J. Hansen
83'
(og)
J. Emefile
(ast. Paulinho)
90'+3
20'
H. Dalsgaard
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Midtjylland a 39% win probability (draw 23%, Aarhus 36%). The final result was FC Midtjylland 2–1 Aarhus. In 5 previous meetings, FC Midtjylland have won 1 times, with 4 draws and 0 wins for Aarhus.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
6
0.62
Actual xG
2.17
5
Saves
1
65%
Possession
35%
3
Corners
5
12
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
20'
H. Dalsgaard⚽
A. Simsir
45'+1
D. Castillo
/ Paulinho
54'
M. Gogorza
/ Franculino
54'
57'
F. Beijmo
63'
P. Mortensen
/
J. Serra
63'
F. Tingager
/
J. Andersen
D. Osorio
70'
Cho Gue-Sung
/ E. Chilufya
71'
75'
N. Poulsen
/
K. Yakob
77'
N. Poulsen
⚽J. Hansen
(og)
83'
V. Bak
/ J. Emefile
84'
⚽J. Emefile
· ast. Paulinho
90'+3
90'
S. Jorgensen
/
M. Knudsen
90'
J. Jensen-Abbew
/
H. Dalsgaard
Pre-match prediction
39.45%
FC ←
23.61%
X
36.94%
Aarhus
we assigned to the actual result (FC Midtjylland)
39.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.78
0.62
-1.16
1.96
2.17
+0.21
Aarhus dominated by xG (2.17 vs 0.62).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
G
22
Mads Bech Sørensen
D
Mads Bech Sørensen
D
6
Martin Erlić
D
Martin Erlić
D
3
Han-Beom Lee
D
Han-Beom Lee
D
55
Victor Bak Jensen
84'
M
Victor Bak Jensen
84'
M
21
D. Castillo
54'
M
D. Castillo
54'
M
20
V. Byskov
M
V. Byskov
M
11
D. Osorio
M
D. Osorio
M
41
Mikel Gogorza
54'
F
Mikel Gogorza
54'
F
10
Cho Gue-Sung
71'
F
Cho Gue-Sung
71'
F
58
A. Şimşir
F
A. Şimşir
F
Bench
14
Edward Chilufya
19'
F
Edward Chilufya
19'
F
7
Franculino Djú
36'
F
Franculino Djú
36'
F
38
Julius Emefile
1 ⚽
12'
F
Julius Emefile
1 ⚽
12'
F
29
Paulinho
1 👟
36'
D
Paulinho
1 👟
36'
D
1
Jesper Hansen
1 ⚽
G
Jesper Hansen
1 ⚽
G
19
Eric Kahl
D
Eric Kahl
D
3
Henrik Dalsgaard
1 ⚽
89'
D
Henrik Dalsgaard
1 ⚽
89'
D
2
Felix Beijmo
D
Felix Beijmo
D
26
Jacob Andersen
63'
M
Jacob Andersen
63'
M
17
Kevin Yakob
75'
M
Kevin Yakob
75'
M
4
Magnus Knudsen
89'
M
Magnus Knudsen
89'
M
11
G. Links
M
G. Links
M
10
F
31
T. Bech
F
T. Bech
F
13
Janni Serra
63'
F
Janni Serra
63'
F
Bench
39
Frederik Emmery
F
Frederik Emmery
F
5
Frederik Tingager
27'
D
Frederik Tingager
27'
D
57
James Bogere
F
James Bogere
F
6
Nicolai Poulsen
15'
M
Nicolai Poulsen
15'
M
9
P. Mortensen
27'
F
P. Mortensen
27'
F
8
Sebastian Jørgensen
1'
M
Sebastian Jørgensen
1'
M
Best on the pitch
G · FC
8.20
· 42 pass
Julius Emefile
F · FC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 1 pass
Henrik Dalsgaard
D · Aarhus
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
Paulinho
D · FC
7.50
1 👟
· 10 pass
D. Osorio
M · FC
7.30
2 shots
· 36 pass
Mads Bech Sørensen
D · FC
7.30
· 82 pass
FC Midtjylland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| Mads Bech Sørensen | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 82 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| Martin Erlić | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 66 | 63% | — | — | — |
| Han-Beom Lee | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Victor Bak Jensen | M | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Castillo | M | 54 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Byskov | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Osorio | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mikel Gogorza | F | 54 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Cho Gue-Sung | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Şimşir | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| Edward Chilufya | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Franculino Djú | F | 36 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Julius Emefile | F | 12 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Paulinho | D | 36 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
Aarhus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Hansen | G | 90 | 5.30 | 1 | — | — | 16 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Eric Kahl | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Henrik Dalsgaard | D | 89 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Felix Beijmo | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jacob Andersen | M | 63 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 5 | — | — |
| Kevin Yakob | M | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Magnus Knudsen | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Links | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 12% | 1 | — | — | |
| T. Bech | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Janni Serra | F | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Frederik Tingager | D | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Nicolai Poulsen | M | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Mortensen | F | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Jørgensen | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus?
The final score was FC Midtjylland 2–1 Aarhus.
What did the model predict before FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus?
The model assigned 39% probability to a FC Midtjylland win, 23% to a draw, and 36% to an Aarhus win.