D. Dos Santos
(ast. R. Steffen)
59'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Thun a 52% win probability (draw 19%, FC Lugano 28%). The final result was FC Lugano 1–0 FC Thun. In 3 previous meetings, FC Lugano have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Thun.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
6
1.06
Actual xG
1.55
6
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
3
Corners
5
12
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
5'
Genís Montolio
Antonios Papadopoulos
42'
Yanis Cimignani
56'
⚽D. Dos Santos
· ast. R. Steffen
59'
64'
Michael Heule
67'
F. Dursun
/
F. Meichtry
67'
V. Matoshi
/
B. Labeau
67'
N. Reichmuth
/
K. Imeri
Y. Cimignani
/ M. Marques
71'
79'
J. Roth
/
L. Bertone
M. Zanotti
/ E. Alioski
84'
R. Steffen
/ H. Mahou
84'
D. Dos Santos
/ M. Bottani
84'
86'
M. Gutbub
/
M. Kait
90'+3
Niklas Steffen
G. Koutsias
/ E. Pihlstrom
90'
Pre-match prediction
28.15%
FC ←
19.64%
X
52.2%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (FC Lugano)
28.15%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.03
1.06
+0.03
2.38
1.55
-0.83
FC Thun dominated by xG (1.55 vs 1.06).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
3
H. Delcroix
D
H. Delcroix
D
17
L. Mai
D
L. Mai
D
6
A. Papadopoulos
D
A. Papadopoulos
D
21
Y. Cimignani
71'
M
Y. Cimignani
71'
M
8
M
25
U. Bislimi
M
U. Bislimi
M
46
M. Zanotti
84'
M
M. Zanotti
84'
M
27
Daniel Dos Santos
1 ⚽
84'
F
Daniel Dos Santos
1 ⚽
84'
F
11
R. Steffen
1 👟
84'
F
R. Steffen
1 👟
84'
F
9
G. Koutsias
F
G. Koutsias
F
Bench
4
D. Kelvin
D
D. Kelvin
D
7
E. Alioski
11'
D
E. Alioski
11'
D
29
H. Mahmoud
11'
M
H. Mahmoud
11'
M
24
N. Steffen
G
N. Steffen
G
27
M. Heule
D
M. Heule
D
19
D
4
Genís Montolio
D
47
F. Fehr
D
F. Fehr
D
14
M. Käit
86'
M
M. Käit
86'
M
6
L. Bertone
79'
M
L. Bertone
79'
M
7
K. Imeri
67'
M
K. Imeri
67'
M
77
Franz-Ethan Meichtry
67'
M
Franz-Ethan Meichtry
67'
M
74
E. Rastoder
F
E. Rastoder
F
96
B. Labeau
67'
F
B. Labeau
67'
F
Bench
16
J. Roth
16'
M
J. Roth
16'
M
78
V. Matoshi
28'
M
V. Matoshi
28'
M
Best on the pitch
Daniel Dos Santos
F · FC
9.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
G · FC
8.90
· 52 pass
M · FC
7.60
· 48 pass
U. Bislimi
M · FC
7.30
· 55 pass
F. Fehr
D · FC
7.30
1 shots
· 29 pass
M. Heule
D · FC
7.30
1 shots
· 31 pass
FC Lugano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 32% | — | — | — | |
| H. Delcroix | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 60 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Mai | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Papadopoulos | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Y. Cimignani | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 39 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| M | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 48 | 36% | — | — | — | |
| U. Bislimi | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 55 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Zanotti | M | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Dos Santos | F | 84 | 9.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Steffen | F | 84 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 38 | 28% | — | — | — |
| G. Koutsias | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| E. Alioski | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| H. Mahmoud | M | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
FC Thun — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Steffen | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Heule | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 40% | — | — | — | |
| Genís Montolio | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Fehr | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Käit | M | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Bertone | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 21% | — | — | — |
| K. Imeri | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Franz-Ethan Meichtry | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| E. Rastoder | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| B. Labeau | F | 67 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Roth | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| V. Matoshi | M | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Lugano vs FC Thun?
The final score was FC Lugano 1–0 FC Thun.
What did the model predict before FC Lugano vs FC Thun?
The model assigned 28% probability to a FC Lugano win, 19% to a draw, and 52% to an FC Thun win.