R. Steffen
(ast. A. Grgic)
84'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Lugano a 39% win probability (draw 27%, BSC Young Boys 33%). The final result was FC Lugano 1–0 BSC Young Boys. In 4 previous meetings, FC Lugano have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for BSC Young Boys.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
1
2.59
Actual xG
1.19
1
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
7
Corners
2
14
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
14'
E. Fernandes
23'
L. Benito
46'
E. Colley
/
A. Virginius
58'
G. Wuthrich
K. Behrens
/ G. Koutsias
60'
Y. Cimignani
/ E. Alioski
60'
65'
D. Males
/
A. Sanches
65'
S. Janko
/
Y. Valery
U. Bislimi
/ M. Bottani
76'
H. Delcroix
/ D. Kelvin
76'
78'
C. Bedia
/
S. Essende
80'
S. Janko
80'
D. Pech
/
A. Gigovic
⚽R. Steffen
· ast. A. Grgic
84'
R. Steffen
85'
R. Steffen
/ A. Kendouci
87'
Pre-match prediction
39.64%
FC ←
27.21%
X
33.15%
BSC
we assigned to the actual result (FC Lugano)
39.64%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.42
2.59
+1.17
1.34
1.19
-0.15
FC Lugano dominated by xG (2.59 vs 1.19).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
G
3
H. Delcroix
76'
D
H. Delcroix
76'
D
17
L. Mai
D
L. Mai
D
6
A. Papadopoulos
D
A. Papadopoulos
D
21
Y. Cimignani
61'
M
Y. Cimignani
61'
M
29
H. Mahmoud
M
H. Mahmoud
M
8
1 👟
M
46
M. Zanotti
M
M. Zanotti
M
25
U. Bislimi
76'
F
U. Bislimi
76'
F
11
R. Steffen
1 ⚽
87'
F
R. Steffen
1 ⚽
87'
F
91
K. Behrens
60'
F
K. Behrens
60'
F
Bench
4
D. Kelvin
14'
D
D. Kelvin
14'
D
7
E. Alioski
29'
D
E. Alioski
29'
D
9
G. Koutsias
30'
F
G. Koutsias
30'
F
1
G
33
S. Bukinac
D
S. Bukinac
D
23
L. Benito
D
L. Benito
D
5
G. Wüthrich
D
G. Wüthrich
D
22
Y. Valery
65'
D
Y. Valery
65'
D
37
A. Gigović
80'
M
A. Gigović
80'
M
6
E. Fernandes
M
E. Fernandes
M
77
Joël Monteiro
M
Joël Monteiro
M
10
A. Sanches
65'
M
A. Sanches
65'
M
7
A. Virginius
45'
M
A. Virginius
45'
M
99
S. Essende
78'
F
S. Essende
78'
F
Bench
29
C. Bedia
12'
F
C. Bedia
12'
F
11
Ebrima Colley
45'
F
Ebrima Colley
45'
F
45
Rayan Raveloson
M
Rayan Raveloson
M
17
S. Janko
25'
D
S. Janko
25'
D
Best on the pitch
G · BSC
9.90
· 31 pass
M · FC
9.30
1 👟
· 44 pass
R. Steffen
F · FC
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
E. Alioski
D · FC
7.90
· 10 pass
G · FC
7.70
· 53 pass
L. Mai
D · FC
7.50
· 50 pass
FC Lugano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 53 | 44% | — | — | — | |
| H. Delcroix | D | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 52 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Mai | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 50 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Papadopoulos | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Y. Cimignani | M | 61 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Mahmoud | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 9.30 | — | 1 | — | 44 | 35% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. Zanotti | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| U. Bislimi | F | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 55 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Steffen | F | 87 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| K. Behrens | F | 60 | 5.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| D. Kelvin | D | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| E. Alioski | D | 29 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| G. Koutsias | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
BSC Young Boys — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 9.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| S. Bukinac | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Benito | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 44% | 2 | 1 | — |
| G. Wüthrich | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Y. Valery | D | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| A. Gigović | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Fernandes | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 42% | — | 1 | — |
| Joël Monteiro | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sanches | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Virginius | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| S. Essende | F | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Bedia | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ebrima Colley | F | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| S. Janko | D | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys?
The final score was FC Lugano 1–0 BSC Young Boys.
What did the model predict before FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys?
The model assigned 39% probability to a FC Lugano win, 27% to a draw, and 33% to an BSC Young Boys win.