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#4 · 3 pts
1 – 2
Final score
#3 · 3 pts
M. Belhadj (ast. K. Behrens) 53'
69' M. Stevanovic
(pen.) 74' L. Gortler
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Lugano a 47% win probability (draw 24%, FC ST. Gallen 28%). The final result was FC Lugano 1–2 FC ST. Gallen. In 3 previous meetings, FC Lugano have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for FC ST. Gallen.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
15
5
Shots on target
9
1.13
Actual xG
2.90
7
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
2
Corners
6
12
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
31'
N. Weibel
32'
D. Besio / N. Weibel
46'
M. Stevanovic / A. Vogt
46'
J. Ruiz / J. Stanic
R. Steffen
52'
M. Belhadj · ast. K. Behrens
53'
66'
H. Vandermersch
69'
M. Stevanovic
Y. Cimignani / E. Alioski
69'
K. Behrens / G. Koutsias
69'
H. Delcroix
73'
74'
(pen.) L. Gortler
77'
C. Boukhalfa
L. Mai / M. Bottani
78'
M. Belhadj / H. Mahou
78'
84'
N. Scherrer / A. Balde
A. Grgic / E. Pihlstrom
86'
90'+3
D. Besio
90'+3
H. Mahou
90'+3
90'+6
L. Daschner
90'+7
E. Alioski (missed pen.)
90'+8
90'+9
B. Fazliji / L. Daschner
Pre-match prediction
47.86%
FC
24.14%
X
28.0%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC ST. Gallen) 28.0% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
1.56
1.13
-0.43
FC
1.11
2.90
+1.79
FC ST. Gallen dominated by xG (2.90 vs 1.13). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 1 3
2 FC Thun FC Thun 1 3
3 FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 1 3
4 FC Lugano FC Lugano 1 3
5 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 1 3
6 Lausanne Lausanne 1 1
7 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1 1
8 FC Zurich FC Zurich 1 0
9 FC Vaduz FC Vaduz 1 0
10 Servette FC Servette FC 1 0
11 FC Sion FC Sion 1 0
12 FC Luzern FC Luzern 1 0
Lineups
FC Lugano FC Lugano 3-4-1-2
16 David von Ballmoos David von Ballmoos G 8.50
3 Hannes Delcroix Hannes Delcroix D 7.20
17 Lars Lukas Mai Lars Lukas Mai 78' D 6.90
6 Antonios Papadopoulos Antonios Papadopoulos D 6.20
21 Yanis Cimignani Yanis Cimignani 69' M 6.90
8 Anto Grgić Anto Grgić 86' M 6.60
25 Uran Bislimi Uran Bislimi M 6.90
46 Mattia Zanotti Mattia Zanotti M 6.20
29 H. Mahmoud H. Mahmoud 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.70
91 Kevin Behrens Kevin Behrens 1 👟 69' F 7.50
11 Renato Steffen Renato Steffen F 7.20
Bench
14 Ahmed Kendouci Ahmed Kendouci M
1 Amir Saipi Amir Saipi G
44 Carbone Carbone D
4 Damian Kelvin Damian Kelvin D
24 Elias Pihlström Elias Pihlström 10' F 6.50
7 Ezgjan Alioski Ezgjan Alioski 27' D 6.50
9 Georgios Koutsias Georgios Koutsias 27' F 6.50
18 Hicham Mahou Hicham Mahou 18' M 6.20
10 Mattia Bottani Mattia Bottani 18' F 6.30
1 Lawrence Ati Zigi Lawrence Ati Zigi G 6.70
36 Chima Okoroji Chima Okoroji D 7.50
4 Jozo Stanić Jozo Stanić 45' D 6.90
3 Colin Noah Kleine-Bekel Colin Noah Kleine-Bekel D 6.90
66 Nino Weibel Nino Weibel 32' M 6.30
11 Carlo Boukhalfa Carlo Boukhalfa M 6.50
10 Lukas Daschner Lukas Daschner M 6.60
16 Lukas Görtler Lukas Görtler 1 ⚽ M 8.20
28 Hugo Vandermersch Hugo Vandermersch M 6.60
14 Aliou Balde Aliou Balde 84' F 7.20
18 A. Vogt A. Vogt 45' F 6.00
Bench
23 Betim Fazliji Betim Fazliji M
63 Corsin Konietzke Corsin Konietzke M
69 Diego Besio Diego Besio 64' F 6.30
74 Joel Ruiz Joel Ruiz 51' D 6.20
64 Mihailo Stevanović Mihailo Stevanović 1 ⚽ 51' M 7.00
70 Nevio Scherrer Nevio Scherrer 12' F 6.70
77 Tiemoko Ouattara Tiemoko Ouattara F
26 Tom Gaal Tom Gaal D
81 Yannick Bujard Yannick Bujard G
Best on the pitch
David von Ballmoos
David von Ballmoos
G · FC
8.50
· 55 pass
Lukas Görtler
Lukas Görtler
M · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
H. Mahmoud
H. Mahmoud
F · FC
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 19 pass
Kevin Behrens
Kevin Behrens
F · FC
7.50
1 👟
· 28 pass
Chima Okoroji
Chima Okoroji
D · FC
7.50
1 shots · 29 pass
Hannes Delcroix
Hannes Delcroix
D · FC
7.20
1 shots · 44 pass
FC Lugano FC Lugano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
David von Ballmoos G 96 8.50 55 36%
Hannes Delcroix D 96 7.20 1 44 41% 3 1
Lars Lukas Mai D 78 6.90 37 34% 2
Antonios Papadopoulos D 96 6.20 2 23 20% 1
Yanis Cimignani M 69 6.90 33 26% 1
Anto Grgić M 86 6.60 44 31% 2
Uran Bislimi M 96 6.90 50 39%
Mattia Zanotti M 96 6.20 24 17% 1
H. Mahmoud F 78 7.70 1 3 19 17%
Kevin Behrens F 69 7.50 1 28 17%
Renato Steffen F 96 7.20 1 33 28% 1 1
Elias Pihlström F 10 6.50 2
Ezgjan Alioski D 27 6.50 6 4% 1
Georgios Koutsias F 27 6.50 2 1%
Hicham Mahou M 18 6.20 3 1% 1
Mattia Bottani F 18 6.30 1 1%
FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lawrence Ati Zigi G 96 6.70 23 16%
Chima Okoroji D 96 7.50 1 29 21%
Jozo Stanić D 45 6.90 1 33 28%
Colin Noah Kleine-Bekel D 96 6.90 37 31% 2
Nino Weibel M 32 6.30 6 4% 3 1
Carlo Boukhalfa M 96 6.50 2 20 12% 1 1
Lukas Daschner M 96 6.60 3 30 22% 1
Lukas Görtler M 96 8.20 1 2 28 22% 4
Hugo Vandermersch M 96 6.60 1 22 16% 1 1
Aliou Balde F 84 7.20 2 21 16% 1
A. Vogt F 45 6.00 1 1%
Diego Besio F 64 6.30 1 11 4% 1
Joel Ruiz D 51 6.20 15 9% 1
Mihailo Stevanović M 51 7.00 1 2 5 4% 2
Nevio Scherrer F 12 6.70 3 3%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Lugano vs FC ST. Gallen?
The final score was FC Lugano 1–2 FC ST. Gallen.
What did the model predict before FC Lugano vs FC ST. Gallen?
The model assigned 47% probability to a FC Lugano win, 24% to a draw, and 28% to an FC ST. Gallen win.