✓Model correct — prediction FC Lugano
K. Behrens
(ast. E. Alioski)
10'
K. Behrens
(ast. E. Alioski)
36'
R. Steffen
52'
G. Koutsias
56'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Lugano a 60% win probability (draw 20%, FC Basel 1893 19%). The final result was FC Lugano 4–0 FC Basel 1893. In 3 previous meetings, FC Lugano have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Basel 1893.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
12
10
Shots on target
6
1.39
Actual xG
1.22
6
Saves
6
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
5
15
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽K. Behrens
· ast. E. Alioski
10'
27'
K. Ruegg
30'
M. Soticek
/
J. Duranville
A. Papadopoulos
30'
⚽K. Behrens
· ast. E. Alioski
36'
39'
A. Bacanin
K. Behrens
/ G. Koutsias
46'
46'
K. Tsunemoto
/
K. Ruegg
⚽R. Steffen
52'
⚽G. Koutsias
56'
R. Steffen
/ M. Bottani
59'
62'
G. Koloto
/
A. Ajeti
62'
M. Cisse
/
I. Salah
62'
X. Shaqiri
/
A. Bacanin
M. Belhadj
/ A. Kendouci
79'
Y. Cimignani
/ E. Pihlstrom
80'
M. Zanotti
85'
U. Bislimi
/ G. Ajdin
86'
Pre-match prediction
60.2%
FC ←
20.36%
X
19.45%
FC
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FC Lugano)
60.2%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.01
1.39
-0.62
1.00
1.22
+0.22
xG dominance was balanced (1.39 – 1.22).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
David von Ballmoos
G
David von Ballmoos
G
3
Hannes Delcroix
D
Hannes Delcroix
D
17
Lars Lukas Mai
D
Lars Lukas Mai
D
6
A. Papadopoulos
D
A. Papadopoulos
D
7
Ezgjan Alioski
2 👟
M
Ezgjan Alioski
2 👟
M
21
Yanis Cimignani
80'
M
Yanis Cimignani
80'
M
25
U. Bislimi
86'
M
U. Bislimi
86'
M
29
H. Mahmoud
79'
M
H. Mahmoud
79'
M
46
Mattia Zanotti
M
Mattia Zanotti
M
11
R. Steffen
1 ⚽
59'
F
R. Steffen
1 ⚽
59'
F
91
K. Behrens
2 ⚽
45'
F
K. Behrens
2 ⚽
45'
F
Bench
14
Ahmed Kendouci
12'
M
Ahmed Kendouci
12'
M
1
Amir Saipi
G
Amir Saipi
G
44
Carbone
D
Carbone
D
4
Damian Kelvin
D
Damian Kelvin
D
24
Elias Pihlström
11'
F
Elias Pihlström
11'
F
9
Georgios Koutsias
1 ⚽
46'
F
Georgios Koutsias
1 ⚽
46'
F
23
Gjan Ajdin
5'
M
Gjan Ajdin
5'
M
18
Hicham Mahou
M
Hicham Mahou
M
10
Mattia Bottani
32'
F
Mattia Bottani
32'
F
13
Mirko Salvi
G
Mirko Salvi
G
31
Dominik Schmid
D
Dominik Schmid
D
24
Flavius Daniliuc
D
Flavius Daniliuc
D
4
Bećir Omeragić
D
Bećir Omeragić
D
27
Kevin Rüegg
45'
D
Kevin Rüegg
45'
D
14
Andrej Bačanin
62'
M
Andrej Bačanin
62'
M
22
L. Leroy
M
L. Leroy
M
8
Koba Koindredi
M
Koba Koindredi
M
18
Julien Duranville
30'
F
Julien Duranville
30'
F
23
Albian Ajeti
62'
F
Albian Ajeti
62'
F
21
Ibrahim Salah
62'
F
Ibrahim Salah
62'
F
Bench
40
Agon Rexhaj
F
Agon Rexhaj
F
28
Dion Kacuri
M
Dion Kacuri
M
37
Giacomo Koloto
29'
F
Giacomo Koloto
29'
F
6
Keigo Tsunemoto
46'
D
Keigo Tsunemoto
46'
D
19
Marin Šotiček
61'
M
Marin Šotiček
61'
M
29
Moussa Cissé
29'
D
Moussa Cissé
29'
D
3
Nicolas Vouilloz
D
Nicolas Vouilloz
D
10
X. Shaqiri
29'
M
X. Shaqiri
29'
M
Best on the pitch
David von Ballmoos
G · FC
10.00
· 43 pass
K. Behrens
F · FC
8.20
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 8 pass
Georgios Koutsias
F · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
Ezgjan Alioski
M · FC
7.90
2 👟
1 shots
· 33 pass
R. Steffen
F · FC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Lars Lukas Mai
D · FC
7.60
2 shots
· 77 pass
FC Lugano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David von Ballmoos | G | 91 | 10.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Hannes Delcroix | D | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Lars Lukas Mai | D | 91 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 77 | 72% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Papadopoulos | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ezgjan Alioski | M | 91 | 7.90 | — | 2 | 1 | 33 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Yanis Cimignani | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| U. Bislimi | M | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 76 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Mahmoud | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Mattia Zanotti | M | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | 3 | 1 | — |
| R. Steffen | F | 59 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| K. Behrens | F | 45 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 3 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Kendouci | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Elias Pihlström | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Georgios Koutsias | F | 46 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Gjan Ajdin | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Mattia Bottani | F | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
FC Basel 1893 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirko Salvi | G | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Dominik Schmid | D | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| Flavius Daniliuc | D | 91 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Bećir Omeragić | D | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Rüegg | D | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Andrej Bačanin | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Leroy | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 44 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Koba Koindredi | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Julien Duranville | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Albian Ajeti | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Salah | F | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Giacomo Koloto | F | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Keigo Tsunemoto | D | 46 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Marin Šotiček | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Moussa Cissé | D | 29 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| X. Shaqiri | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893?
The final score was FC Lugano 4–0 FC Basel 1893.
What did the model predict before FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893?
The model assigned 60% probability to a FC Lugano win, 20% to a draw, and 19% to an FC Basel 1893 win.