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Premier League · Regular Season - 10 October 10, 2026 18:30
FC Krasnodar
#4 · 23 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Zenit
#1 · 27 pts
Joao Batxi 55'
Jhon Cordoba (ast. Ilya Vakhania) 71'
40' (ast. Douglas Santos) Maksim Glushenkov
45'+4 (ast. Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos) Maksim Glushenkov
53' (ast. Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos) Aleksandr Sobolev
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Krasnodar a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Zenit 32%). The final result was FC Krasnodar 2–3 Zenit. In 4 previous meetings, FC Krasnodar have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Zenit.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
15
5
Shots on target
7
1.24
Actual xG
0.94
4
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
3
Corners
3
13
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
17'
Aleksandr Sobolev
Daniil Utkin
19'
31'
Luiz Henrique
Lucas Olaza
31'
40'
ast. Douglas Santos · Maksim Glushenkov⚽
Aleksandr Chernikov
45'+2
45'+4
ast. Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos · Maksim Glushenkov⚽
↕ Valentin Paltsev / Ilya Vakhania
45'
50'
Douglas Santos
53'
ast. Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos · Aleksandr Sobolev⚽
⚽Joao Batxi
55'
↕ Aleksandr Chernikov / Magomed Ozdoev
61'
⚽Jhon Cordoba · ast. Ilya Vakhania
71'
74'
Kevin Andrade / Artem Karpukas ↕
78'
Vitor Tormena
80'
81'
Daniil Kondakov / Maksim Glushenkov ↕
81'
Jhon Jhon / Luiz Henrique ↕
↕ Christian / Juan Manuel Boselli
82'
↕ Joao Batxi / Álex Maizon Rodríguez González
83'
↕ Daniil Utkin / Sergey Petrov
85'
Magomed Ozdoev
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
34.17%
FC
32.89%
X
32.93%
Zenit ←
we assigned to the actual result (Zenit) 32.93% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
0.84
1.24
+0.4
Zenit
0.82
0.94
+0.12
xG dominance was balanced (1.24 – 0.94). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zenit Zenit 12 27
2 Dynamo Dynamo 12 25
3 CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 12 25
4 FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 12 23
5 Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 12 23
6 FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 12 16
7 FC Rostov FC Rostov 12 15
8 Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 12 15
9 Baltika Baltika 12 14
10 Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala 12 13
11 Rubin Rubin 12 12
12 Akron Akron 12 12
13 Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 12 11
14 Akhmat Akhmat 12 11
15 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 12 9
16 Fakel Fakel 12 6
Lineups
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 4-3-3
1 S. Agkatsev S. Agkatsev G 6.64
15 L. Olaza L. Olaza D 5.87
5 Jubal Jubal D 6.29
3 Vítor Tormena Vítor Tormena 80' D 4.90
17 V. Paltsev V. Paltsev 45' D 5.95
18 Christian Christian 82' M 5.99
8 Douglas Augusto Douglas Augusto M 5.80
53 A. Chernikov A. Chernikov 61' M 5.53
11 Batxi Batxi 1 ⚽ 83' F 7.54
9 J. Córdoba J. Córdoba 1 ⚽ F 7.90
47 D. Utkin D. Utkin 85' F 6.44
Bench
59 A. Khmarin A. Khmarin D 0.00
16 A. Koryakin A. Koryakin G 0.00
10 D. Vorobjev D. Vorobjev F 0.00
40 I. Vakhania I. Vakhania 1 👟 45' D 6.09
23 J. Boselli J. Boselli 8' F 6.27
6 Kevin Pina Kevin Pina M 0.00
21 M. Ozdoev M. Ozdoev 29' M 5.56
2 M. Rodríguez M. Rodríguez 7' D 5.71
98 S. Petrov S. Petrov 5' D 5.76
Zenit Zenit 4-2-3-1
16 D. Adamov D. Adamov G 6.78
3 Douglas Santos Douglas Santos 1 👟 D 6.52
28 N. Alip N. Alip D 6.36
33 Nino Nino D 6.92
31 Gustavo Mantuan Gustavo Mantuan D 6.53
93 A. Karpukas A. Karpukas 74' M 6.59
5 W. Barrios W. Barrios M 6.39
20 Pedro Henrique Pedro Henrique 2 👟 M 8.60
10 M. Glushenkov M. Glushenkov 2 ⚽ 81' M 8.97
11 Luiz Henrique Luiz Henrique 81' M 6.35
7 A. Sobolev A. Sobolev 1 ⚽ F 7.62
Bench
21 A. Erokhin A. Erokhin M 0.00
57 B. Moskvichev B. Moskvichev G 0.00
61 D. Kondakov D. Kondakov 9' M 6.08
9 Felipe Augusto Felipe Augusto F 0.00
14 Jhon Jhon Jhon Jhon 9' M 6.11
25 K. Andrade K. Andrade 16' D 6.33
66 R. Vega R. Vega D 0.00
82 S. Volkov S. Volkov D 0.00
15 V. Karavaev V. Karavaev D 0.00
51 V. Shilov V. Shilov F 0.00
Best on the pitch
M. Glushenkov
M. Glushenkov
M · Zenit
8.97
2 ⚽
6 shots · 14 pass
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique
M · Zenit
8.60
2 👟
1 shots · 28 pass
J. Córdoba
J. Córdoba
F · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots · 24 pass
A. Sobolev
A. Sobolev
F · Zenit
7.62
1 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
Batxi
Batxi
F · FC
7.54
1 ⚽
2 shots · 27 pass
Nino
Nino
D · Zenit
6.92
· 32 pass
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Agkatsev G 90 6.64 — — 0 23 19% 0 — —
L. Olaza D 90 5.87 — — 2 40 31% 0 1 —
Jubal D 90 6.29 — — 0 52 44% 3 — —
Vítor Tormena D 80 4.90 — — 1 46 38% 0 — 1
V. Paltsev D 45 5.95 — — 0 17 13% 1 — —
Christian M 82 5.99 — — 0 25 21% 2 — —
Douglas Augusto M 90 5.80 — — 2 64 49% 0 — —
A. Chernikov M 61 5.53 — — 0 29 24% 0 1 —
Batxi F 83 7.54 1 — 2 27 23% 0 — —
J. Córdoba F 90 7.90 1 — 5 24 18% 0 — —
D. Utkin F 85 6.44 — — 2 29 23% 4 1 —
I. Vakhania D 45 6.09 — 1 0 25 19% 2 — —
J. Boselli F 8 6.27 — — 0 2 2% 1 — —
M. Ozdoev M 29 5.56 — — 0 18 15% 0 1 —
M. Rodríguez D 7 5.71 — — 0 10 9% 0 — —
S. Petrov D 5 5.76 — — 0 12 11% 0 — —
Zenit Zenit — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Adamov G 90 6.78 — — 0 15 10% 0 — —
Douglas Santos D 90 6.52 — 1 0 35 27% 0 1 —
N. Alip D 90 6.36 — — 1 32 21% 3 — —
Nino D 90 6.92 — — 0 32 25% 2 — —
Gustavo Mantuan D 90 6.53 — — 2 30 22% 1 — —
A. Karpukas M 74 6.59 — — 0 20 19% 1 — —
W. Barrios M 90 6.39 — — 0 39 35% 1 — —
Pedro Henrique M 90 8.60 — 2 1 28 26% 2 — —
M. Glushenkov M 81 8.97 2 — 6 14 10% 0 — —
Luiz Henrique M 81 6.35 — — 2 17 12% 2 1 —
A. Sobolev F 90 7.62 1 — 2 28 17% 0 1 —
D. Kondakov M 9 6.08 — — 0 2 0% 1 — —
Jhon Jhon M 9 6.11 — — 1 8 7% 0 — —
K. Andrade D 16 6.33 — — 0 13 11% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Krasnodar vs Zenit?
The final score was FC Krasnodar 2–3 Zenit.
What did the model predict before FC Krasnodar vs Zenit?
The model assigned 34% probability to a FC Krasnodar win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Zenit win.