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#2 · 0 pts
1 – 0
Final score
#11 · 0 pts
D. Dos Santos (ast. R. Steffen) 59'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Thun a 52% win probability (draw 19%, FC Lugano 28%). The final result was FC Lugano 1–0 FC Thun. In 3 previous meetings, FC Lugano have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Thun.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
6
1.06
Actual xG
1.55
6
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
3
Corners
5
12
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
5'
Genís Montolio
Antonios Papadopoulos
42'
Yanis Cimignani
56'
D. Dos Santos · ast. R. Steffen
59'
64'
Michael Heule
67'
F. Dursun / F. Meichtry
67'
V. Matoshi / B. Labeau
67'
N. Reichmuth / K. Imeri
Y. Cimignani / M. Marques
71'
79'
J. Roth / L. Bertone
M. Zanotti / E. Alioski
84'
R. Steffen / H. Mahou
84'
D. Dos Santos / M. Bottani
84'
86'
M. Gutbub / M. Kait
90'+3
Niklas Steffen
G. Koutsias / E. Pihlstrom
90'
Pre-match prediction
28.15%
FC ←
19.64%
X
52.2%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (FC Lugano) 28.15% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
1.03
1.06
+0.03
FC
2.38
1.55
-0.83
FC Thun dominated by xG (1.55 vs 1.06). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lausanne Lausanne 0 0
2 FC Lugano FC Lugano 0 0
3 Servette FC Servette FC 0 0
4 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 0 0
5 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 0 0
6 FC Zurich FC Zurich 0 0
7 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0 0
8 FC Luzern FC Luzern 0 0
9 FC Sion FC Sion 0 0
10 FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 0 0
11 FC Thun FC Thun 0 0
12 FC Vaduz FC Vaduz 0 0
Lineups
FC Lugano FC Lugano 3-4-2-1
1
G 8.90
3 Hannes Delcroix Hannes Delcroix D 7.00
17 Lars Lukas Mai Lars Lukas Mai D 7.00
6 A. Papadopoulos A. Papadopoulos D 7.20
21 Yanis Cimignani Yanis Cimignani 71' M 6.60
8
M 7.60
25 U. Bislimi U. Bislimi M 7.30
46 Mattia Zanotti Mattia Zanotti 84' M 6.90
27 Daniel Dos Santos Daniel Dos Santos 1 ⚽ 84' F 9.00
11 R. Steffen R. Steffen 1 👟 84' F 6.90
9 Georgios Koutsias Georgios Koutsias F 6.30
Bench
4 Damian Kelvin Damian Kelvin D
7 Ezgjan Alioski Ezgjan Alioski 11' D 6.70
29 H. Mahmoud H. Mahmoud 11' M 6.90
FC Thun FC Thun 4-2-2-2
24 Niklas Steffen Niklas Steffen G 6.90
27 M. Heule M. Heule D 7.30
19
D 6.30
4
Genís Montolio D 6.60
47 F. Fehr F. Fehr D 7.30
14 Mattias Käit Mattias Käit 86' M 7.20
6 L. Bertone L. Bertone 79' M 6.70
7 K. Imeri K. Imeri 67' M 6.20
77 E. Meichtry E. Meichtry 67' M 6.30
74 E. Rastoder E. Rastoder F 6.90
96 Brighton Labeau Brighton Labeau 67' F 5.90
Bench
16 Justin Roth Justin Roth 16' M 6.30
78 V. Matoshi V. Matoshi 28' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
Daniel Dos Santos
Daniel Dos Santos
F · FC
9.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 30 pass
G · FC
8.90
· 52 pass
M · FC
7.60
· 48 pass
U. Bislimi
U. Bislimi
M · FC
7.30
· 55 pass
F. Fehr
F. Fehr
D · FC
7.30
1 shots · 29 pass
M. Heule
M. Heule
D · FC
7.30
1 shots · 31 pass
FC Lugano FC Lugano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 8.90 52 32%
Hannes Delcroix D 95 7.00 60 51% 2
Lars Lukas Mai D 95 7.00 38 33% 3
A. Papadopoulos D 95 7.20 21 19% 1 1
Yanis Cimignani M 71 6.60 3 39 32% 1
M 95 7.60 48 36%
U. Bislimi M 95 7.30 55 50% 3
Mattia Zanotti M 84 6.90 1 23 19% 1
Daniel Dos Santos F 84 9.00 1 2 30 22% 2
R. Steffen F 84 6.90 1 2 38 28%
Georgios Koutsias F 90 6.30 1 22 16%
Ezgjan Alioski D 11 6.70 5 3%
H. Mahmoud M 11 6.90 2 2%
FC Thun FC Thun — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Niklas Steffen G 95 6.90 31 20% 1
M. Heule D 95 7.30 1 31 17% 2 1
D 95 6.30 1 46 40%
Genís Montolio D 95 6.60 1 41 32% 1 1
F. Fehr D 95 7.30 1 29 19% 3
Mattias Käit M 86 7.20 28 25% 1
L. Bertone M 79 6.70 1 30 21%
K. Imeri M 67 6.20 2 10 7%
E. Meichtry M 67 6.30 2 12 8%
E. Rastoder F 95 6.90 1 17 14%
Brighton Labeau F 67 5.90 10 5%
Justin Roth M 16 6.30 3 1%
V. Matoshi M 28 6.30 4 3%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Lugano vs FC Thun?
The final score was FC Lugano 1–0 FC Thun.
What did the model predict before FC Lugano vs FC Thun?
The model assigned 28% probability to a FC Lugano win, 19% to a draw, and 52% to an FC Thun win.