M. Belhadj
(ast. K. Behrens)
53'
69'
M. Stevanovic
(pen.)
74'
L. Gortler
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Lugano a 47% win probability (draw 24%, FC ST. Gallen 28%). The final result was FC Lugano 1–2 FC ST. Gallen. In 3 previous meetings, FC Lugano have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for FC ST. Gallen.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
15
5
Shots on target
9
1.13
Actual xG
2.90
7
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
2
Corners
6
12
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
31'
N. Weibel
32'
D. Besio
/
N. Weibel
46'
M. Stevanovic
/
A. Vogt
46'
J. Ruiz
/
J. Stanic
R. Steffen
52'
⚽M. Belhadj
· ast. K. Behrens
53'
66'
H. Vandermersch
69'
M. Stevanovic⚽
Y. Cimignani
/ E. Alioski
69'
K. Behrens
/ G. Koutsias
69'
H. Delcroix
73'
74'
(pen.)
L. Gortler⚽
77'
C. Boukhalfa
L. Mai
/ M. Bottani
78'
M. Belhadj
/ H. Mahou
78'
84'
N. Scherrer
/
A. Balde
A. Grgic
/ E. Pihlstrom
86'
90'+3
D. Besio
90'+3
H. Mahou
90'+3
90'+6
L. Daschner
90'+7
⚽E. Alioski
(missed pen.)
90'+8
90'+9
B. Fazliji
/
L. Daschner
Pre-match prediction
47.86%
FC
24.14%
X
28.0%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC ST. Gallen)
28.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.56
1.13
-0.43
1.11
2.90
+1.79
FC ST. Gallen dominated by xG (2.90 vs 1.13).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
D. von Ballmoos
G
D. von Ballmoos
G
3
H. Delcroix
D
H. Delcroix
D
17
L. Mai
78'
D
L. Mai
78'
D
6
A. Papadopoulos
D
A. Papadopoulos
D
21
Y. Cimignani
69'
M
Y. Cimignani
69'
M
8
A. Grgić
86'
M
A. Grgić
86'
M
25
U. Bislimi
M
U. Bislimi
M
46
M. Zanotti
M
M. Zanotti
M
29
H. Mahmoud
1 ⚽
78'
F
H. Mahmoud
1 ⚽
78'
F
91
K. Behrens
1 👟
69'
F
K. Behrens
1 👟
69'
F
11
R. Steffen
F
R. Steffen
F
Bench
14
A. Kendouci
M
A. Kendouci
M
1
Amir Saipi
G
Amir Saipi
G
4
D. Kelvin
D
D. Kelvin
D
7
E. Alioski
27'
D
E. Alioski
27'
D
24
E. Pihlström
10'
F
E. Pihlström
10'
F
9
G. Koutsias
27'
F
G. Koutsias
27'
F
18
Hicham Mahou
18'
M
Hicham Mahou
18'
M
44
João Victor Schlickmann Carbone
D
João Victor Schlickmann Carbone
D
10
Mattia Bottani
18'
F
Mattia Bottani
18'
F
1
L. Zigi
G
L. Zigi
G
36
C. Okoroji
D
C. Okoroji
D
4
J. Stanić
45'
D
J. Stanić
45'
D
3
C. Kleine-Bekel
D
C. Kleine-Bekel
D
66
Nino Weibel
32'
M
Nino Weibel
32'
M
11
C. Boukhalfa
M
C. Boukhalfa
M
10
L. Daschner
M
L. Daschner
M
16
L. Görtler
1 ⚽
M
L. Görtler
1 ⚽
M
28
H. Vandermersch
M
H. Vandermersch
M
14
A. Balde
84'
F
A. Balde
84'
F
18
A. Vogt
45'
F
A. Vogt
45'
F
Bench
23
B. Fazliji
M
B. Fazliji
M
63
C. Konietzke
M
C. Konietzke
M
69
D. Besio
64'
F
D. Besio
64'
F
74
J. Ruiz
51'
D
J. Ruiz
51'
D
64
M. Stevanovic
1 ⚽
51'
M
M. Stevanovic
1 ⚽
51'
M
70
N. Scherrer
12'
F
N. Scherrer
12'
F
26
Tom Gaal
D
Tom Gaal
D
77
T. Ouattara
F
T. Ouattara
F
81
Yannick Bujard
G
Yannick Bujard
G
Best on the pitch
D. von Ballmoos
G · FC
8.50
· 55 pass
L. Görtler
M · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
H. Mahmoud
F · FC
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 19 pass
K. Behrens
F · FC
7.50
1 👟
· 28 pass
C. Okoroji
D · FC
7.50
1 shots
· 29 pass
H. Delcroix
D · FC
7.20
1 shots
· 44 pass
FC Lugano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. von Ballmoos | G | 96 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 55 | 36% | — | — | — |
| H. Delcroix | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 41% | 3 | 1 | — |
| L. Mai | D | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Papadopoulos | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Cimignani | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Grgić | M | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 44 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| U. Bislimi | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | — | — | — |
| M. Zanotti | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Mahmoud | F | 78 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| K. Behrens | F | 69 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 17% | — | — | — |
| R. Steffen | F | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Alioski | D | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Pihlström | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| G. Koutsias | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Hicham Mahou | M | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Mattia Bottani | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
FC ST. Gallen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Zigi | G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| C. Okoroji | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 21% | — | — | — |
| J. Stanić | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| C. Kleine-Bekel | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Nino Weibel | M | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Boukhalfa | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Daschner | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Görtler | M | 96 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| H. Vandermersch | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Balde | F | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Vogt | F | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. Besio | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Ruiz | D | 51 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Stevanovic | M | 51 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Scherrer | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Lugano vs FC ST. Gallen?
The final score was FC Lugano 1–2 FC ST. Gallen.
What did the model predict before FC Lugano vs FC ST. Gallen?
The model assigned 47% probability to a FC Lugano win, 24% to a draw, and 28% to an FC ST. Gallen win.