✓Model correct — prediction FC Luzern
O. Kabwit
(ast. T. Owusu)
70'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Luzern a 63% win probability (draw 19%, FC Zurich 17%). The final result was FC Luzern 1–0 FC Zurich. In 3 previous meetings, FC Luzern have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for FC Zurich.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
3
2.21
Actual xG
1.78
3
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
10
Corners
5
24
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
P. Dorn
56'
59'
U. Emmanuel
/
P. P. Keny
59'
S. Walker
/
I. Cavaleiro
59'
N. Di Giusto
/
B. Krasniqi
L. M. Silva Ferreira
/ K. Spadanuda
64'
⚽O. Kabwit
· ast. T. Owusu
70'
R. Dantas
/ A. Ciganiks
72'
L. Winkler
/ T. Abe
73'
B. Freimann
77'
O. Kabwit
/ S. Knezevic
79'
A. Vasovic
/ L. Villiger
79'
S. Knezevic
80'
80'
D. Ramic
/
I. Sauter
80'
V. Berisha
/
M. Reichmuth
Pre-match prediction
63.41%
FC ←
19.5%
X
17.09%
FC
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FC Luzern)
63.41%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.04
2.21
+0.17
0.89
1.78
+0.89
FC Luzern dominated by xG (2.21 vs 1.78).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
P. Loretz
G
P. Loretz
G
22
R. Fernandes
72'
D
R. Fernandes
72'
D
4
A. Bajrami
D
A. Bajrami
D
46
Bung Meng Freimann
77'
D
Bung Meng Freimann
77'
D
20
P. Dorn
D
P. Dorn
D
29
Levin Winkler
73'
M
Levin Winkler
73'
M
24
T. Owusu
1 👟
M
T. Owusu
1 👟
M
11
M. Di Giusto
M
M. Di Giusto
M
73
Lucas Ferreira
64'
M
Lucas Ferreira
64'
M
19
A. Vasovic
79'
F
A. Vasovic
79'
F
16
Oscar Kabwit
1 ⚽
79'
F
Oscar Kabwit
1 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
14
A. Cigaņiks
18'
D
A. Cigaņiks
18'
D
41
Julian Bock
G
Julian Bock
G
81
Julian Von Moos
F
Julian Von Moos
F
7
K. Spadanuda
26'
M
K. Spadanuda
26'
M
27
L. Villiger
11'
F
L. Villiger
11'
F
2
Severin Ottiger
D
Severin Ottiger
D
10
Sinan Karweina
F
Sinan Karweina
F
5
S. Knežević
11'
D
S. Knežević
11'
D
6
T. Abe
17'
M
T. Abe
17'
M
1
Silas Huber
G
Silas Huber
G
27
Ilan Sauter
80'
D
Ilan Sauter
80'
D
42
A. Hack
D
A. Hack
D
2
L. Kamberi
D
L. Kamberi
D
32
S. Hodža
D
S. Hodža
D
15
Nelson Palacio
M
Nelson Palacio
M
38
M. Reichmuth
80'
M
M. Reichmuth
80'
M
8
Ivan Cavaleiro
59'
M
Ivan Cavaleiro
59'
M
7
B. Krasniqi
59'
M
B. Krasniqi
59'
M
9
J. Perea
M
J. Perea
M
19
P. Keny
59'
F
P. Keny
59'
F
Bench
48
D. Ihendu
D
D. Ihendu
D
49
D. Ramić
10'
F
D. Ramić
10'
F
54
L. Schodler
D
L. Schodler
D
10
Matthias Phaëton
F
Matthias Phaëton
F
14
N. Di Giusto
31'
M
N. Di Giusto
31'
M
44
S. Walker
31'
D
S. Walker
31'
D
11
U. Emmanuel
31'
F
U. Emmanuel
31'
F
23
V. Berisha
10'
M
V. Berisha
10'
M
25
Yanick Brecher
G
Yanick Brecher
G
Best on the pitch
R. Fernandes
D · FC
8.20
1 shots
· 27 pass
P. Loretz
G · FC
8.00
· 43 pass
A. Bajrami
D · FC
8.00
· 42 pass
Oscar Kabwit
F · FC
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
T. Owusu
M · FC
7.90
1 👟
· 50 pass
Nelson Palacio
M · FC
7.60
· 49 pass
FC Luzern — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Loretz | G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | — | — | — |
| R. Fernandes | D | 72 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Bajrami | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| Bung Meng Freimann | D | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 49% | 1 | — | 1 |
| P. Dorn | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Levin Winkler | M | 73 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Owusu | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 50 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Di Giusto | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Ferreira | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Vasovic | F | 79 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Oscar Kabwit | F | 79 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Cigaņiks | D | 18 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Spadanuda | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Villiger | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| S. Knežević | D | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Abe | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
FC Zurich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Huber | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Ilan Sauter | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Hack | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Kamberi | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| S. Hodža | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Nelson Palacio | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 49 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Reichmuth | M | 80 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Ivan Cavaleiro | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| B. Krasniqi | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Perea | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 5 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| P. Keny | F | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| D. Ramić | F | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Di Giusto | M | 31 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| S. Walker | D | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| U. Emmanuel | F | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| V. Berisha | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Luzern vs FC Zurich?
The final score was FC Luzern 1–0 FC Zurich.
What did the model predict before FC Luzern vs FC Zurich?
The model assigned 63% probability to a FC Luzern win, 19% to a draw, and 17% to an FC Zurich win.