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Superliga · Regular Season - 5 August 23, 2026 14:00 MCH Arena, Herning
FC Midtjylland
#2 · 19 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Randers FC
#8 · 10 pts
D. Osorio 28'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Midtjylland a 40% win probability (draw 31%, Randers FC 28%). The final result was FC Midtjylland 1–0 Randers FC. In 2 previous meetings, FC Midtjylland have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Randers FC.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
2
1.36
Actual xG
0.47
2
Saves
5
59%
Possession
41%
9
Corners
4
14
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽D. Osorio
28'
M. Jensen
40'
46'
P. Izzo / J. Storch ↕
↕ P. Billing / D. Castillo
46'
↕ S. Iheanacho / F. Etim
54'
↕ K. Watjen / V. Byskov
54'
56'
L. Pedersen
↕ M. Jensen / M. Erlic
60'
62'
M. Sankoh / K. Junker ↕
75'
E. Mahmoud
78'
C. Edudzi / M. Sjolstad ↕
78'
F. Sommer / S. Hansen ↕
↕ S. Johannesen / D. Beni
84'
84'
M. Toure / E. Mahmoud ↕
Pre-match prediction
40.41%
FC ←
31.28%
X
28.31%
Randers
we assigned to the actual result (FC Midtjylland) 40.41% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
0.83
1.36
+0.53
Randers
0.70
0.47
-0.23
FC Midtjylland dominated by xG (1.36 vs 0.47). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen 9 24
2 FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland 9 19
3 Viborg Viborg 9 17
4 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 9 17
5 Brondby Brondby 9 13
6 AC Horsens AC Horsens 9 11
7 Silkeborg Silkeborg 9 10
8 Randers FC Randers FC 9 10
9 Odense Odense 9 9
10 Lyngby Lyngby 9 7
11 Aarhus Aarhus 9 5
12 Sonderjyske Sonderjyske 9 5
Lineups
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland 3-5-2
1 E. Ólafsson E. Ólafsson 78' G 7.30
22 Mads Bech Sørensen Mads Bech Sørensen 78' D 7.20
3 M. Jensen M. Jensen 60' D 7.20
5 R. Kristensen R. Kristensen 78' D 7.20
27 S. Johannesen S. Johannesen 78' M 7.50
29 K. Wätjen K. Wätjen 54' M 7.20
19 P. Bravo P. Bravo 78' M 6.60
8 P. Billing P. Billing 45' M 6.50
11 D. Osorio D. Osorio 1 ⚽ 78' M 8.90
10 Cho Gue-Sung Cho Gue-Sung 78' F 6.90
18 S. Iheanacho S. Iheanacho 54' F 6.50
Bench
13 Adam Gabriel Adam Gabriel D
15 B. Dje Bi Dje B. Dje Bi Dje D
21 Denil Castillo Denil Castillo 33' M 6.60
90 F. Etim F. Etim 24' F 6.20
7 Franculino Djú Franculino Djú F
38 Julius Emefile Julius Emefile M
6 M. Erlić M. Erlić 18' D 6.90
25 N. Bakker N. Bakker G
20 V. Byskov V. Byskov 24' M 6.90
Randers FC Randers FC 4-2-3-1
32 J. Storch J. Storch 45' G 6.20
44 N. Dyhr N. Dyhr 78' D 6.50
4 Wessel Dammers Wessel Dammers 78' D 6.30
3 D. Høegh D. Høegh 78' D 7.00
24 S. Hansen S. Hansen 78' D 7.30
8 L. Pedersen L. Pedersen 78' M 5.60
17 M. Greve M. Greve 78' M 7.20
15 M. Sjølstad M. Sjølstad 78' M 5.90
11 E. Mahmoud E. Mahmoud 78' M 7.20
7 M. Themsen M. Themsen 78' M 6.50
77 K. Junker K. Junker 62' F 6.30
Bench
9 Amin Al-Hamawi Amin Al-Hamawi F
33 C. Edudzi C. Edudzi F
31 Felix Sommer Felix Sommer D
26 H. Hoyrup H. Hoyrup M
38 Max Albæk Max Albæk M
30 M. Sankoh M. Sankoh 16' F 6.50
19 Musa Touré Musa Touré F
5 O. Jones O. Jones D
1 P. Izzo P. Izzo 33' G 7.00
Best on the pitch
D. Osorio
D. Osorio
M · FC
8.90
1 ⚽
4 shots · 29 pass
S. Johannesen
S. Johannesen
M · FC
7.50
1 shots · 19 pass
E. Ólafsson
E. Ólafsson
G · FC
7.30
· 19 pass
S. Hansen
S. Hansen
D · Randers
7.30
· 12 pass
Mads Bech Sørensen
Mads Bech Sørensen
D · FC
7.20
3 shots · 55 pass
M. Jensen
M. Jensen
D · FC
7.20
· 35 pass
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Ólafsson G 78 7.30 — — — 19 14% — — —
Mads Bech Sørensen D 78 7.20 — — 3 55 47% 2 — —
M. Jensen D 60 7.20 — — — 35 29% 2 1 —
R. Kristensen D 78 7.20 — — — 59 50% — — —
S. Johannesen M 78 7.50 — — 1 19 12% — — —
K. Wätjen M 54 7.20 — — 2 20 16% 4 — —
P. Bravo M 78 6.60 — — 1 28 24% — — —
P. Billing M 45 6.50 — — — 16 11% — — —
D. Osorio M 78 8.90 1 — 4 29 21% 3 — —
Cho Gue-Sung F 78 6.90 — — — 15 10% 1 — —
S. Iheanacho F 54 6.50 — — 3 8 5% 1 — —
Denil Castillo M 33 6.60 — — 1 13 8% 1 — —
F. Etim F 24 6.20 — — 1 3 1% — — —
M. Erlić D 18 6.90 — — — 20 16% — — —
V. Byskov M 24 6.90 — — 1 11 10% — — —
Randers FC Randers FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Storch G 45 6.20 — — — 17 3% — — —
N. Dyhr D 78 6.50 — — — 18 11% 2 — —
Wessel Dammers D 78 6.30 — — — 27 19% 1 — —
D. Høegh D 78 7.00 — — — 26 17% 1 — —
S. Hansen D 78 7.30 — — — 12 10% 6 — —
L. Pedersen M 78 5.60 — — — 25 16% 1 1 —
M. Greve M 78 7.20 — — 1 28 21% 4 — —
M. Sjølstad M 78 5.90 — — 1 20 11% — — —
E. Mahmoud M 78 7.20 — — 1 35 28% 2 1 —
M. Themsen M 78 6.50 — — — 16 15% 1 — —
K. Junker F 62 6.30 — — 1 10 9% — — —
M. Sankoh F 16 6.50 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
P. Izzo G 33 7.00 — — — 10 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC?
The final score was FC Midtjylland 1–0 Randers FC.
What did the model predict before FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC?
The model assigned 40% probability to a FC Midtjylland win, 31% to a draw, and 28% to an Randers FC win.