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Super League · Championship Group - 38 May 17, 2026 16:30 Cornaredo, Lugano
FC Lugano
#1 · 34 pts
4 – 0
Final score
FC Basel 1893
#7 · 15 pts
✓Model correct — prediction FC Lugano
K. Behrens (ast. E. Alioski) 10'
K. Behrens (ast. E. Alioski) 36'
R. Steffen 52'
G. Koutsias 56'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Lugano a 60% win probability (draw 20%, FC Basel 1893 19%). The final result was FC Lugano 4–0 FC Basel 1893. In 5 previous meetings, FC Lugano have won 4 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Basel 1893.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
12
10
Shots on target
6
1.39
Actual xG
1.22
6
Saves
6
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
5
15
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽K. Behrens · ast. E. Alioski
10'
27'
K. Ruegg
30'
M. Soticek / J. Duranville ↕
A. Papadopoulos
30'
⚽K. Behrens · ast. E. Alioski
36'
39'
A. Bacanin
↕ K. Behrens / G. Koutsias
46'
46'
K. Tsunemoto / K. Ruegg ↕
⚽R. Steffen
52'
⚽G. Koutsias
56'
↕ R. Steffen / M. Bottani
59'
62'
G. Koloto / A. Ajeti ↕
62'
M. Cisse / I. Salah ↕
62'
X. Shaqiri / A. Bacanin ↕
↕ M. Belhadj / A. Kendouci
79'
↕ Y. Cimignani / E. Pihlstrom
80'
M. Zanotti
85'
↕ U. Bislimi / G. Ajdin
86'
Pre-match prediction
60.2%
FC ←
20.36%
X
19.45%
FC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Lugano) 60.2% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.01
1.39
-0.62
FC
1.00
1.22
+0.22
xG dominance was balanced (1.39 – 1.22). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Lugano FC Lugano 13 34
2 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 13 28
3 FC Sion FC Sion 13 26
4 FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 13 22
5 FC Zurich FC Zurich 13 21
6 Servette FC Servette FC 13 17
7 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 13 15
8 FC Thun FC Thun 13 14
9 FC Luzern FC Luzern 13 13
10 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 13 11
11 FC Vaduz FC Vaduz 13 10
12 Lausanne Lausanne 13 7
Lineups
FC Lugano FC Lugano 3-5-1-1
16 D. von Ballmoos D. von Ballmoos G 10.00
3 H. Delcroix H. Delcroix D 7.00
17 L. Mai L. Mai D 7.60
6 A. Papadopoulos A. Papadopoulos D 6.90
7 E. Alioski E. Alioski 2 👟 M 7.90
21 Y. Cimignani Y. Cimignani 80' M 7.00
25 U. Bislimi U. Bislimi 86' M 7.30
29 H. Mahmoud H. Mahmoud 79' M 6.90
46 M. Zanotti M. Zanotti M 7.30
11 R. Steffen R. Steffen 1 ⚽ 59' F 7.70
91 K. Behrens K. Behrens 2 ⚽ 45' F 8.20
Bench
14 A. Kendouci A. Kendouci 12' M 6.30
1
Amir Saipi G
4 D. Kelvin D. Kelvin D
24 E. Pihlström E. Pihlström 11' F 6.70
23 G. Ajdin G. Ajdin 5' M
9 G. Koutsias G. Koutsias 1 ⚽ 46' F 7.90
18 H. Mahou H. Mahou M
44 João Victor Schlickmann Carbone João Victor Schlickmann Carbone D
10 Mattia Bottani Mattia Bottani 32' F 6.50
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 4-3-3
13 M. Salvi M. Salvi G 7.00
31 D. Schmid D. Schmid D 6.20
24 F. Daniliuc F. Daniliuc D 6.00
4 B. Omeragić B. Omeragić D 6.30
27 K. Rüegg K. Rüegg 45' D 5.90
14 A. Bačanin A. Bačanin 62' M 6.30
22 L. Leroy L. Leroy M 6.20
8 K. Koindredi K. Koindredi M 6.90
18 J. Duranville J. Duranville 30' F 6.30
23 A. Ajeti A. Ajeti 62' F 6.20
21 Ibrahim Salah Ibrahim Salah 62' F 6.30
Bench
40 Agon Rexhaj Agon Rexhaj F
28 D. Kacuri D. Kacuri M
37 G. Koloto G. Koloto 29' F 6.90
6 K. Tsunemoto K. Tsunemoto 46' D 6.60
29 M. Cissé M. Cissé 29' D 7.20
19 M. Šotiček M. Šotiček 61' M 6.30
3 N. Vouilloz N. Vouilloz D
10 X. Shaqiri X. Shaqiri 29' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
D. von Ballmoos
D. von Ballmoos
G · FC
10.00
· 43 pass
K. Behrens
K. Behrens
F · FC
8.20
2 ⚽
3 shots · 8 pass
G. Koutsias
G. Koutsias
F · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
E. Alioski
E. Alioski
M · FC
7.90
2 👟
1 shots · 33 pass
R. Steffen
R. Steffen
F · FC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
L. Mai
L. Mai
D · FC
7.60
2 shots · 77 pass
FC Lugano FC Lugano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. von Ballmoos G 91 10.00 — — — 43 34% — — —
H. Delcroix D 91 7.00 — — — 44 40% — — —
L. Mai D 91 7.60 — — 2 77 72% 2 — —
A. Papadopoulos D 91 6.90 — — 1 32 28% 2 1 —
E. Alioski M 91 7.90 — 2 1 33 29% 1 — —
Y. Cimignani M 80 7.00 — — 1 30 27% 1 — —
U. Bislimi M 86 7.30 — — 2 76 70% 2 — —
H. Mahmoud M 79 6.90 — — 1 24 20% 3 — —
M. Zanotti M 91 7.30 — — — 22 21% 3 1 —
R. Steffen F 59 7.70 1 — 1 23 20% — — —
K. Behrens F 45 8.20 2 — 3 8 6% — — —
A. Kendouci M 12 6.30 — — — 13 12% — — —
E. Pihlström F 11 6.70 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
G. Ajdin M 5 — — — — 3 3% — — —
G. Koutsias F 46 7.90 1 — 2 14 9% — — —
Mattia Bottani F 32 6.50 — — 1 6 6% — — —
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Salvi G 91 7.00 — — — 17 14% — — —
D. Schmid D 91 6.20 — — — 52 44% 3 — —
F. Daniliuc D 91 6.00 — — — 54 52% 1 — —
B. Omeragić D 91 6.30 — — 2 51 46% 1 — —
K. Rüegg D 45 5.90 — — — 22 20% — 1 —
A. Bačanin M 62 6.30 — — 1 17 16% — 1 —
L. Leroy M 91 6.20 — — 3 44 39% 2 — —
K. Koindredi M 91 6.90 — — 1 34 30% 1 — —
J. Duranville F 30 6.30 — — — 8 6% — — —
A. Ajeti F 62 6.20 — — — 9 9% — — —
Ibrahim Salah F 62 6.30 — — 2 12 8% 1 — —
G. Koloto F 29 6.90 — — 1 3 2% 1 — —
K. Tsunemoto D 46 6.60 — — — 18 16% 3 — —
M. Cissé D 29 7.20 — — — 15 14% 1 — —
M. Šotiček M 61 6.30 — — 1 14 12% 1 — —
X. Shaqiri M 29 6.60 — — 1 16 15% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893?
The final score was FC Lugano 4–0 FC Basel 1893.
What did the model predict before FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893?
The model assigned 60% probability to a FC Lugano win, 20% to a draw, and 19% to an FC Basel 1893 win.