Europa League · Round of 16 March 19, 2026 18:45

FC Midtjylland

#3 · 19 pts

1 – 2

Final score

pens 0–3

Nottingham Forest

#13 · 14 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Midtjylland a 38% win probability (draw 26%, Nottingham Forest 34%). The final result was FC Midtjylland 1–2 Nottingham Forest. In 2 previous meetings, FC Midtjylland have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nottingham Forest.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

8

0.67

Actual xG

2.03

52%

Possession

48%

4

Corners

11

Pre-match prediction

38.98%

FC

26.65%

X

34.37%

Nottingham ←

we assigned to the actual result (Nottingham Forest) 34.37% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FC

1.66

0.67

-1.0

Nottingham

2.14

2.03

-0.11

Nottingham Forest dominated by xG (2.03 vs 0.67). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lyon	8	21
2	Aston Villa	8	21
3	FC Midtjylland	8	19
4	Real Betis	8	17
5	FC Porto	8	17
6	SC Braga	8	17
7	SC Freiburg	8	17
8	AS Roma	8	16
9	Genk	8	16
10	Bologna	8	15
11	VfB Stuttgart	8	15
12	Ferencvarosi TC	8	15
13	Nottingham Forest	8	14
14	Plzen	8	14
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	8	14
16	Celta Vigo	8	13
17	PAOK	8	12
18	Lille	8	12
19	Fenerbahçe	8	12
20	Panathinaikos	8	12
21	Celtic	8	11
22	Ludogorets	8	10
23	Dinamo Zagreb	8	10
24	Brann	8	9
25	BSC Young Boys	8	9
26	Sturm Graz	8	7
27	FCSB	8	7
28	GO Ahead Eagles	8	7
29	Feyenoord	8	6
30	FC Basel 1893	8	6
31	Red Bull Salzburg	8	6
32	Rangers	8	4
33	Nice	8	3
34	Utrecht	8	1
35	Malmo FF	8	1
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv	8	1