← Super League
#3 · 64 pts
1 – 0
Final score
#1 · 74 pts
D. Dos Santos (ast. R. Steffen) 59'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Thun a 52% win probability (draw 19%, FC Lugano 28%). The final result was FC Lugano 1–0 FC Thun. In 3 previous meetings, FC Lugano have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Thun.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
6
1.06
Actual xG
1.55
6
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
3
Corners
5
12
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
5'
Genís Montolio
Antonios Papadopoulos
42'
Yanis Cimignani
56'
D. Dos Santos · ast. R. Steffen
59'
64'
Michael Heule
67'
F. Dursun / F. Meichtry
67'
V. Matoshi / B. Labeau
67'
N. Reichmuth / K. Imeri
Y. Cimignani / M. Marques
71'
79'
J. Roth / L. Bertone
M. Zanotti / E. Alioski
84'
R. Steffen / H. Mahou
84'
D. Dos Santos / M. Bottani
84'
86'
M. Gutbub / M. Kait
90'+3
Niklas Steffen
G. Koutsias / E. Pihlstrom
90'
Pre-match prediction
28.15%
FC ←
19.64%
X
52.2%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (FC Lugano) 28.15% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
1.03
1.06
+0.03
FC
2.38
1.55
-0.83
FC Thun dominated by xG (1.55 vs 1.06). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Thun FC Thun 37 74
1 FC Luzern FC Luzern 37 50
2 FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 37 69
2 Servette FC Servette FC 37 50
3 Lausanne Lausanne 37 42
3 FC Lugano FC Lugano 37 64
4 FC Zurich FC Zurich 37 38
4 FC Sion FC Sion 37 62
5 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 37 30
5 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 37 56
6 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 37 54
6 FC Winterthur FC Winterthur 37 23
Lineups
FC Lugano FC Lugano 3-4-2-1
1
G 8.90
3 Hannes Delcroix Hannes Delcroix D 7.00
17 Lars Lukas Mai Lars Lukas Mai D 7.00
6 Antonios Papadopoulos Antonios Papadopoulos D 7.20
21 Yanis Cimignani Yanis Cimignani 71' M 6.60
8
M 7.60
25 Uran Bislimi Uran Bislimi M 7.30
46 Mattia Zanotti Mattia Zanotti 84' M 6.90
27 Daniel Dos Santos Daniel Dos Santos 1 ⚽ 84' F 9.00
11 Renato Steffen Renato Steffen 1 👟 84' F 6.90
9 Georgios Koutsias Georgios Koutsias F 6.30
Bench
4 Damian Kelvin Damian Kelvin D
7 Ezgjan Alioski Ezgjan Alioski 11' D 6.70
29 Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud 11' M 6.90
FC Thun FC Thun 4-2-2-2
24 Niklas Steffen Niklas Steffen G 6.90
27 Michael Heule Michael Heule D 7.30
19
D 6.30
4
Genís Montolio D 6.60
47 Fabio Fehr Fabio Fehr D 7.30
14 Mattias Käit Mattias Käit 86' M 7.20
6 Leonardo Bertone Leonardo Bertone 79' M 6.70
7 Kastriot Imeri Kastriot Imeri 67' M 6.20
77 E. Meichtry E. Meichtry 67' M 6.30
74 Elmin Rastoder Elmin Rastoder F 6.90
96 Brighton Labeau Brighton Labeau 67' F 5.90
Bench
16 Justin Roth Justin Roth 16' M 6.30
78 Valmir Matoshi Valmir Matoshi 28' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
Daniel Dos Santos
Daniel Dos Santos
F · FC
9.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 30 pass
G · FC
8.90
· 52 pass
M · FC
7.60
· 48 pass
Uran Bislimi
Uran Bislimi
M · FC
7.30
· 55 pass
Fabio Fehr
Fabio Fehr
D · FC
7.30
1 shots · 29 pass
Michael Heule
Michael Heule
D · FC
7.30
1 shots · 31 pass
FC Lugano FC Lugano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 8.90 52 32%
Hannes Delcroix D 95 7.00 60 51% 2
Lars Lukas Mai D 95 7.00 38 33% 3
Antonios Papadopoulos D 95 7.20 21 19% 1 1
Yanis Cimignani M 71 6.60 3 39 32% 1
M 95 7.60 48 36%
Uran Bislimi M 95 7.30 55 50% 3
Mattia Zanotti M 84 6.90 1 23 19% 1
Daniel Dos Santos F 84 9.00 1 2 30 22% 2
Renato Steffen F 84 6.90 1 2 38 28%
Georgios Koutsias F 90 6.30 1 22 16%
Ezgjan Alioski D 11 6.70 5 3%
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud M 11 6.90 2 2%
FC Thun FC Thun — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Niklas Steffen G 95 6.90 31 20% 1
Michael Heule D 95 7.30 1 31 17% 2 1
D 95 6.30 1 46 40%
Genís Montolio D 95 6.60 1 41 32% 1 1
Fabio Fehr D 95 7.30 1 29 19% 3
Mattias Käit M 86 7.20 28 25% 1
Leonardo Bertone M 79 6.70 1 30 21%
Kastriot Imeri M 67 6.20 2 10 7%
E. Meichtry M 67 6.30 2 12 8%
Elmin Rastoder F 95 6.90 1 17 14%
Brighton Labeau F 67 5.90 10 5%
Justin Roth M 16 6.30 3 1%
Valmir Matoshi M 28 6.30 4 3%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Lugano vs FC Thun?
The final score was FC Lugano 1–0 FC Thun.
What did the model predict before FC Lugano vs FC Thun?
The model assigned 28% probability to a FC Lugano win, 19% to a draw, and 52% to an FC Thun win.