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Super League · Championship Group - 38 May 17, 2026 16:30 Stadio di Cornaredo, Lugano
FC Lugano
#1 · 9 pts
4 – 0
Final score
FC Basel 1893
#5 · 6 pts
✓Model correct — prediction FC Lugano
K. Behrens (ast. E. Alioski) 10'
K. Behrens (ast. E. Alioski) 36'
R. Steffen 52'
G. Koutsias 56'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Lugano a 60% win probability (draw 20%, FC Basel 1893 19%). The final result was FC Lugano 4–0 FC Basel 1893. In 3 previous meetings, FC Lugano have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Basel 1893.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
12
10
Shots on target
6
1.39
Actual xG
1.22
6
Saves
6
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
5
15
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽K. Behrens · ast. E. Alioski
10'
27'
K. Ruegg
30'
M. Soticek / J. Duranville ↕
A. Papadopoulos
30'
⚽K. Behrens · ast. E. Alioski
36'
39'
A. Bacanin
↕ K. Behrens / G. Koutsias
46'
46'
K. Tsunemoto / K. Ruegg ↕
⚽R. Steffen
52'
⚽G. Koutsias
56'
↕ R. Steffen / M. Bottani
59'
62'
G. Koloto / A. Ajeti ↕
62'
M. Cisse / I. Salah ↕
62'
X. Shaqiri / A. Bacanin ↕
↕ M. Belhadj / A. Kendouci
79'
↕ Y. Cimignani / E. Pihlstrom
80'
M. Zanotti
85'
↕ U. Bislimi / G. Ajdin
86'
Pre-match prediction
60.2%
FC ←
20.36%
X
19.45%
FC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Lugano) 60.2% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.01
1.39
-0.62
FC
1.00
1.22
+0.22
xG dominance was balanced (1.39 – 1.22). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Lugano FC Lugano 3 9
2 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 3 7
3 FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 3 7
4 FC Sion FC Sion 3 6
5 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 3 6
6 Lausanne Lausanne 3 5
7 Servette FC Servette FC 3 3
8 FC Zurich FC Zurich 3 3
9 FC Thun FC Thun 3 3
10 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 3 1
11 FC Luzern FC Luzern 3 1
12 FC Vaduz FC Vaduz 3 0
Lineups
FC Lugano FC Lugano 3-5-1-1
16 David von Ballmoos David von Ballmoos G 10.00
3 Hannes Delcroix Hannes Delcroix D 7.00
17 Lars Lukas Mai Lars Lukas Mai D 7.60
6 Antonios Papadopoulos Antonios Papadopoulos D 6.90
7 Ezgjan Alioski Ezgjan Alioski 2 👟 M 7.90
21 Yanis Cimignani Yanis Cimignani 80' M 7.00
25 Uran Bislimi Uran Bislimi 86' M 7.30
29 H. Mahmoud H. Mahmoud 79' M 6.90
46 M. Zanotti M. Zanotti M 7.30
11 Renato Steffen Renato Steffen 1 ⚽ 59' F 7.70
91 K. Behrens K. Behrens 2 ⚽ 45' F 8.20
Bench
14 Ahmed Kendouci Ahmed Kendouci 12' M 6.30
1 Amir Saipi Amir Saipi G
44 Carbone Carbone D
4 Damian Kelvin Damian Kelvin D
24 Elias Pihlström Elias Pihlström 11' F 6.70
23 Gjan Ajdin Gjan Ajdin 5' M
9 G. Koutsias G. Koutsias 1 ⚽ 46' F 7.90
18 Hicham Mahou Hicham Mahou M
10 Mattia Bottani Mattia Bottani 32' F 6.50
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 4-3-3
13 Mirko Salvi Mirko Salvi G 7.00
31 D. Schmid D. Schmid D 6.20
24 Flavius Daniliuc Flavius Daniliuc D 6.00
4 Bećir Omeragić Bećir Omeragić D 6.30
27 Kevin Rüegg Kevin Rüegg 45' D 5.90
14 Andrej Bačanin Andrej Bačanin 62' M 6.30
22 Leo Leroy Leo Leroy M 6.20
8 Koba Koindredi Koba Koindredi M 6.90
18 Julien Duranville Julien Duranville 30' F 6.30
23 Albian Ajeti Albian Ajeti 62' F 6.20
21 Ibrahim Salah Ibrahim Salah 62' F 6.30
Bench
40 Agon Rexhaj Agon Rexhaj F
28 Dion Kacuri Dion Kacuri M
37 Giacomo Koloto Giacomo Koloto 29' F 6.90
6 Keigo Tsunemoto Keigo Tsunemoto 46' D 6.60
19 Marin Šotiček Marin Šotiček 61' M 6.30
29 Moussa Cissé Moussa Cissé 29' D 7.20
3 Nicolas Vouilloz Nicolas Vouilloz D
10 X. Shaqiri X. Shaqiri 29' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
David von Ballmoos
David von Ballmoos
G · FC
10.00
· 43 pass
K. Behrens
K. Behrens
F · FC
8.20
2 ⚽
3 shots · 8 pass
G. Koutsias
G. Koutsias
F · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
Ezgjan Alioski
Ezgjan Alioski
M · FC
7.90
2 👟
1 shots · 33 pass
Renato Steffen
Renato Steffen
F · FC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
Lars Lukas Mai
Lars Lukas Mai
D · FC
7.60
2 shots · 77 pass
FC Lugano FC Lugano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
David von Ballmoos G 91 10.00 — — — 43 34% — — —
Hannes Delcroix D 91 7.00 — — — 44 40% — — —
Lars Lukas Mai D 91 7.60 — — 2 77 72% 2 — —
Antonios Papadopoulos D 91 6.90 — — 1 32 28% 2 1 —
Ezgjan Alioski M 91 7.90 — 2 1 33 29% 1 — —
Yanis Cimignani M 80 7.00 — — 1 30 27% 1 — —
Uran Bislimi M 86 7.30 — — 2 76 70% 2 — —
H. Mahmoud M 79 6.90 — — 1 24 20% 3 — —
M. Zanotti M 91 7.30 — — — 22 21% 3 1 —
Renato Steffen F 59 7.70 1 — 1 23 20% — — —
K. Behrens F 45 8.20 2 — 3 8 6% — — —
Ahmed Kendouci M 12 6.30 — — — 13 12% — — —
Elias Pihlström F 11 6.70 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
Gjan Ajdin M 5 — — — — 3 3% — — —
G. Koutsias F 46 7.90 1 — 2 14 9% — — —
Mattia Bottani F 32 6.50 — — 1 6 6% — — —
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mirko Salvi G 91 7.00 — — — 17 14% — — —
D. Schmid D 91 6.20 — — — 52 44% 3 — —
Flavius Daniliuc D 91 6.00 — — — 54 52% 1 — —
Bećir Omeragić D 91 6.30 — — 2 51 46% 1 — —
Kevin Rüegg D 45 5.90 — — — 22 20% — 1 —
Andrej Bačanin M 62 6.30 — — 1 17 16% — 1 —
Leo Leroy M 91 6.20 — — 3 44 39% 2 — —
Koba Koindredi M 91 6.90 — — 1 34 30% 1 — —
Julien Duranville F 30 6.30 — — — 8 6% — — —
Albian Ajeti F 62 6.20 — — — 9 9% — — —
Ibrahim Salah F 62 6.30 — — 2 12 8% 1 — —
Giacomo Koloto F 29 6.90 — — 1 3 2% 1 — —
Keigo Tsunemoto D 46 6.60 — — — 18 16% 3 — —
Marin Šotiček M 61 6.30 — — 1 14 12% 1 — —
Moussa Cissé D 29 7.20 — — — 15 14% 1 — —
X. Shaqiri M 29 6.60 — — 1 16 15% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893?
The final score was FC Lugano 4–0 FC Basel 1893.
What did the model predict before FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893?
The model assigned 60% probability to a FC Lugano win, 20% to a draw, and 19% to an FC Basel 1893 win.