.70 — — — 48 39% — — —
I. Vakhania D 69 7.20 — — — 27 21% 2 — —
Douglas Augusto M 61 6.70 — — — 47 42% 1 1 —
A. Chernikov M 69 6.90 — — — 31 26% 1 — —
Batxi M 90 6.90 — 1 2 26 23% — 1 —
N. Krivtsov M 90 9.20 2 — 3 30 27% 1 — —
Christian M 61 7.20 — 1 — 18 14% 4 — —
D. Vorobjev F 90 6.30 — — — 20 18% 1 — —
Diego Costa D 18 6.90 — — — 14 14% — — —
D. Utkin M 29 6.70 — — 1 13 10% — 1 —
Kevin Pina M 29 6.30 — — — 17 17% — — —
M. Ozdoev M 21 6.20 — — — 13 13% — — —
V. Paltsev D 21 6.50 — — — 16 13% — — —
Fakel Fakel — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Frolkin G 90 5.90 — — — 24 12% — — —
I. Alshin D 90 5.60 — — 1 29 21% 1 — —
Y. Zhuravlev D 76 6.30 — — — 27 21% 3 — —
I. Yurganov D 90 5.90 — — — 33 25% 1 — —
A. Gabaraev D 90 6.50 — — — 38 33% — — —
D. Todorović D 90 5.60 — — — 29 19% — — —
V. Yakimov M 76 6.20 — — — 17 13% 3 — —
R. Netfullin M 90 6.70 — — — 37 32% 1 — —
B. Magomedov M 85 6.30 — — — 33 26% — — —
N. Giorgobiani F 85 6.20 — 1 1 33 24% — — —
A. Gnapi Dable F 61 5.90 — — 1 11 8% — — —
A. Bagamaev M 11 6.70 — — — 2 2% — — —
A. Kovalev M 14 6.60 — — — 5 5% 1 — —
A. Sutormin M 11 7.70 1 — 1 8 7% — — —
B. Pusi F 14 6.90 — 1 1 5 4% — — —
M. Turishchev F 29 7.90 1 — 1 11 8% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Krasnodar vs Fakel?
The final score was FC Krasnodar 3–2 Fakel.
What did the model predict before FC Krasnodar vs Fakel?
The model assigned 39% probability to a FC Krasnodar win, 30% to a draw, and 30% to an Fakel win.