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Super League · Relegation Group - 37 May 12, 2026 20:30
FC Luzern
#1 · 50 pts
1 – 0
Final score
FC Zurich
#4 · 38 pts
✓Model correct — prediction FC Luzern
O. Kabwit (ast. T. Owusu) 70'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Luzern a 63% win probability (draw 19%, FC Zurich 17%). The final result was FC Luzern 1–0 FC Zurich. In 3 previous meetings, FC Luzern have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for FC Zurich.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
3
2.21
Actual xG
1.78
3
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
10
Corners
5
24
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
P. Dorn
56'
59'
U. Emmanuel / P. P. Keny ↕
59'
S. Walker / I. Cavaleiro ↕
59'
N. Di Giusto / B. Krasniqi ↕
↕ L. M. Silva Ferreira / K. Spadanuda
64'
⚽O. Kabwit · ast. T. Owusu
70'
↕ R. Dantas / A. Ciganiks
72'
↕ L. Winkler / T. Abe
73'
B. Freimann
77'
↕ O. Kabwit / S. Knezevic
79'
↕ A. Vasovic / L. Villiger
79'
S. Knezevic
80'
80'
D. Ramic / I. Sauter ↕
80'
V. Berisha / M. Reichmuth ↕
Pre-match prediction
63.41%
FC ←
19.5%
X
17.09%
FC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Luzern) 63.41% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.04
2.21
+0.17
FC
0.89
1.78
+0.89
FC Luzern dominated by xG (2.21 vs 1.78). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Thun FC Thun 37 74
1 FC Luzern FC Luzern 37 50
2 FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 37 69
2 Servette FC Servette FC 37 50
3 Lausanne Lausanne 37 42
3 FC Lugano FC Lugano 37 64
4 FC Zurich FC Zurich 37 38
4 FC Sion FC Sion 37 62
5 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 37 30
5 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 37 56
6 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 37 54
6 FC Winterthur FC Winterthur 37 23
Lineups
FC Luzern FC Luzern 4-2-2-2
1 Pascal Loretz Pascal Loretz G 8.00
22 Rúben Dantas Rúben Dantas 72' D 8.20
4 Adrian Bajrami Adrian Bajrami D 8.00
46 Bung Meng Freimann Bung Meng Freimann 77' D 6.90
20 P. Dorn P. Dorn D 6.90
29 Levin Winkler Levin Winkler 73' M 7.00
24 T. Owusu T. Owusu 1 👟 M 7.90
11 M. Di Giusto M. Di Giusto M 6.50
73 Lucas Silva Lucas Silva 64' M 6.20
19 Andrej Vasovic Andrej Vasovic 79' F 6.00
16 Oscar Kabwit Oscar Kabwit 1 ⚽ 79' F 8.00
Bench
14 Andrejs Cigaņiks Andrejs Cigaņiks 18' D 7.00
41 Julian Bock Julian Bock G
81 Julian Von Moos Julian Von Moos F
7 Kevin Spadanuda Kevin Spadanuda 26' M 6.70
27 Lars Villiger Lars Villiger 11' F 6.70
2 Severin Ottiger Severin Ottiger D
10 Sinan Karweina Sinan Karweina F
5 Stefan Knežević Stefan Knežević 11' D 6.90
6 T. Abe T. Abe 17' M 6.60
FC Zurich FC Zurich 4-2-3-1
1 Silas Huber Silas Huber G 6.90
27 Ilan Sauter Ilan Sauter 80' D 6.90
42 Alexander Hack Alexander Hack D 7.20
2 Lindrit Kamberi Lindrit Kamberi D 6.90
32 Selmin Hodza Selmin Hodza D 7.60
15 Nelson Palacio Nelson Palacio M 7.60
38 Miguel Reichmuth Miguel Reichmuth 80' M 6.50
8 Ivan Cavaleiro Ivan Cavaleiro 59' M 6.90
7 Bledian Krasniqi Bledian Krasniqi 59' M 6.30
9 Juan José Perea Juan José Perea M 6.20
19 P. Keny P. Keny 59' F 6.20
Bench
48 Daniel Ihendu Daniel Ihendu D
49 Din Ramic Din Ramic 10' F 6.90
54 Leandro Schödler Leandro Schödler D
10 Matthias Phaëton Matthias Phaëton F
14 Nevio Di Giusto Nevio Di Giusto 31' M 6.00
44 Sebastian Walker Sebastian Walker 31' D 6.60
11 Umeh Emmanuel Umeh Emmanuel 31' F 6.30
23 Valon Berisha Valon Berisha 10' M 6.30
25 Yanick Brecher Yanick Brecher G
Best on the pitch
Rúben Dantas
Rúben Dantas
D · FC
8.20
1 shots · 27 pass
Pascal Loretz
Pascal Loretz
G · FC
8.00
· 43 pass
Adrian Bajrami
Adrian Bajrami
D · FC
8.00
· 42 pass
Oscar Kabwit
Oscar Kabwit
F · FC
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 15 pass
T. Owusu
T. Owusu
M · FC
7.90
1 👟
· 50 pass
Nelson Palacio
Nelson Palacio
M · FC
7.60
· 49 pass
FC Luzern FC Luzern — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Pascal Loretz G 90 8.00 — — — 43 34% — — —
Rúben Dantas D 72 8.20 — — 1 27 20% 3 — —
Adrian Bajrami D 90 8.00 — — — 42 35% 4 — —
Bung Meng Freimann D 77 6.90 — — — 56 49% 1 — 1
P. Dorn D 90 6.90 — — — 26 22% 2 1 —
Levin Winkler M 73 7.00 — — 1 23 17% 4 — —
T. Owusu M 90 7.90 — 1 — 50 40% 2 — —
M. Di Giusto M 90 6.50 — — 2 28 20% 2 — —
Lucas Silva M 64 6.20 — — — 27 21% 1 — —
Andrej Vasovic F 79 6.00 — — 3 10 7% 1 — —
Oscar Kabwit F 79 8.00 1 — 2 15 14% 1 — —
Andrejs Cigaņiks D 18 7.00 — — — 5 4% 2 — —
Kevin Spadanuda M 26 6.70 — — 1 9 6% 1 — —
Lars Villiger F 11 6.70 — — — 6 5% — — —
Stefan Knežević D 11 6.90 — — — 2 2% — 1 —
T. Abe M 17 6.60 — — — 6 4% — — —
FC Zurich FC Zurich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Silas Huber G 90 6.90 — — — 28 18% — — —
Ilan Sauter D 80 6.90 — — — 27 21% 5 — —
Alexander Hack D 90 7.20 — — 1 49 43% 1 — —
Lindrit Kamberi D 90 6.90 — — 3 34 27% — — —
Selmin Hodza D 90 7.60 — — 1 38 33% 2 — —
Nelson Palacio M 90 7.60 — — — 49 45% 1 — —
Miguel Reichmuth M 80 6.50 — — — 25 15% 1 — —
Ivan Cavaleiro M 59 6.90 — — — 22 20% — — —
Bledian Krasniqi M 59 6.30 — — — 22 20% 1 — —
Juan José Perea M 90 6.20 — — 5 7 5% — — —
P. Keny F 59 6.20 — — 1 14 10% — — —
Din Ramic F 10 6.90 — — 1 — — — — —
Nevio Di Giusto M 31 6.00 — — — 12 8% — — —
Sebastian Walker D 31 6.60 — — 1 4 3% — — —
Umeh Emmanuel F 31 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
Valon Berisha M 10 6.30 — — — 14 12% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Luzern vs FC Zurich?
The final score was FC Luzern 1–0 FC Zurich.
What did the model predict before FC Luzern vs FC Zurich?
The model assigned 63% probability to a FC Luzern win, 19% to a draw, and 17% to an FC Zurich win.