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#1 · 25 pts
5 – 0
Final score
#7 · 11 pts
K. Behrens (ast. H. Delcroix) 16'
K. Behrens (ast. A. Grgic) 34'
R. Steffen (ast. D. von Ballmoos) 52'
D. Dos Santos (ast. M. Zanotti) 79'
D. Moncada 89'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Lugano a 38% win probability (draw 30%, FC Zurich 30%). The final result was FC Lugano 5–0 FC Zurich. In 3 previous meetings, FC Lugano have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FC Zurich.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
1
2.46
Actual xG
0.72
1
Saves
3
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
2
19
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽K. Behrens · ast. H. Delcroix
16'
20'
S. Hodza
33'
V. Berisha
⚽K. Behrens · ast. A. Grgic
34'
44'
J. Perea / B. Krasniqi ↕
44'
K. Spadanuda / V. Berisha ↕
45'+1
L. Comenencia
⚽R. Steffen · ast. D. von Ballmoos
52'
↕ E. Pihlstrom / D. Dos Santos
62'
67'
N. Di Giusto / U. Emmanuel ↕
67'
M. Bangoura / L. Schodler ↕
↕ U. Bislimi / A. Kendouci
70'
↕ K. Behrens / D. Moncada
70'
⚽D. Dos Santos · ast. M. Zanotti
79'
↕ R. Steffen / M. Marques
80'
↕ H. Delcroix / D. Kelvin
80'
⚽D. Moncada
89'
Pre-match prediction
38.57%
FC ←
30.53%
X
30.9%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (FC Lugano) 38.57% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.53
2.46
-0.07
FC
1.67
0.72
-0.95
FC Lugano dominated by xG (2.46 vs 0.72). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Lugano FC Lugano 9 25
2 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 9 19
3 FC Sion FC Sion 9 19
4 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 9 13
5 FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 9 13
6 FC Luzern FC Luzern 9 12
7 FC Zurich FC Zurich 9 11
8 Servette FC Servette FC 9 10
9 FC Thun FC Thun 9 10
10 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 9 8
11 FC Vaduz FC Vaduz 9 6
12 Lausanne Lausanne 9 6
Lineups
FC Lugano FC Lugano 3-4-2-1
16 D. von Ballmoos D. von Ballmoos 1 👟 G 7.50
3 H. Delcroix H. Delcroix 1 👟 80' D 7.20
17 L. Mai L. Mai D 7.20
6 A. Papadopoulos A. Papadopoulos D 7.30
21 Y. Cimignani Y. Cimignani M 7.70
25 U. Bislimi U. Bislimi 70' M 7.30
8 A. Grgić A. Grgić 1 👟 M 7.30
46 M. Zanotti M. Zanotti 1 👟 M 6.90
24 E. Pihlström E. Pihlström 62' F 6.90
11 R. Steffen R. Steffen 1 ⚽ 80' F 9.30
91 K. Behrens K. Behrens 2 ⚽ 70' F 8.00
Bench
14 A. Kendouci A. Kendouci 23' M 6.90
22 B. Castro B. Castro F
27 Daniel Dos Santos Daniel Dos Santos 1 ⚽ 31' M 7.60
4 D. Kelvin D. Kelvin 13' D 6.30
30 D. Moncada D. Moncada 1 ⚽ 23' F 7.90
28 F. Gebhardt F. Gebhardt G
23 G. Ajdin G. Ajdin M
18 J. Bichsel J. Bichsel D
26 Martim Marques Martim Marques 13' D 6.30
FC Zurich FC Zurich 4-1-4-1
13 H. Lindner H. Lindner G 5.60
43 N. Volken N. Volken D 5.30
27 Ilan Sauter Ilan Sauter D 5.60
2 L. Kamberi L. Kamberi D 6.30
3 S. Hodža S. Hodža D 5.60
21 L. Schodler L. Schodler 67' M 6.30
11 U. Emmanuel U. Emmanuel 67' M 5.90
23 V. Berisha V. Berisha 44' M 6.30
8 L. Comenencia L. Comenencia M 6.30
7 B. Krasniqi B. Krasniqi 44' M 6.30
19 P. Keny P. Keny F 6.90
Bench
42 A. Hack A. Hack D
49 D. Ramić D. Ramić F
9 J. Perea J. Perea 49' F 6.30
17 K. Spadanuda K. Spadanuda 49' M 6.20
18 M. Bangoura M. Bangoura 26' M 5.90
38 M. Reichmuth M. Reichmuth M
14 N. Di Giusto N. Di Giusto 26' M 6.20
44 S. Walker S. Walker D
60 Tyrese Pinthus Tyrese Pinthus G
Best on the pitch
R. Steffen
R. Steffen
F · FC
9.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 40 pass
K. Behrens
K. Behrens
F · FC
8.00
2 ⚽
5 shots · 14 pass
D. Moncada
D. Moncada
F · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 6 pass
Y. Cimignani
Y. Cimignani
M · FC
7.70
1 shots · 38 pass
Daniel Dos Santos
Daniel Dos Santos
M · FC
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
D. von Ballmoos
D. von Ballmoos
G · FC
7.50
1 👟
· 54 pass
FC Lugano FC Lugano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. von Ballmoos G 93 7.50 — 1 — 54 44% — — —
H. Delcroix D 80 7.20 — 1 — 45 44% — — —
L. Mai D 93 7.20 — — — 74 69% 2 — —
A. Papadopoulos D 93 7.30 — — 1 59 53% 2 — —
Y. Cimignani M 93 7.70 — — 1 38 33% 2 — —
U. Bislimi M 70 7.30 — — — 75 69% 2 — —
A. Grgić M 93 7.30 — 1 — 60 55% 4 — —
M. Zanotti M 93 6.90 — 1 1 24 19% 2 — —
E. Pihlström F 62 6.90 — — 1 22 21% 1 — —
R. Steffen F 80 9.30 1 — 1 40 35% 1 — —
K. Behrens F 70 8.00 2 — 5 14 13% — — —
A. Kendouci M 23 6.90 — — — 22 21% 1 — —
Daniel Dos Santos M 31 7.60 1 — 1 14 12% 1 — —
D. Kelvin D 13 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
D. Moncada F 23 7.90 1 — 2 6 6% — — —
Martim Marques D 13 6.30 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
FC Zurich FC Zurich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
H. Lindner G 93 5.60 — — — 26 23% — — —
N. Volken D 93 5.30 — — — 33 28% — — —
Ilan Sauter D 93 5.60 — — — 38 35% 1 — —
L. Kamberi D 93 6.30 — — — 48 45% — — —
S. Hodža D 93 5.60 — — — 56 48% 2 1 —
L. Schodler M 67 6.30 — — 1 16 16% — — —
U. Emmanuel M 67 5.90 — — — 12 7% 1 — —
V. Berisha M 44 6.30 — — — 15 10% — 1 —
L. Comenencia M 93 6.30 — — 1 22 18% 2 1 —
B. Krasniqi M 44 6.30 — — — 13 11% — — —
P. Keny F 93 6.90 — — 4 15 10% 1 — —
J. Perea F 49 6.30 — — 1 4 4% — — —
K. Spadanuda M 49 6.20 — — — 19 17% 1 — —
M. Bangoura M 26 5.90 — — 1 8 8% — — —
N. Di Giusto M 26 6.20 — — — 10 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Lugano vs FC Zurich?
The final score was FC Lugano 5–0 FC Zurich.
What did the model predict before FC Lugano vs FC Zurich?
The model assigned 38% probability to a FC Lugano win, 30% to a draw, and 30% to an FC Zurich win.