S. Knezevic
(ast. O. Kabwit)
2'
8'
(ast. M. Gutbub)
N. Maier
51'
(ast. N. Burgy)
M. Gutbub
84'
(ast. L. Dahler)
N. Burgy
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Luzern a 34% win probability (draw 32%, FC Thun 32%). The final result was FC Luzern 1–3 FC Thun. In 3 previous meetings, FC Luzern have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for FC Thun.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
16
4
Shots on target
7
2.50
Actual xG
1.63
4
Saves
3
54%
Possession
46%
12
Corners
6
11
Tackles
9
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽S. Knezevic
· ast. O. Kabwit
2'
8'
ast. M. Gutbub ·
N. Maier⚽
P. Dorn
50'
51'
ast. N. Burgy ·
M. Gutbub⚽
60'
J. Roth
/
N. Zoukit
60'
M. Heule
/
A. Balaruban
61'
V. Matoshi
/
N. Maier
L. Silva
/ A. Oehlers
64'
72'
N. Burgy
74'
N. Reichmuth
/
D. Derbaci
L. Villiger
/ M. Zimmermann
74'
R. Dantas Fernandes
/ A. Ciganiks
74'
80'
B. Labeau
/
L. Stewart
A. Ciganiks
83'
84'
ast. L. Dahler ·
N. Burgy⚽
T. Owusu
/ S. Meyer
85'
M. Di Giusto
/ S. Wyss
85'
M. Zimmermann
89'
Pre-match prediction
34.61%
FC
32.64%
X
32.75%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Thun)
32.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.60
2.50
-1.1
1.94
1.63
-0.31
FC Luzern dominated by xG (2.50 vs 1.63).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Simon Simoni
G
Simon Simoni
G
22
Rúben Dantas
74'
D
Rúben Dantas
74'
D
21
Loïc Lüthi
D
Loïc Lüthi
D
5
Stefan Knežević
1 ⚽
D
Stefan Knežević
1 ⚽
D
20
Pius Dorn
D
Pius Dorn
D
11
Matteo Di Giusto
85'
M
Matteo Di Giusto
85'
M
6
Leonardo Bertone
M
Leonardo Bertone
M
24
T. Owusu
85'
M
T. Owusu
85'
M
10
Lucas Silva
64'
M
Lucas Silva
64'
M
27
Lars Villiger
74'
F
Lars Villiger
74'
F
16
Oscar Kabwit
1 👟
F
Oscar Kabwit
1 👟
F
Bench
14
A. Cigaņiks
22'
D
A. Cigaņiks
22'
D
7
Aurelio Oehlers
32'
F
Aurelio Oehlers
32'
F
13
Bung Hua Freimann
D
Bung Hua Freimann
D
3
Jesper Lofgren
D
Jesper Lofgren
D
80
Mio Zimmermann
22'
M
Mio Zimmermann
22'
M
63
Raphael Radtke
G
Raphael Radtke
G
28
Ronaldo Dantas Fernandes
M
Ronaldo Dantas Fernandes
M
17
Sandro Wyss
11'
F
Sandro Wyss
11'
F
71
Sascha Meyer
11'
F
Sascha Meyer
11'
F
1
Niklas Steffen
G
17
Ashvin Balaruban
60'
D
19
Jan Bamert
D
5
Nicolas Bürgy
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
37
Lucien Dähler
1 👟
D
8
Fabio Saiz
M
13
Nassim Zoukit
60'
M
21
Dorian Derbaci
74'
M
30
Nico Maier
1 ⚽
61'
M
11
Layton Stewart
80'
F
33
Marc Gutbub
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
96
Brighton Labeau
16'
F
47
Fabio Fehr
D
16
Justin Roth
36'
M
54
Louis Passavant
D
27
Michael Heule
36'
D
70
Nils Reichmuth
22'
M
80
Simon Lengen
F
25
Tim Spycher
G
78
Valmir Matoshi
35'
M
Best on the pitch
Nicolas Bürgy
D · FC
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 46 pass
Nico Maier
M · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Nassim Zoukit
M · FC
7.50
1 shots
· 41 pass
Lucien Dähler
D · FC
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 23 pass
Lars Villiger
F · FC
7.30
1 shots
· 18 pass
Jan Bamert
D · FC
7.20
2 shots
· 49 pass
FC Luzern — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Simoni | G | 96 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Rúben Dantas | D | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Loïc Lüthi | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Stefan Knežević | D | 96 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Pius Dorn | D | 96 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matteo Di Giusto | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Bertone | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 28% | — | — | — |
| T. Owusu | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Silva | M | 64 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| Lars Villiger | F | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Oscar Kabwit | F | 96 | 5.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Cigaņiks | D | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Aurelio Oehlers | F | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Mio Zimmermann | M | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sandro Wyss | F | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Sascha Meyer | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
FC Thun — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niklas Steffen | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Ashvin Balaruban | D | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Jan Bamert | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas Bürgy | D | 96 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 46 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucien Dähler | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Fabio Saiz | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Nassim Zoukit | M | 60 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Dorian Derbaci | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Nico Maier | M | 61 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Layton Stewart | F | 80 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Marc Gutbub | F | 96 | 6.90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Brighton Labeau | F | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Roth | M | 36 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Michael Heule | D | 36 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Nils Reichmuth | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Valmir Matoshi | M | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Luzern vs FC Thun?
The final score was FC Luzern 1–3 FC Thun.
What did the model predict before FC Luzern vs FC Thun?
The model assigned 34% probability to a FC Luzern win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an FC Thun win.