FC Krasnodar - Fakel
Cup
October 13, 2026 19:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
45.8%
Win
FC Krasnodar
39.98%
Draw
14.23%
Win
Fakel
0.82
0.3
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(29.25%)
1X2 Result
1
46%
X
40%
2
14%
Double Chance
1X
86%
X2
54%
12
60%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
24%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Krasnodar a 45% win probability, against 39% for a draw and 14% for Fakel. Expected goals are 0.8 for FC Krasnodar and 0.3 for Fakel (total 1.1), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 29.25% probability. In 2 previous meetings, FC Krasnodar have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Fakel.
Season Stats
8W
6D
1L
1W
2D
3L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.0
0.7
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
67%
53%
O 2.5
33%
47%
BTTS
67%
53%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
3W
3D
1L
· at home
0W
1D
1L
· away
1.9
gls/g
1.0
0.4
Conceded
1.5
43%
Win %
0%
86%
Win or Draw
50%
71%
O 1.5
100%
57%
O 2.5
50%
29%
O 3.5
0%
29%
BTTS
100%
71%
Clean Sht
0%
29%
Failed to Score
0%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ FC Krasnodar
Fakel →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 32.7% | 9.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 1 | 26.7% | 8.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 2 | 10.9% | 3.3% | 0.5% | — | — | — |
| 3 | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
FC Krasnodar
Attack
34
Defence
79
Form
61
Fakel
Attack
18
Defence
62
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs Fakel?
The model gives FC Krasnodar a 45% win probability, 39% for a draw, and 14% for an Fakel win.
How many goals are expected in FC Krasnodar vs Fakel?
Expected goals: FC Krasnodar 0.8, Fakel 0.3 (total 1.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in FC Krasnodar vs Fakel?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 29.25%.