Premier League
· Regular Season - 30
May 17, 2026 17:00
✓Model correct — prediction FC Krasnodar
K. Lenini
(ast. G. Gonzalez)
36'
J. Cordoba
(ast. Joao Batxi)
63'
E. Spertsyan
88'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Krasnodar a 58% win probability (draw 28%, FC Orenburg 12%). The final result was FC Krasnodar 3–0 FC Orenburg. In 4 previous meetings, FC Krasnodar have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Orenburg.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
4
10
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
7
69%
Possession
31%
5
Corners
3
8
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
15'
D. Khotulev
⚽K. Lenini
· ast. G. Gonzalez
36'
J. Cordoba
40'
40'
J. Thompson
57'
P. Gorelov
/
D. Rybchinskiy
58'
D. Puebla
/
R. Golybin
⚽J. Cordoba
· ast. Joao Batxi
63'
Douglas Augusto
/ A. Chernikov
64'
69'
Alexandre Jesus
/
G. Guzina
69'
R. Kul
/
Du Queiroz
74'
J. Palacios
N. Krivtsov
/ J. Boselli
77'
84'
I. Kvekveskiri
/
E. Bolotov
G. Gonzalez
/ V. Paltsev
84'
Diego Costa
/ Jubal Junior
84'
Joao Batxi
/ M. D. Cobnan
84'
⚽E. Spertsyan
88'
Pre-match prediction
58.81%
FC ←
28.34%
X
12.85%
FC
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FC Krasnodar)
58.81%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.16
—
—
0.41
—
—
Lineups
1
S. Agkatsev
88'
G
S. Agkatsev
88'
G
15
L. Olaza
88'
D
L. Olaza
88'
D
4
Diego Costa
84'
D
Diego Costa
84'
D
3
Vítor Tormena
88'
D
Vítor Tormena
88'
D
20
G. González
1 👟
84'
D
G. González
1 👟
84'
D
66
Douglas Augusto
64'
M
Douglas Augusto
64'
M
6
Kevin Pina
1 ⚽
88'
M
Kevin Pina
1 ⚽
88'
M
88
N. Krivtsov
77'
M
N. Krivtsov
77'
M
10
E. Spertsyan
1 ⚽
88'
M
E. Spertsyan
1 ⚽
88'
M
11
Batxi
1 👟
84'
M
Batxi
1 👟
84'
M
9
J. Córdoba
1 ⚽
88'
F
J. Córdoba
1 ⚽
88'
F
Bench
53
A. Chernikov
24'
M
A. Chernikov
24'
M
16
A. Koryakin
G
A. Koryakin
G
34
Andrey Karpenko
G
Andrey Karpenko
G
27
E. Burkin
M
E. Burkin
M
29
Eldar Guseynov
F
Eldar Guseynov
F
23
J. Boselli
11'
F
J. Boselli
11'
F
5
Jubal
4'
D
Jubal
4'
D
90
M. Cobnan
4'
F
M. Cobnan
4'
F
98
S. Petrov
D
S. Petrov
D
30
Stepan Sadchikov
D
Stepan Sadchikov
D
17
V. Paltsev
4'
D
V. Paltsev
4'
D
1
B. Ovsyannikov
88'
G
B. Ovsyannikov
88'
G
3
D. Vedernikov
88'
D
D. Vedernikov
88'
D
4
D. Khotulev
88'
D
D. Khotulev
88'
D
6
J. Palacios
88'
D
J. Palacios
88'
D
2
S. Poroykov
88'
D
S. Poroykov
88'
D
37
Du Queiroz
69'
M
Du Queiroz
69'
M
57
E. Bolotov
84'
M
E. Bolotov
84'
M
20
D. Rybchinskiy
57'
M
D. Rybchinskiy
57'
M
27
Renat Golybin
58'
M
Renat Golybin
58'
M
16
J. Thompson
88'
M
J. Thompson
88'
M
30
G. Guzina
69'
F
G. Guzina
69'
F
Bench
29
A. El Mahraoui
F
19
Alexandre Jesus
19'
F
Alexandre Jesus
19'
F
32
Alexis Cantero
D
Alexis Cantero
D
8
D. Puebla
30'
F
D. Puebla
30'
F
48
Egor Antsiperov
M
Egor Antsiperov
M
26
E. Tsenov
M
E. Tsenov
M
65
I. Ivashchenko
M
I. Ivashchenko
M
33
Irakli Kvekveskiri
4'
M
Irakli Kvekveskiri
4'
M
88
Maksim Rudakov
G
Maksim Rudakov
G
9
M. Saveljev
F
M. Saveljev
F
22
Pavel Gorelov
31'
M
Pavel Gorelov
31'
M
78
R. Kul
19'
M
R. Kul
19'
M
Best on the pitch
Kevin Pina
M · FC
8.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 62 pass
E. Spertsyan
M · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 40 pass
G. González
D · FC
7.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 54 pass
Batxi
M · FC
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 37 pass
J. Córdoba
F · FC
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 18 pass
S. Agkatsev
G · FC
7.50
· 24 pass
FC Krasnodar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Agkatsev | G | 88 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| L. Olaza | D | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Costa | D | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 63 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Vítor Tormena | D | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 90 | 71% | — | — | — |
| G. González | D | 84 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 54 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Douglas Augusto | M | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Pina | M | 88 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 62 | 54% | — | — | — |
| N. Krivtsov | M | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Spertsyan | M | 88 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 40 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Batxi | M | 84 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| J. Córdoba | F | 88 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 18 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Chernikov | M | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Boselli | F | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jubal | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Cobnan | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| V. Paltsev | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
FC Orenburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Ovsyannikov | G | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D. Vedernikov | D | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Khotulev | D | 88 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Palacios | D | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Poroykov | D | 88 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Du Queiroz | M | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Bolotov | M | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Rybchinskiy | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Renat Golybin | M | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Thompson | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Guzina | F | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexandre Jesus | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| D. Puebla | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Irakli Kvekveskiri | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Pavel Gorelov | M | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Kul | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Krasnodar vs FC Orenburg?
The final score was FC Krasnodar 3–0 FC Orenburg.
What did the model predict before FC Krasnodar vs FC Orenburg?
The model assigned 58% probability to a FC Krasnodar win, 28% to a draw, and 12% to an FC Orenburg win.