✗Model wrong — prediction FC Midtjylland, result Draw
A. Simsir
(ast. Cho Gue-Sung)
12'
D. Osorio
(ast. A. Simsir)
58'
83'
(ast. T. Klysner)
M. Cherif
89'
(ast. S. Emini)
O. Hyseni
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Midtjylland a 64% win probability (draw 21%, Sonderjyske 14%). The final result was FC Midtjylland 2–2 Sonderjyske. In 5 previous meetings, FC Midtjylland have won 4 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sonderjyske.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
4
1.94
Actual xG
2.13
2
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
9
Corners
5
12
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽A. Simsir
· ast. Cho Gue-Sung
12'
25'
Alexander Lyng
V. Byskov
/ Lee Han-Beom
40'
Gue-sung Cho
44'
46'
O. Hyseni
/
A. Lyng
46'
R. Vinderslev
/
A. Oggesen
48'
Pachanga Kristensen
⚽D. Osorio
· ast. A. Simsir
58'
62'
T. Klysner
/
S. Waever
Ousmane Diao
69'
A. Simsir
/ Franculino
72'
J. Emefile
/ M. Gogorza
72'
72'
D. Wilkins
/
P. Kristensen
D. Osorio
/ Paulinho
77'
81'
S. Emini
/
M. Hoppe
83'
ast. T. Klysner ·
M. Cherif⚽
89'
ast. S. Emini ·
O. Hyseni⚽
90'+5
Dalton Wilkins
Pre-match prediction
64.18%
FC
21.7%
X ←
14.12%
Sonderjyske
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.7%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.15
1.94
-0.21
1.00
2.13
+1.13
xG dominance was balanced (1.94 – 2.13).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
G
22
Mads Bech Sørensen
D
Mads Bech Sørensen
D
6
Martin Erlić
D
Martin Erlić
D
4
Ousmane Diao
D
Ousmane Diao
D
55
Victor Bak Jensen
M
Victor Bak Jensen
M
20
Valdemar Byskov
40'
M
Valdemar Byskov
40'
M
19
Pedro Bravo
M
Pedro Bravo
M
11
Darío Osorio
1 ⚽
77'
M
Darío Osorio
1 ⚽
77'
M
58
A. Şimşir
1 ⚽
1 👟
72'
F
A. Şimşir
1 ⚽
1 👟
72'
F
10
Gue-sung Cho
1 👟
F
Gue-sung Cho
1 👟
F
38
Julius Emefile
72'
F
Julius Emefile
72'
F
Bench
7
Franculino Djú
18'
F
Franculino Djú
18'
F
3
Han-Beom Lee
50'
D
41
Mikel Gogorza
18'
F
Mikel Gogorza
18'
F
29
Paulinho
13'
D
Paulinho
13'
D
16
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen
G
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen
G
19
Pachanga Kristensen
72'
D
Pachanga Kristensen
72'
D
5
Magnus Jensen
D
Magnus Jensen
D
12
D
3
Simon Wæver
62'
D
Simon Wæver
62'
D
22
Andreas Oggesen
45'
M
Andreas Oggesen
45'
M
26
M
11
Alexander Lyng
45'
M
Alexander Lyng
45'
M
31
Mohamed Cherif Haidara
1 ⚽
M
Mohamed Cherif Haidara
1 ⚽
M
15
Lirim Qamili
M
Lirim Qamili
M
9
Matthew Hoppe
81'
F
Matthew Hoppe
81'
F
Bench
23
Chidiebube Duru
D
Chidiebube Duru
D
13
Dalton Wilkins
18'
D
Dalton Wilkins
18'
D
24
Olti Hyseni
1 ⚽
45'
F
Olti Hyseni
1 ⚽
45'
F
7
Sefer Emini
1 👟
9'
M
Sefer Emini
1 👟
9'
M
20
Tobias Klysner
1 👟
28'
F
Tobias Klysner
1 👟
28'
F
Best on the pitch
Darío Osorio
M · FC
8.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 38 pass
A. Şimşir
F · FC
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 31 pass
Olti Hyseni
F · Sonderjyske
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Mohamed Cherif Haidara
M · Sonderjyske
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
M · Sonderjyske
7.70
· 36 pass
G · FC
7.60
· 36 pass
FC Midtjylland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Mads Bech Sørensen | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Martin Erlić | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Ousmane Diao | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 40% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Victor Bak Jensen | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Valdemar Byskov | M | 40 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Bravo | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Darío Osorio | M | 77 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Şimşir | F | 72 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Gue-sung Cho | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Julius Emefile | F | 72 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Franculino Djú | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| Han-Beom Lee | D | 50 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Mikel Gogorza | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Paulinho | D | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Sonderjyske — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Pachanga Kristensen | D | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Magnus Jensen | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — | |
| Simon Wæver | D | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Andreas Oggesen | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 4 | — | — | |
| Alexander Lyng | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 6% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Mohamed Cherif Haidara | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Lirim Qamili | M | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Matthew Hoppe | F | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Dalton Wilkins | D | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Olti Hyseni | F | 45 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Sefer Emini | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Tobias Klysner | F | 28 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske?
The final score was FC Midtjylland 2–2 Sonderjyske.
What did the model predict before FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske?
The model assigned 64% probability to a FC Midtjylland win, 21% to a draw, and 14% to an Sonderjyske win.