✗Model wrong — prediction FC Midtjylland, result Draw
A. Simsir
(ast. Cho Gue-Sung)
12'
D. Osorio
(ast. A. Simsir)
58'
83'
(ast. T. Klysner)
M. Cherif
89'
(ast. S. Emini)
O. Hyseni
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Midtjylland a 64% win probability (draw 21%, Sonderjyske 14%). The final result was FC Midtjylland 2–2 Sonderjyske. In 5 previous meetings, FC Midtjylland have won 4 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sonderjyske.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
4
1.94
Actual xG
2.13
2
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
9
Corners
5
12
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽A. Simsir
· ast. Cho Gue-Sung
12'
25'
Alexander Lyng
V. Byskov
/ Lee Han-Beom
40'
Gue-sung Cho
44'
46'
O. Hyseni
/
A. Lyng
46'
R. Vinderslev
/
A. Oggesen
48'
Pachanga Kristensen
⚽D. Osorio
· ast. A. Simsir
58'
62'
T. Klysner
/
S. Waever
Ousmane Diao
69'
A. Simsir
/ Franculino
72'
J. Emefile
/ M. Gogorza
72'
72'
D. Wilkins
/
P. Kristensen
D. Osorio
/ Paulinho
77'
81'
S. Emini
/
M. Hoppe
83'
ast. T. Klysner ·
M. Cherif⚽
89'
ast. S. Emini ·
O. Hyseni⚽
90'+5
Dalton Wilkins
Pre-match prediction
64.18%
FC
21.7%
X ←
14.12%
Sonderjyske
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.7%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.15
1.94
-0.21
1.00
2.13
+1.13
xG dominance was balanced (1.94 – 2.13).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
G
22
Mads Bech Sørensen
D
Mads Bech Sørensen
D
6
M. Erlić
D
M. Erlić
D
4
Ousmane Diao
D
Ousmane Diao
D
55
V. Bak Jensen
M
V. Bak Jensen
M
20
V. Byskov
40'
M
V. Byskov
40'
M
19
P. Bravo
M
P. Bravo
M
11
D. Osorio
1 ⚽
77'
M
D. Osorio
1 ⚽
77'
M
58
Aral Şimşir
1 ⚽
1 👟
72'
F
Aral Şimşir
1 ⚽
1 👟
72'
F
10
Cho Gue-Sung
1 👟
F
Cho Gue-Sung
1 👟
F
38
Julius Emefile
72'
F
Julius Emefile
72'
F
Bench
7
Franculino Djú
18'
F
Franculino Djú
18'
F
3
Lee Han-Beom
50'
D
Lee Han-Beom
50'
D
41
Mikel Gogorza
18'
F
Mikel Gogorza
18'
F
29
Paulinho
13'
D
Paulinho
13'
D
16
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen
G
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen
G
19
P. Kristensen
72'
D
P. Kristensen
72'
D
5
M. Jensen
D
M. Jensen
D
12
D
3
Simon Wæver
62'
D
Simon Wæver
62'
D
22
A. Oggesen
45'
M
A. Oggesen
45'
M
26
M
11
Alexander Lyng
45'
M
Alexander Lyng
45'
M
31
M. Haidara
1 ⚽
M
M. Haidara
1 ⚽
M
15
L. Qamili
M
L. Qamili
M
9
M. Hoppe
81'
F
M. Hoppe
81'
F
Bench
13
D. Wilkins
18'
D
D. Wilkins
18'
D
23
E. Duru
D
E. Duru
D
24
O. Hyseni
1 ⚽
45'
F
O. Hyseni
1 ⚽
45'
F
7
S. Emini
1 👟
9'
M
S. Emini
1 👟
9'
M
20
Tobias Klysner
1 👟
28'
F
Tobias Klysner
1 👟
28'
F
Best on the pitch
D. Osorio
M · FC
8.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 38 pass
Aral Şimşir
F · FC
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 31 pass
O. Hyseni
F · Sonderjyske
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
M. Haidara
M · Sonderjyske
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
M · Sonderjyske
7.70
· 36 pass
G · FC
7.60
· 36 pass
FC Midtjylland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Mads Bech Sørensen | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Erlić | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Ousmane Diao | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 40% | 3 | 1 | — |
| V. Bak Jensen | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Byskov | M | 40 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Bravo | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Osorio | M | 77 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Aral Şimşir | F | 72 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Cho Gue-Sung | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Julius Emefile | F | 72 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Franculino Djú | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| Lee Han-Beom | D | 50 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Mikel Gogorza | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Paulinho | D | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Sonderjyske — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 10% | — | — | — |
| P. Kristensen | D | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Jensen | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — | |
| Simon Wæver | D | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Oggesen | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 4 | — | — | |
| Alexander Lyng | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 6% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Haidara | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Qamili | M | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Hoppe | F | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Wilkins | D | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Hyseni | F | 45 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| S. Emini | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Tobias Klysner | F | 28 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske?
The final score was FC Midtjylland 2–2 Sonderjyske.
What did the model predict before FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske?
The model assigned 64% probability to a FC Midtjylland win, 21% to a draw, and 14% to an Sonderjyske win.