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Super League · Championship Group - 38 May 17, 2026 16:30 Stadio di Cornaredo, Lugano
FC Lugano
#1 · 25 pts
4 – 0
Final score
FC Basel 1893
#4 · 13 pts
✓Model correct — prediction FC Lugano
K. Behrens (ast. E. Alioski) 10'
K. Behrens (ast. E. Alioski) 36'
R. Steffen 52'
G. Koutsias 56'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Lugano a 60% win probability (draw 20%, FC Basel 1893 19%). The final result was FC Lugano 4–0 FC Basel 1893. In 4 previous meetings, FC Lugano have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Basel 1893.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
12
10
Shots on target
6
1.39
Actual xG
1.22
6
Saves
6
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
5
15
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽K. Behrens · ast. E. Alioski
10'
27'
K. Ruegg
30'
M. Soticek / J. Duranville ↕
A. Papadopoulos
30'
⚽K. Behrens · ast. E. Alioski
36'
39'
A. Bacanin
↕ K. Behrens / G. Koutsias
46'
46'
K. Tsunemoto / K. Ruegg ↕
⚽R. Steffen
52'
⚽G. Koutsias
56'
↕ R. Steffen / M. Bottani
59'
62'
G. Koloto / A. Ajeti ↕
62'
M. Cisse / I. Salah ↕
62'
X. Shaqiri / A. Bacanin ↕
↕ M. Belhadj / A. Kendouci
79'
↕ Y. Cimignani / E. Pihlstrom
80'
M. Zanotti
85'
↕ U. Bislimi / G. Ajdin
86'
Pre-match prediction
60.2%
FC ←
20.36%
X
19.45%
FC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Lugano) 60.2% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.01
1.39
-0.62
FC
1.00
1.22
+0.22
xG dominance was balanced (1.39 – 1.22). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Lugano FC Lugano 9 25
2 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 9 19
3 FC Sion FC Sion 9 19
4 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 9 13
5 FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 9 13
6 FC Luzern FC Luzern 9 12
7 FC Zurich FC Zurich 9 11
8 Servette FC Servette FC 9 10
9 FC Thun FC Thun 9 10
10 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 9 8
11 FC Vaduz FC Vaduz 9 6
12 Lausanne Lausanne 9 6
Lineups
FC Lugano FC Lugano 3-5-1-1
16 D. von Ballmoos D. von Ballmoos G 10.00
3 H. Delcroix H. Delcroix D 7.00
17 L. Mai L. Mai D 7.60
6 A. Papadopoulos A. Papadopoulos D 6.90
7 E. Alioski E. Alioski 2 👟 M 7.90
21 Y. Cimignani Y. Cimignani 80' M 7.00
25 U. Bislimi U. Bislimi 86' M 7.30
29 H. Mahmoud H. Mahmoud 79' M 6.90
46 M. Zanotti M. Zanotti M 7.30
11 R. Steffen R. Steffen 1 ⚽ 59' F 7.70
91 K. Behrens K. Behrens 2 ⚽ 45' F 8.20
Bench
14 A. Kendouci A. Kendouci 12' M 6.30
1 A. Saipi A. Saipi G
4 D. Kelvin D. Kelvin D
24 E. Pihlström E. Pihlström 11' F 6.70
23 G. Ajdin G. Ajdin 5' M
9 G. Koutsias G. Koutsias 1 ⚽ 46' F 7.90
18 H. Mahou H. Mahou M
44 João Victor Schlickmann Carbone João Victor Schlickmann Carbone D
10 Mattia Bottani Mattia Bottani 32' F 6.50
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 4-3-3
13 M. Salvi M. Salvi G 7.00
31 D. Schmid D. Schmid D 6.20
24 F. Daniliuc F. Daniliuc D 6.00
4 B. Omeragić B. Omeragić D 6.30
27 K. Rüegg K. Rüegg 45' D 5.90
14 A. Bačanin A. Bačanin 62' M 6.30
22 L. Leroy L. Leroy M 6.20
8 K. Koindredi K. Koindredi M 6.90
18 Julien Duranville Julien Duranville 30' F 6.30
23 A. Ajeti A. Ajeti 62' F 6.20
21 I. Salah I. Salah 62' F 6.30
Bench
40 Agon Rexhaj Agon Rexhaj F
28 D. Kacuri D. Kacuri M
37 G. Koloto G. Koloto 29' F 6.90
6 K. Tsunemoto K. Tsunemoto 46' D 6.60
29 M. Cissé M. Cissé 29' D 7.20
19 M. Šotiček M. Šotiček 61' M 6.30
3 N. Vouilloz N. Vouilloz D
10 X. Shaqiri X. Shaqiri 29' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
D. von Ballmoos
D. von Ballmoos
G · FC
10.00
· 43 pass
K. Behrens
K. Behrens
F · FC
8.20
2 ⚽
3 shots · 8 pass
G. Koutsias
G. Koutsias
F · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
E. Alioski
E. Alioski
M · FC
7.90
2 👟
1 shots · 33 pass
R. Steffen
R. Steffen
F · FC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
L. Mai
L. Mai
D · FC
7.60
2 shots · 77 pass
FC Lugano FC Lugano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. von Ballmoos G 91 10.00 — — — 43 34% — — —
H. Delcroix D 91 7.00 — — — 44 40% — — —
L. Mai D 91 7.60 — — 2 77 72% 2 — —
A. Papadopoulos D 91 6.90 — — 1 32 28% 2 1 —
E. Alioski M 91 7.90 — 2 1 33 29% 1 — —
Y. Cimignani M 80 7.00 — — 1 30 27% 1 — —
U. Bislimi M 86 7.30 — — 2 76 70% 2 — —
H. Mahmoud M 79 6.90 — — 1 24 20% 3 — —
M. Zanotti M 91 7.30 — — — 22 21% 3 1 —
R. Steffen F 59 7.70 1 — 1 23 20% — — —
K. Behrens F 45 8.20 2 — 3 8 6% — — —
A. Kendouci M 12 6.30 — — — 13 12% — — —
E. Pihlström F 11 6.70 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
G. Ajdin M 5 — — — — 3 3% — — —
G. Koutsias F 46 7.90 1 — 2 14 9% — — —
Mattia Bottani F 32 6.50 — — 1 6 6% — — —
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Salvi G 91 7.00 — — — 17 14% — — —
D. Schmid D 91 6.20 — — — 52 44% 3 — —
F. Daniliuc D 91 6.00 — — — 54 52% 1 — —
B. Omeragić D 91 6.30 — — 2 51 46% 1 — —
K. Rüegg D 45 5.90 — — — 22 20% — 1 —
A. Bačanin M 62 6.30 — — 1 17 16% — 1 —
L. Leroy M 91 6.20 — — 3 44 39% 2 — —
K. Koindredi M 91 6.90 — — 1 34 30% 1 — —
Julien Duranville F 30 6.30 — — — 8 6% — — —
A. Ajeti F 62 6.20 — — — 9 9% — — —
I. Salah F 62 6.30 — — 2 12 8% 1 — —
G. Koloto F 29 6.90 — — 1 3 2% 1 — —
K. Tsunemoto D 46 6.60 — — — 18 16% 3 — —
M. Cissé D 29 7.20 — — — 15 14% 1 — —
M. Šotiček M 61 6.30 — — 1 14 12% 1 — —
X. Shaqiri M 29 6.60 — — 1 16 15% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893?
The final score was FC Lugano 4–0 FC Basel 1893.
What did the model predict before FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893?
The model assigned 60% probability to a FC Lugano win, 20% to a draw, and 19% to an FC Basel 1893 win.