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#1 · 25 pts
1 – 0
Final score
#9 · 10 pts
D. Dos Santos (ast. R. Steffen) 59'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Thun a 52% win probability (draw 19%, FC Lugano 28%). The final result was FC Lugano 1–0 FC Thun. In 3 previous meetings, FC Lugano have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Thun.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
6
1.06
Actual xG
1.55
6
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
3
Corners
5
12
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
5'
Genís Montolio
Antonios Papadopoulos
42'
Yanis Cimignani
56'
⚽D. Dos Santos · ast. R. Steffen
59'
64'
Michael Heule
67'
F. Dursun / F. Meichtry ↕
67'
V. Matoshi / B. Labeau ↕
67'
N. Reichmuth / K. Imeri ↕
↕ Y. Cimignani / M. Marques
71'
79'
J. Roth / L. Bertone ↕
↕ M. Zanotti / E. Alioski
84'
↕ R. Steffen / H. Mahou
84'
↕ D. Dos Santos / M. Bottani
84'
86'
M. Gutbub / M. Kait ↕
90'+3
Niklas Steffen
↕ G. Koutsias / E. Pihlstrom
90'
Pre-match prediction
28.15%
FC ←
19.64%
X
52.2%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (FC Lugano) 28.15% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
1.03
1.06
+0.03
FC
2.38
1.55
-0.83
FC Thun dominated by xG (1.55 vs 1.06). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Lugano FC Lugano 9 25
2 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 9 19
3 FC Sion FC Sion 9 19
4 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 9 13
5 FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 9 13
6 FC Luzern FC Luzern 9 12
7 FC Zurich FC Zurich 9 11
8 Servette FC Servette FC 9 10
9 FC Thun FC Thun 9 10
10 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 9 8
11 FC Vaduz FC Vaduz 9 6
12 Lausanne Lausanne 9 6
Lineups
FC Lugano FC Lugano 3-4-2-1
1
G 8.90
3 H. Delcroix H. Delcroix D 7.00
17 L. Mai L. Mai D 7.00
6 A. Papadopoulos A. Papadopoulos D 7.20
21 Y. Cimignani Y. Cimignani 71' M 6.60
8
M 7.60
25 U. Bislimi U. Bislimi M 7.30
46 M. Zanotti M. Zanotti 84' M 6.90
27 Daniel Dos Santos Daniel Dos Santos 1 ⚽ 84' F 9.00
11 R. Steffen R. Steffen 1 👟 84' F 6.90
9 G. Koutsias G. Koutsias F 6.30
Bench
4 D. Kelvin D. Kelvin D
7 E. Alioski E. Alioski 11' D 6.70
29 H. Mahmoud H. Mahmoud 11' M 6.90
FC Thun FC Thun 4-2-2-2
24 N. Steffen N. Steffen G 6.90
27 M. Heule M. Heule D 7.30
19
D 6.30
4
Genís Montolio D 6.60
47 F. Fehr F. Fehr D 7.30
14 M. Käit M. Käit 86' M 7.20
6 L. Bertone L. Bertone 79' M 6.70
7 K. Imeri K. Imeri 67' M 6.20
77 Franz-Ethan Meichtry Franz-Ethan Meichtry 67' M 6.30
74 E. Rastoder E. Rastoder F 6.90
96 B. Labeau B. Labeau 67' F 5.90
Bench
16 J. Roth J. Roth 16' M 6.30
78 V. Matoshi V. Matoshi 28' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
Daniel Dos Santos
Daniel Dos Santos
F · FC
9.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 30 pass
G · FC
8.90
· 52 pass
M · FC
7.60
· 48 pass
U. Bislimi
U. Bislimi
M · FC
7.30
· 55 pass
F. Fehr
F. Fehr
D · FC
7.30
1 shots · 29 pass
M. Heule
M. Heule
D · FC
7.30
1 shots · 31 pass
FC Lugano FC Lugano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 8.90 — — — 52 32% — — —
H. Delcroix D 95 7.00 — — — 60 51% 2 — —
L. Mai D 95 7.00 — — — 38 33% 3 — —
A. Papadopoulos D 95 7.20 — — — 21 19% 1 1 —
Y. Cimignani M 71 6.60 — — 3 39 32% — 1 —
M 95 7.60 — — — 48 36% — — —
U. Bislimi M 95 7.30 — — — 55 50% 3 — —
M. Zanotti M 84 6.90 — — 1 23 19% 1 — —
Daniel Dos Santos F 84 9.00 1 — 2 30 22% 2 — —
R. Steffen F 84 6.90 — 1 2 38 28% — — —
G. Koutsias F 90 6.30 — — 1 22 16% — — —
E. Alioski D 11 6.70 — — — 5 3% — — —
H. Mahmoud M 11 6.90 — — — 2 2% — — —
FC Thun FC Thun — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Steffen G 95 6.90 — — — 31 20% — 1 —
M. Heule D 95 7.30 — — 1 31 17% 2 1 —
D 95 6.30 — — 1 46 40% — — —
Genís Montolio D 95 6.60 — — 1 41 32% 1 1 —
F. Fehr D 95 7.30 — — 1 29 19% 3 — —
M. Käit M 86 7.20 — — — 28 25% 1 — —
L. Bertone M 79 6.70 — — 1 30 21% — — —
K. Imeri M 67 6.20 — — 2 10 7% — — —
Franz-Ethan Meichtry M 67 6.30 — — 2 12 8% — — —
E. Rastoder F 95 6.90 — — 1 17 14% — — —
B. Labeau F 67 5.90 — — — 10 5% — — —
J. Roth M 16 6.30 — — — 3 1% — — —
V. Matoshi M 28 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Lugano vs FC Thun?
The final score was FC Lugano 1–0 FC Thun.
What did the model predict before FC Lugano vs FC Thun?
The model assigned 28% probability to a FC Lugano win, 19% to a draw, and 52% to an FC Thun win.