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#1 · 19 pts
1 – 2
Final score
#5 · 10 pts
M. Belhadj (ast. K. Behrens) 53'
69' M. Stevanovic
(pen.) 74' L. Gortler
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Lugano a 47% win probability (draw 24%, FC ST. Gallen 28%). The final result was FC Lugano 1–2 FC ST. Gallen. In 3 previous meetings, FC Lugano have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for FC ST. Gallen.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
15
5
Shots on target
9
1.13
Actual xG
2.90
7
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
2
Corners
6
12
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
31'
N. Weibel
32'
D. Besio / N. Weibel
46'
M. Stevanovic / A. Vogt
46'
J. Ruiz / J. Stanic
R. Steffen
52'
M. Belhadj · ast. K. Behrens
53'
66'
H. Vandermersch
69'
M. Stevanovic
Y. Cimignani / E. Alioski
69'
K. Behrens / G. Koutsias
69'
H. Delcroix
73'
74'
(pen.) L. Gortler
77'
C. Boukhalfa
L. Mai / M. Bottani
78'
M. Belhadj / H. Mahou
78'
84'
N. Scherrer / A. Balde
A. Grgic / E. Pihlstrom
86'
90'+3
D. Besio
90'+3
H. Mahou
90'+3
90'+6
L. Daschner
90'+7
E. Alioski (missed pen.)
90'+8
90'+9
B. Fazliji / L. Daschner
Pre-match prediction
47.86%
FC
24.14%
X
28.0%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC ST. Gallen) 28.0% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
1.56
1.13
-0.43
FC
1.11
2.90
+1.79
FC ST. Gallen dominated by xG (2.90 vs 1.13). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Lugano FC Lugano 7 19
2 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 8 16
3 FC Sion FC Sion 7 15
4 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 8 13
5 FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 7 10
6 FC Zurich FC Zurich 8 10
7 FC Luzern FC Luzern 8 9
8 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 7 8
9 Servette FC Servette FC 7 7
10 FC Thun FC Thun 7 7
11 FC Vaduz FC Vaduz 8 6
12 Lausanne Lausanne 8 6
Lineups
FC Lugano FC Lugano 3-4-1-2
16 D. von Ballmoos D. von Ballmoos G 8.50
3 H. Delcroix H. Delcroix D 7.20
17 L. Mai L. Mai 78' D 6.90
6 A. Papadopoulos A. Papadopoulos D 6.20
21 Y. Cimignani Y. Cimignani 69' M 6.90
8 A. Grgić A. Grgić 86' M 6.60
25 U. Bislimi U. Bislimi M 6.90
46 M. Zanotti M. Zanotti M 6.20
29 H. Mahmoud H. Mahmoud 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.70
91 K. Behrens K. Behrens 1 👟 69' F 7.50
11 R. Steffen R. Steffen F 7.20
Bench
14 A. Kendouci A. Kendouci M
1 Amir Saipi Amir Saipi G
4 D. Kelvin D. Kelvin D
7 E. Alioski E. Alioski 27' D 6.50
24 E. Pihlström E. Pihlström 10' F 6.50
9 G. Koutsias G. Koutsias 27' F 6.50
18 Hicham Mahou Hicham Mahou 18' M 6.20
44 João Victor Schlickmann Carbone João Victor Schlickmann Carbone D
10 Mattia Bottani Mattia Bottani 18' F 6.30
1 L. Zigi L. Zigi G 6.70
36 C. Okoroji C. Okoroji D 7.50
4 J. Stanić J. Stanić 45' D 6.90
3 C. Kleine-Bekel C. Kleine-Bekel D 6.90
66 Nino Weibel Nino Weibel 32' M 6.30
11 C. Boukhalfa C. Boukhalfa M 6.50
10 L. Daschner L. Daschner M 6.60
16 L. Görtler L. Görtler 1 ⚽ M 8.20
28 H. Vandermersch H. Vandermersch M 6.60
14 A. Balde A. Balde 84' F 7.20
18 A. Vogt A. Vogt 45' F 6.00
Bench
23 B. Fazliji B. Fazliji M
63 C. Konietzke C. Konietzke M
69 D. Besio D. Besio 64' F 6.30
74 J. Ruiz J. Ruiz 51' D 6.20
64 M. Stevanovic M. Stevanovic 1 ⚽ 51' M 7.00
70 N. Scherrer N. Scherrer 12' F 6.70
26 Tom Gaal Tom Gaal D
77 T. Ouattara T. Ouattara F
81 Yannick Bujard Yannick Bujard G
Best on the pitch
D. von Ballmoos
D. von Ballmoos
G · FC
8.50
· 55 pass
L. Görtler
L. Görtler
M · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
H. Mahmoud
H. Mahmoud
F · FC
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 19 pass
K. Behrens
K. Behrens
F · FC
7.50
1 👟
· 28 pass
C. Okoroji
C. Okoroji
D · FC
7.50
1 shots · 29 pass
H. Delcroix
H. Delcroix
D · FC
7.20
1 shots · 44 pass
FC Lugano FC Lugano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. von Ballmoos G 96 8.50 55 36%
H. Delcroix D 96 7.20 1 44 41% 3 1
L. Mai D 78 6.90 37 34% 2
A. Papadopoulos D 96 6.20 2 23 20% 1
Y. Cimignani M 69 6.90 33 26% 1
A. Grgić M 86 6.60 44 31% 2
U. Bislimi M 96 6.90 50 39%
M. Zanotti M 96 6.20 24 17% 1
H. Mahmoud F 78 7.70 1 3 19 17%
K. Behrens F 69 7.50 1 28 17%
R. Steffen F 96 7.20 1 33 28% 1 1
E. Alioski D 27 6.50 6 4% 1
E. Pihlström F 10 6.50 2
G. Koutsias F 27 6.50 2 1%
Hicham Mahou M 18 6.20 3 1% 1
Mattia Bottani F 18 6.30 1 1%
FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Zigi G 96 6.70 23 16%
C. Okoroji D 96 7.50 1 29 21%
J. Stanić D 45 6.90 1 33 28%
C. Kleine-Bekel D 96 6.90 37 31% 2
Nino Weibel M 32 6.30 6 4% 3 1
C. Boukhalfa M 96 6.50 2 20 12% 1 1
L. Daschner M 96 6.60 3 30 22% 1
L. Görtler M 96 8.20 1 2 28 22% 4
H. Vandermersch M 96 6.60 1 22 16% 1 1
A. Balde F 84 7.20 2 21 16% 1
A. Vogt F 45 6.00 1 1%
D. Besio F 64 6.30 1 11 4% 1
J. Ruiz D 51 6.20 15 9% 1
M. Stevanovic M 51 7.00 1 2 5 4% 2
N. Scherrer F 12 6.70 3 3%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Lugano vs FC ST. Gallen?
The final score was FC Lugano 1–2 FC ST. Gallen.
What did the model predict before FC Lugano vs FC ST. Gallen?
The model assigned 47% probability to a FC Lugano win, 24% to a draw, and 28% to an FC ST. Gallen win.