D. Dos Santos
(ast. R. Steffen)
59'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Thun a 52% win probability (draw 19%, FC Lugano 28%). The final result was FC Lugano 1–0 FC Thun. In 3 previous meetings, FC Lugano have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Thun.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
6
1.06
Actual xG
1.55
6
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
3
Corners
5
12
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
5'
Genís Montolio
Antonios Papadopoulos
42'
Yanis Cimignani
56'
⚽D. Dos Santos
· ast. R. Steffen
59'
64'
Michael Heule
67'
F. Dursun
/
F. Meichtry
67'
V. Matoshi
/
B. Labeau
67'
N. Reichmuth
/
K. Imeri
Y. Cimignani
/ M. Marques
71'
79'
J. Roth
/
L. Bertone
M. Zanotti
/ E. Alioski
84'
R. Steffen
/ H. Mahou
84'
D. Dos Santos
/ M. Bottani
84'
86'
M. Gutbub
/
M. Kait
90'+3
Niklas Steffen
G. Koutsias
/ E. Pihlstrom
90'
Pre-match prediction
28.15%
FC ←
19.64%
X
52.2%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (FC Lugano)
28.15%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.03
1.06
+0.03
2.38
1.55
-0.83
FC Thun dominated by xG (1.55 vs 1.06).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
3
Hannes Delcroix
D
Hannes Delcroix
D
17
Lars Lukas Mai
D
Lars Lukas Mai
D
6
A. Papadopoulos
D
A. Papadopoulos
D
21
Yanis Cimignani
71'
M
Yanis Cimignani
71'
M
8
M
25
U. Bislimi
M
U. Bislimi
M
46
Mattia Zanotti
84'
M
Mattia Zanotti
84'
M
27
Daniel Dos Santos
1 ⚽
84'
F
Daniel Dos Santos
1 ⚽
84'
F
11
R. Steffen
1 👟
84'
F
R. Steffen
1 👟
84'
F
9
Georgios Koutsias
F
Georgios Koutsias
F
Bench
4
Damian Kelvin
D
Damian Kelvin
D
7
Ezgjan Alioski
11'
D
Ezgjan Alioski
11'
D
29
H. Mahmoud
11'
M
H. Mahmoud
11'
M
24
Niklas Steffen
G
Niklas Steffen
G
27
M. Heule
D
M. Heule
D
19
D
4
Genís Montolio
D
47
F. Fehr
D
F. Fehr
D
14
Mattias Käit
86'
M
Mattias Käit
86'
M
6
L. Bertone
79'
M
L. Bertone
79'
M
7
K. Imeri
67'
M
K. Imeri
67'
M
77
E. Meichtry
67'
M
E. Meichtry
67'
M
74
E. Rastoder
F
E. Rastoder
F
96
Brighton Labeau
67'
F
Brighton Labeau
67'
F
Bench
16
Justin Roth
16'
M
Justin Roth
16'
M
78
V. Matoshi
28'
M
V. Matoshi
28'
M
Best on the pitch
Daniel Dos Santos
F · FC
9.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
G · FC
8.90
· 52 pass
M · FC
7.60
· 48 pass
U. Bislimi
M · FC
7.30
· 55 pass
F. Fehr
D · FC
7.30
1 shots
· 29 pass
M. Heule
D · FC
7.30
1 shots
· 31 pass
FC Lugano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 32% | — | — | — | |
| Hannes Delcroix | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 60 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Lars Lukas Mai | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Papadopoulos | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Yanis Cimignani | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 39 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| M | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 48 | 36% | — | — | — | |
| U. Bislimi | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 55 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| Mattia Zanotti | M | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Dos Santos | F | 84 | 9.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Steffen | F | 84 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 38 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Georgios Koutsias | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Ezgjan Alioski | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| H. Mahmoud | M | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
FC Thun — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niklas Steffen | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Heule | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 40% | — | — | — | |
| Genís Montolio | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Fehr | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Mattias Käit | M | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Bertone | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 21% | — | — | — |
| K. Imeri | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| E. Meichtry | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| E. Rastoder | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Brighton Labeau | F | 67 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Justin Roth | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| V. Matoshi | M | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Lugano vs FC Thun?
The final score was FC Lugano 1–0 FC Thun.
What did the model predict before FC Lugano vs FC Thun?
The model assigned 28% probability to a FC Lugano win, 19% to a draw, and 52% to an FC Thun win.