FC Luzern - FC Winterthur
Friendlies Clubs
July 04, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.42%
Win
FC Luzern
30.89%
Draw
30.69%
Win
FC Winterthur
3.03
1.33
Expected xG
Most likely result
3–1
(7.9%)
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
81%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Luzern a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for FC Winterthur. Expected goals are 3.0 for FC Luzern and 1.3 for FC Winterthur (total 4.4), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 7.9% probability. In 4 previous meetings, FC Luzern have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for FC Winterthur.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
1W
0D
2L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.3
2.0
Conceded
2.3
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ FC Luzern
FC Winterthur →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
FC Luzern
Attack
50
Defence
50
Form
51
FC Winterthur
Attack
36
Defence
48
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Luzern vs FC Winterthur?
The model gives FC Luzern a 38% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 30% for an FC Winterthur win.
How many goals are expected in FC Luzern vs FC Winterthur?
Expected goals: FC Luzern 3.0, FC Winterthur 1.3 (total 4.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in FC Luzern vs FC Winterthur?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.9%.