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Superliga · Regular Season - 12 October 25, 2026 14:00 MCH Arena, Herning
FC Midtjylland
#1 · 28 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Lyngby
#11 · 8 pts
✓Model correct — prediction FC Midtjylland
Cho Gue-sung 17'
Philip Billing 45'+4 (pen.)
Friday Etim (ast. Kjell-Arik Wätjen) 48'
32' (ast. Lauge Sandgrav) Simon Colyn
89' Gustav Leone Fraulo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Midtjylland a 60% win probability (draw 19%, Lyngby 20%). The final result was FC Midtjylland 3–2 Lyngby. In 1 previous meetings, FC Midtjylland have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lyngby.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
13
7
Shots on target
5
2.47
Actual xG
0.74
3
Saves
4
52%
Possession
48%
5
Corners
2
12
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Cho Gue-sung
17'
32'
ast. Lauge Sandgrav · Simon Colyn⚽
Andreas Maxsø
45'+1
⚽Philip Billing (pen.)
45'+4
↕ Victor Bak Jensen / Julius Emefile
45'
⚽Friday Etim · ast. Kjell-Arik Wätjen
48'
↕ Cho Gue-sung / Stanley Iheanacho
59'
72'
Markus Adeniyi Anderson Adedeji / Frederik Gytkjær ↕
72'
William Steindorsson / Simon Colyn ↕
↕ Friday Etim / Beni Junior
73'
↕ Philip Billing / Hong Hyun-Seok
73'
84'
Zidan Sertdemir / Mathias Hebo Rasmussen ↕
84'
Oliver Højer / Jens Thomasen ↕
↕ Kjell-Arik Wätjen / Joseph Avwerosuoghene Okuaghare
86'
89'
Gustav Leone Fraulo⚽
90'
Sanders Ngabo / Gustav Leone Fraulo ↕
Pre-match prediction
60.7%
FC ←
19.19%
X
20.11%
Lyngby
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Midtjylland) 60.7% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
3.28
2.47
-0.8
Lyngby
1.58
0.74
-0.84
FC Midtjylland dominated by xG (2.47 vs 0.74). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland 12 28
2 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen 12 26
3 Viborg Viborg 12 20
4 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 12 20
5 Brondby Brondby 12 19
6 AC Horsens AC Horsens 12 16
7 Odense Odense 12 14
8 Aarhus Aarhus 12 12
9 Silkeborg Silkeborg 12 12
10 Randers FC Randers FC 12 11
11 Lyngby Lyngby 12 8
12 Sonderjyske Sonderjyske 12 8
Lineups
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland 3-1-4-2
25 N. Bakker N. Bakker G 6.13
22 M. Bech M. Bech D 6.27
2 A. Maxsø A. Maxsø D 6.30
4 O. Diao O. Diao D 6.81
8 P. Billing P. Billing 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.04
55 V. Bak Jensen V. Bak Jensen 45' M 6.45
27 S. Johannesen S. Johannesen M 6.61
29 K. Wätjen K. Wätjen 1 👟 86' M 7.23
5 R. Kristensen R. Kristensen M 6.49
10 Cho Gue-Sung Cho Gue-Sung 1 ⚽ 59' F 7.77
90 F. Etim F. Etim 1 ⚽ 73' F 7.62
Bench
15 B. Dje Bi Dje B. Dje Bi Dje 17' D 6.19
98 D. Martínez D. Martínez F 0.00
20 Hong Hyun-Seok Hong Hyun-Seok 17' M 6.07
38 J. Emefile J. Emefile 45' M 6.44
9 M. Rajović M. Rajović F 0.00
17 M. Uhre M. Uhre F 0.00
30 O. Ejeheri O. Ejeheri G 0.00
18 S. Iheanacho S. Iheanacho 31' F 6.90
Lyngby Lyngby 4-4-2
31 D. Kochen D. Kochen G 6.60
25 R. Tytens R. Tytens D 6.13
12 David Helgi Aronsson David Helgi Aronsson D 6.16
30 M. Fischer M. Fischer D 6.52
2 O. Buur O. Buur D 6.18
14 L. Sandgrav L. Sandgrav 1 👟 M 6.08
18 J. Thomasen J. Thomasen 84' M 6.44
8 M. Hebo M. Hebo 84' M 5.46
19 G. Fraulo G. Fraulo 1 ⚽ 89' M 6.94
7 S. Colyn S. Colyn 1 ⚽ 72' F 6.91
26 F. Gytkjær F. Gytkjær 72' F 6.02
Bench
4 C. Allen C. Allen D 0.00
6 D. Kristjánsson D. Kristjánsson D 0.00
1 J. Ægidius J. Ægidius G 0.00
35 M. Anderson M. Anderson 18' F 6.30
5 Oliver Højer Oliver Højer 6' M 5.89
22 S. Ngabo S. Ngabo 1' M 0.00
17 W. Steindorsson W. Steindorsson 18' M 5.83
16 Z. Sertdemir Z. Sertdemir 6' M 5.88
Best on the pitch
Cho Gue-Sung
Cho Gue-Sung
F · FC
7.77
1 ⚽
2 shots · 15 pass
F. Etim
F. Etim
F · FC
7.62
1 ⚽
2 shots · 15 pass
K. Wätjen
K. Wätjen
M · FC
7.23
1 👟
5 shots · 26 pass
P. Billing
P. Billing
M · FC
7.04
1 ⚽
1 shots · 40 pass
G. Fraulo
G. Fraulo
M · Lyngby
6.94
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
S. Colyn
S. Colyn
F · Lyngby
6.91
1 ⚽
5 shots · 23 pass
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Bakker G 90 6.13 — — 0 27 18% 0 — —
M. Bech D 90 6.27 — — 2 65 53% 1 — —
A. Maxsø D 90 6.30 — — 0 62 54% 1 1 —
O. Diao D 90 6.81 — — 0 54 46% 2 — —
P. Billing M 73 7.04 1 — 1 40 34% 0 — —
V. Bak Jensen M 45 6.45 — — 1 21 18% 0 — —
S. Johannesen M 90 6.61 — — 5 25 21% 1 — —
K. Wätjen M 86 7.23 — 1 5 26 20% 0 — —
R. Kristensen M 90 6.49 — — 0 57 48% 3 — —
Cho Gue-Sung F 59 7.77 1 — 2 15 10% 1 — —
F. Etim F 73 7.62 1 — 2 15 7% 0 — —
B. Dje Bi Dje D 17 6.19 — — 0 4 3% 1 — —
Hong Hyun-Seok M 17 6.07 — — 0 4 4% 1 — —
J. Emefile M 45 6.44 — — 1 12 10% 0 — —
S. Iheanacho F 31 6.90 — — 0 3 1% 1 — —
Lyngby Lyngby — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Kochen G 90 6.60 — — 0 32 22% 0 — —
R. Tytens D 90 6.13 — — 1 48 36% 2 — —
David Helgi Aronsson D 90 6.16 — — 0 25 21% 2 — —
M. Fischer D 90 6.52 — — 0 41 35% 5 — —
O. Buur D 90 6.18 — — 2 41 33% 0 — —
L. Sandgrav M 90 6.08 — 1 1 53 38% 3 — —
J. Thomasen M 84 6.44 — — 1 46 39% 1 — —
M. Hebo M 84 5.46 — — 0 19 13% 2 — —
G. Fraulo M 89 6.94 1 — 2 26 18% 1 — —
S. Colyn F 72 6.91 1 — 5 23 16% 0 — —
F. Gytkjær F 72 6.02 — — 1 14 10% 0 — —
M. Anderson F 18 6.30 — — 0 4 3% 1 — —
Oliver Højer M 6 5.89 — — 0 12 11% 1 — —
S. Ngabo M 1 0.00 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
W. Steindorsson M 18 5.83 — — 0 7 6% 1 — —
Z. Sertdemir M 6 5.88 — — 0 19 18% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby?
The final score was FC Midtjylland 3–2 Lyngby.
What did the model predict before FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby?
The model assigned 60% probability to a FC Midtjylland win, 19% to a draw, and 20% to an Lyngby win.