Premier League
· Regular Season - 30
May 17, 2026 17:00
✓Model correct — prediction FC Krasnodar
K. Lenini
(ast. G. Gonzalez)
36'
J. Cordoba
(ast. Joao Batxi)
63'
E. Spertsyan
88'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Krasnodar a 58% win probability (draw 28%, FC Orenburg 12%). The final result was FC Krasnodar 3–0 FC Orenburg. In 3 previous meetings, FC Krasnodar have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FC Orenburg.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
4
10
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
7
69%
Possession
31%
5
Corners
3
8
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
15'
D. Khotulev
⚽K. Lenini
· ast. G. Gonzalez
36'
J. Cordoba
40'
40'
J. Thompson
57'
P. Gorelov
/
D. Rybchinskiy
58'
D. Puebla
/
R. Golybin
⚽J. Cordoba
· ast. Joao Batxi
63'
Douglas Augusto
/ A. Chernikov
64'
69'
Alexandre Jesus
/
G. Guzina
69'
R. Kul
/
Du Queiroz
74'
J. Palacios
N. Krivtsov
/ J. Boselli
77'
84'
I. Kvekveskiri
/
E. Bolotov
G. Gonzalez
/ V. Paltsev
84'
Diego Costa
/ Jubal Junior
84'
Joao Batxi
/ M. D. Cobnan
84'
⚽E. Spertsyan
88'
Pre-match prediction
58.81%
FC ←
28.34%
X
12.85%
FC
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FC Krasnodar)
58.81%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.16
—
—
0.41
—
—
Lineups
1
Stanislav Agkatsev
88'
G
Stanislav Agkatsev
88'
G
15
Lucas Olaza
88'
D
Lucas Olaza
88'
D
4
Diego Costa
84'
D
Diego Costa
84'
D
3
Vítor Tormena
88'
D
Vítor Tormena
88'
D
20
Giovanni González
1 👟
84'
D
Giovanni González
1 👟
84'
D
66
Douglas Augusto
64'
M
Douglas Augusto
64'
M
6
Kevin Lenini
1 ⚽
88'
M
Kevin Lenini
1 ⚽
88'
M
88
N. Krivtsov
77'
M
N. Krivtsov
77'
M
10
E. Spertsyan
1 ⚽
88'
M
E. Spertsyan
1 ⚽
88'
M
11
Batxi
1 👟
84'
M
Batxi
1 👟
84'
M
9
J. Córdoba
1 ⚽
88'
F
J. Córdoba
1 ⚽
88'
F
Bench
53
Aleksandr Chernikov
24'
M
Aleksandr Chernikov
24'
M
16
Aleksandr Koryakin
G
Aleksandr Koryakin
G
34
Andrey Karpenko
G
Andrey Karpenko
G
27
Efim Burkin
M
Efim Burkin
M
29
Eldar Guseynov
F
Eldar Guseynov
F
23
J. Boselli
11'
F
J. Boselli
11'
F
5
Jubal
4'
D
Jubal
4'
D
90
M. Cobnan
4'
F
M. Cobnan
4'
F
98
Sergey Petrov
D
Sergey Petrov
D
30
Stepan Sadchikov
D
Stepan Sadchikov
D
17
Valentin Paltsev
4'
D
Valentin Paltsev
4'
D
1
Bogdan Ovsyannikov
88'
G
Bogdan Ovsyannikov
88'
G
3
Danila Vedernikov
88'
D
Danila Vedernikov
88'
D
4
Danila Khotulev
88'
D
Danila Khotulev
88'
D
6
Jhon Palacios
88'
D
Jhon Palacios
88'
D
2
Stanislav Poroykov
88'
D
Stanislav Poroykov
88'
D
37
Du Queiroz
69'
M
Du Queiroz
69'
M
57
Evgeniy Bolotov
84'
M
Evgeniy Bolotov
84'
M
20
Dmitry Rybchinskiy
57'
M
Dmitry Rybchinskiy
57'
M
27
Renat Golybin
58'
M
Renat Golybin
58'
M
16
J. Thompson
88'
M
J. Thompson
88'
M
30
Gedeon Guzina
69'
F
Gedeon Guzina
69'
F
Bench
19
Alexandre Jesus
19'
F
Alexandre Jesus
19'
F
32
Alexis Cantero
D
Alexis Cantero
D
29
Anas El Mahraoui
F
Anas El Mahraoui
F
8
Damián Puebla
30'
F
Damián Puebla
30'
F
48
Egor Antsiperov
M
Egor Antsiperov
M
26
Emil Tsenov
M
33
Irakli Kvekveskiri
4'
M
Irakli Kvekveskiri
4'
M
65
Ivan Ivashchenko
M
Ivan Ivashchenko
M
88
Maksim Rudakov
G
Maksim Rudakov
G
9
Maksim Saveljev
F
Maksim Saveljev
F
22
Pavel Gorelov
31'
M
Pavel Gorelov
31'
M
78
Ruslan Kul
19'
M
Ruslan Kul
19'
M
Best on the pitch
Kevin Lenini
M · FC
8.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 62 pass
E. Spertsyan
M · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 40 pass
Giovanni González
D · FC
7.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 54 pass
Batxi
M · FC
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 37 pass
J. Córdoba
F · FC
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 18 pass
Stanislav Agkatsev
G · FC
7.50
· 24 pass
FC Krasnodar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanislav Agkatsev | G | 88 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Olaza | D | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Costa | D | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 63 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Vítor Tormena | D | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 90 | 71% | — | — | — |
| Giovanni González | D | 84 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 54 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Douglas Augusto | M | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Lenini | M | 88 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 62 | 54% | — | — | — |
| N. Krivtsov | M | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Spertsyan | M | 88 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 40 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Batxi | M | 84 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| J. Córdoba | F | 88 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 18 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Aleksandr Chernikov | M | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Boselli | F | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jubal | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Cobnan | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Valentin Paltsev | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
FC Orenburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogdan Ovsyannikov | G | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Danila Vedernikov | D | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | 4 | — | — |
| Danila Khotulev | D | 88 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Jhon Palacios | D | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Stanislav Poroykov | D | 88 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Du Queiroz | M | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Evgeniy Bolotov | M | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Dmitry Rybchinskiy | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Renat Golybin | M | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Thompson | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gedeon Guzina | F | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexandre Jesus | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Damián Puebla | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Irakli Kvekveskiri | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Pavel Gorelov | M | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruslan Kul | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Krasnodar vs FC Orenburg?
The final score was FC Krasnodar 3–0 FC Orenburg.
What did the model predict before FC Krasnodar vs FC Orenburg?
The model assigned 58% probability to a FC Krasnodar win, 28% to a draw, and 12% to an FC Orenburg win.