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FC Midtjylland - Beşiktaş

Europa League July 30, 2026 19:00
FC Midtjylland
vs
Beşiktaş
⚡ Pre-match analysis
53.25%
Win
FC Midtjylland
26.82%
Draw
19.93%
Win
Beşiktaş
2.15
Expected xG
0.84

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.79%)
1X2 Result
1 53%
X 27%
2 20%
Double Chance
1X 80%
X2 47%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 61%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Midtjylland a 53% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Beşiktaş. Expected goals are 2.1 for FC Midtjylland and 0.8 for Beşiktaş (total 3.0), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.79% probability. In 1 previous meetings, FC Midtjylland have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Beşiktaş.

Season Stats

FC Midtjylland
11W 1D 3L
Beşiktaş
1W 0D 2L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
1.0
0.8
Conceded
2.0
5.8
Shots OT
—
5.2
Corners
—
51%
Poss.
—
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
67%
53%
O 2.5
33%
40%
BTTS
33%
53%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
13%
O 3.5
19%
BTTS
FC Midtjylland
6W 1D 1L · at home
Beşiktaş
0W 0D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.0
0.5
Conceded
2.0
75%
Win %
0%
88%
Win or Draw
0%
88%
O 1.5
100%
38%
O 2.5
0%
25%
O 3.5
0%
38%
BTTS
0%
63%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
100%
last 8
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FC Midtjylland Beşiktaş →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1% 4.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 10.9% 9.1% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% —
2 11.6% 9.8% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% —
3 8.3% 7.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% —
4 4.5% 3.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% — —

Recent form

FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland
L Beşiktaş 1–0
L Nottingham Forest 1–2
W Nottingham Forest 0–1
W Dinamo Zagreb 2–0
D Brann 3–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Beşiktaş Beşiktaş
W FC Midtjylland 1–0
L Shakhtar Donetsk 2–0
L Shakhtar Donetsk 2–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland
Attack
60
Defence
70
Form
68
Beşiktaş Beşiktaş
Attack
31
Defence
67
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
FC Midtjylland
0
Draw
1
Beşiktaş
23 Jul 2026 Europa League 0–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Beşiktaş?
The model gives FC Midtjylland a 53% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 19% for an Beşiktaş win.
How many goals are expected in FC Midtjylland vs Beşiktaş?
Expected goals: FC Midtjylland 2.1, Beşiktaş 0.8 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in FC Midtjylland vs Beşiktaş?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.79%.