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Super League · Regular Season - 1 July 25, 2026 20:30 swissporarena, Luzern
FC Luzern
#9 · 13 pts
1 – 3
Final score
FC Thun
#8 · 14 pts
S. Knezevic (ast. O. Kabwit) 2'
8' (ast. M. Gutbub) N. Maier
51' (ast. N. Burgy) M. Gutbub
84' (ast. L. Dahler) N. Burgy
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Luzern a 34% win probability (draw 32%, FC Thun 32%). The final result was FC Luzern 1–3 FC Thun. In 3 previous meetings, FC Luzern have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for FC Thun.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
16
4
Shots on target
7
2.50
Actual xG
1.63
4
Saves
3
54%
Possession
46%
12
Corners
6
11
Tackles
9
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽S. Knezevic · ast. O. Kabwit
2'
8'
ast. M. Gutbub · N. Maier⚽
P. Dorn
50'
51'
ast. N. Burgy · M. Gutbub⚽
60'
J. Roth / N. Zoukit ↕
60'
M. Heule / A. Balaruban ↕
61'
V. Matoshi / N. Maier ↕
↕ L. Silva / A. Oehlers
64'
72'
N. Burgy
74'
N. Reichmuth / D. Derbaci ↕
↕ L. Villiger / M. Zimmermann
74'
↕ R. Dantas Fernandes / A. Ciganiks
74'
80'
B. Labeau / L. Stewart ↕
A. Ciganiks
83'
84'
ast. L. Dahler · N. Burgy⚽
↕ T. Owusu / S. Meyer
85'
↕ M. Di Giusto / S. Wyss
85'
M. Zimmermann
89'
Pre-match prediction
34.61%
FC
32.64%
X
32.75%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Thun) 32.75% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
3.60
2.50
-1.1
FC
1.94
1.63
-0.31
FC Luzern dominated by xG (2.50 vs 1.63). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Lugano FC Lugano 13 34
2 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 13 28
3 FC Sion FC Sion 13 26
4 FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 13 22
5 FC Zurich FC Zurich 13 21
6 Servette FC Servette FC 13 17
7 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 13 15
8 FC Thun FC Thun 13 14
9 FC Luzern FC Luzern 13 13
10 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 13 11
11 FC Vaduz FC Vaduz 13 10
12 Lausanne Lausanne 13 7
Lineups
FC Luzern FC Luzern 4-4-2
1 S. Simoni S. Simoni G 5.50
22 R. Fernandes R. Fernandes 74' D 6.70
21 L. Lüthi L. Lüthi D 6.70
5 S. Knežević S. Knežević 1 ⚽ D 6.90
20 P. Dorn P. Dorn D 5.70
11 M. Di Giusto M. Di Giusto 85' M 6.90
6 L. Bertone L. Bertone M 6.60
24 T. Owusu T. Owusu 85' M 6.60
10 Lucas Ferreira Lucas Ferreira 64' M 7.00
27 L. Villiger L. Villiger 74' F 7.30
16 Oscar Kabwit Oscar Kabwit 1 👟 F 5.20
Bench
14 A. Cigaņiks A. Cigaņiks 22' D 6.20
7 A. Oehlers A. Oehlers 32' F 6.90
13 B. Freimann B. Freimann D
3 J. Löfgren J. Löfgren D
80 Mio Zimmermann Mio Zimmermann 22' M 6.50
63 Raphael Radtke Raphael Radtke G
28 Ronaldo Dantas Fernandes Ronaldo Dantas Fernandes M
17 Sandro Wyss Sandro Wyss 11' F 6.60
71 Sascha Meyer Sascha Meyer 11' F 6.30
FC Thun FC Thun 4-2-2-2
1 N. Steffen N. Steffen G 6.90
17 A. Balaruban A. Balaruban 60' D 6.90
19 J. Bamert J. Bamert D 7.20
5 N. Bürgy N. Bürgy 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 8.50
37 L. Dähler L. Dähler 1 👟 D 7.50
8 F. Saiz F. Saiz M 6.60
13 N. Zoukit N. Zoukit 60' M 7.50
21 Dorian Derbaci Dorian Derbaci 74' M 6.30
30 N. Maier N. Maier 1 ⚽ 61' M 8.20
11 Layton Stewart Layton Stewart 80' F 5.90
33 M. Gutbub M. Gutbub 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 6.90
Bench
96 B. Labeau B. Labeau 16' F 6.90
47 F. Fehr F. Fehr D
16 J. Roth J. Roth 36' M 6.90
54 L. Passavant L. Passavant D
27 M. Heule M. Heule 36' D 6.90
70 N. Reichmuth N. Reichmuth 22' M 6.90
80 S. Lengen S. Lengen F
25 T. Spycher T. Spycher G
78 V. Matoshi V. Matoshi 35' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
N. Bürgy
N. Bürgy
D · FC
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 46 pass
N. Maier
N. Maier
M · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
N. Zoukit
N. Zoukit
M · FC
7.50
1 shots · 41 pass
L. Dähler
L. Dähler
D · FC
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 23 pass
L. Villiger
L. Villiger
F · FC
7.30
1 shots · 18 pass
J. Bamert
J. Bamert
D · FC
7.20
2 shots · 49 pass
FC Luzern FC Luzern — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Simoni G 96 5.50 — — — 34 25% — — —
R. Fernandes D 74 6.70 — — 1 38 27% 1 — —
L. Lüthi D 96 6.70 — — — 45 41% 1 — —
S. Knežević D 96 6.90 1 — 1 42 36% 1 — —
P. Dorn D 96 5.70 — — 1 32 24% 1 1 —
M. Di Giusto M 85 6.90 — — 1 29 23% — — —
L. Bertone M 96 6.60 — — 2 37 28% — — —
T. Owusu M 85 6.60 — — 1 33 28% 1 — —
Lucas Ferreira M 64 7.00 — — 2 18 10% 4 — —
L. Villiger F 74 7.30 — — 1 18 11% 1 — —
Oscar Kabwit F 96 5.20 — 1 3 14 7% — — —
A. Cigaņiks D 22 6.20 — — — 13 8% — 1 —
A. Oehlers F 32 6.90 — — 2 14 12% — — —
Mio Zimmermann M 22 6.50 — — — 11 8% 1 1 —
Sandro Wyss F 11 6.60 — — — 7 5% — — —
Sascha Meyer F 11 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
FC Thun FC Thun — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Steffen G 96 6.90 — — — 29 21% — — —
A. Balaruban D 60 6.90 — — — 19 12% 1 — —
J. Bamert D 96 7.20 — — 2 49 40% 1 — —
N. Bürgy D 96 8.50 1 1 2 46 40% 1 1 —
L. Dähler D 96 7.50 — 1 1 23 19% — — —
F. Saiz M 96 6.60 — — 1 23 17% 2 — —
N. Zoukit M 60 7.50 — — 1 41 33% 1 — —
Dorian Derbaci M 74 6.30 — — 2 21 16% — — —
N. Maier M 61 8.20 1 — 1 17 15% — — —
Layton Stewart F 80 5.90 — — 2 8 5% — — —
M. Gutbub F 96 6.90 1 1 2 19 15% 1 — —
B. Labeau F 16 6.90 — — — 1 — — — —
J. Roth M 36 6.90 — — — 8 6% 1 — —
M. Heule D 36 6.90 — — 1 10 6% — — —
N. Reichmuth M 22 6.90 — — — 7 5% 1 — —
V. Matoshi M 35 6.70 — — 1 14 12% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Luzern vs FC Thun?
The final score was FC Luzern 1–3 FC Thun.
What did the model predict before FC Luzern vs FC Thun?
The model assigned 34% probability to a FC Luzern win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an FC Thun win.