Superliga · Championship Group - 25 April 04, 2026 18:00 MCH Arena, Herning

FC Midtjylland

#1 · 28 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Sonderjyske

#12 · 8 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction FC Midtjylland, result Draw

A. Simsir (ast. Cho Gue-Sung) 12'

D. Osorio (ast. A. Simsir) 58'

83' (ast. T. Klysner) M. Cherif

89' (ast. S. Emini) O. Hyseni

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Midtjylland a 64% win probability (draw 21%, Sonderjyske 14%). The final result was FC Midtjylland 2–2 Sonderjyske. In 5 previous meetings, FC Midtjylland have won 4 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sonderjyske.

Match statistics

12

Total shots

6

4

Shots on target

4

1.94

Actual xG

2.13

2

Saves

3

55%

Possession

45%

9

Corners

5

12

Tackles

18

2

🟨 Yellow cards

3

Match Events

⚽A. Simsir · ast. Cho Gue-Sung

12'

25'

Alexander Lyng

↕ V. Byskov / Lee Han-Beom

40'

Gue-sung Cho

44'

46'

O. Hyseni / A. Lyng ↕

46'

R. Vinderslev / A. Oggesen ↕

48'

Pachanga Kristensen

⚽D. Osorio · ast. A. Simsir

58'

62'

T. Klysner / S. Waever ↕

Ousmane Diao

69'

↕ A. Simsir / Franculino

72'

↕ J. Emefile / M. Gogorza

72'

72'

D. Wilkins / P. Kristensen ↕

↕ D. Osorio / Paulinho

77'

81'

S. Emini / M. Hoppe ↕

83'

ast. T. Klysner · M. Cherif⚽

89'

ast. S. Emini · O. Hyseni⚽

90'+5

Dalton Wilkins

Pre-match prediction

64.18%

FC

21.7%

X ←

14.12%

Sonderjyske

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 21.7% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FC

2.15

1.94

-0.21

Sonderjyske

1.00

2.13

+1.13

xG dominance was balanced (1.94 – 2.13). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Midtjylland	12	28
2	FC Copenhagen	12	26
3	Viborg	12	20
4	FC Nordsjaelland	12	20
5	Brondby	12	19
6	AC Horsens	12	16
7	Odense	12	14
8	Aarhus	12	12
9	Silkeborg	12	12
10	Randers FC	12	11
11	Lyngby	12	8
12	Sonderjyske	12	8

Lineups

FC Midtjylland 3-4-3

16

G 7.60

22 M. Bech D 7.60

6 M. Erlić D 6.70

4 O. Diao D 6.30

55 V. Bak Jensen M 6.20

20 V. Byskov 40' M 6.90

19 Pedro Bravo M 6.30

11 D. Osorio 1 ⚽ 77' M 8.70

58 Aral Şimşir 1 ⚽ 1 👟 72' F 8.30

10 Cho Gue-Sung 1 👟 F 6.70

38 Julius Emefile 72' F 5.30

Bench

7 Franculino Djú 18' F 6.30

3 Han-Beom Lee 50' D 6.00

41 Mikel Gogorza 18' F 6.70

29 Paulinho 13' D 6.20

Sonderjyske 4-2-3-1

16 Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen G 6.30

19 P. Kristensen 72' D 6.30

5 M. Jensen D 6.90

12

D 7.00

3 Simon Wæver 62' D 6.30

22 A. Oggesen 45' M 6.90

26

M 7.70

11 Alexander Lyng 45' M 6.20

31 M. Haidara 1 ⚽ M 7.90

15 L. Qamili M 5.50

9 M. Hoppe 81' F 6.50

Bench

13 D. Wilkins 18' D 6.60

23 E. Duru D

24 O. Hyseni 1 ⚽ 45' F 8.20

7 S. Emini 1 👟 9' M 6.60

20 Tobias Klysner 1 👟 28' F 6.90

Best on the pitch

D. Osorio

M · FC

8.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 38 pass

Aral Şimşir

F · FC

8.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 31 pass

O. Hyseni

F · Sonderjyske

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 12 pass

M. Haidara

M · Sonderjyske

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 18 pass

M · Sonderjyske

7.70

· 36 pass

G · FC

7.60

· 36 pass

FC Midtjylland — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.60	—	—	—	36	19%	—	—	—
M. Bech	D	90	7.60	—	—	—	36	34%	2	—	—
M. Erlić	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	31	27%	—	—	—
O. Diao	D	90	6.30	—	—	1	52	40%	3	1	—
V. Bak Jensen	M	90	6.20	—	—	1	30	18%	2	—	—
V. Byskov	M	40	6.90	—	—	1	23	19%	1	—	—
Pedro Bravo	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	35	30%	1	—	—
D. Osorio	M	77	8.70	1	—	2	38	33%	2	—	—
Aral Şimşir	F	72	8.30	1	1	3	31	21%	—	—	—
Cho Gue-Sung	F	90	6.70	—	1	2	20	14%	1	1	—
Julius Emefile	F	72	5.30	—	—	1	15	11%	—	—	—
Franculino Djú	F	18	6.30	—	—	—	3	—	—	—	—
Han-Beom Lee	D	50	6.00	—	—	—	15	10%	—	—	—
Mikel Gogorza	F	18	6.70	—	—	—	3	1%	—	—	—
Paulinho	D	13	6.20	—	—	1	4	3%	—	—	—

Sonderjyske — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	28	10%	—	—	—
P. Kristensen	D	72	6.30	—	—	—	20	13%	—	1	—
M. Jensen	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	36	28%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.00	—	—	1	26	22%	1	—	—
Simon Wæver	D	62	6.30	—	—	—	15	9%	2	—	—
A. Oggesen	M	45	6.90	—	—	—	23	15%	3	—	—
	M	90	7.70	—	—	—	36	28%	4	—	—
Alexander Lyng	M	45	6.20	—	—	1	13	6%	3	1	—
M. Haidara	M	90	7.90	1	—	2	18	11%	3	—	—
L. Qamili	M	90	5.50	—	—	1	14	8%	1	—	—
M. Hoppe	F	81	6.50	—	—	—	14	8%	1	—	—
D. Wilkins	D	18	6.60	—	—	—	11	10%	—	1	—
O. Hyseni	F	45	8.20	1	—	1	12	11%	—	—	—
S. Emini	M	9	6.60	—	1	—	3	2%	—	—	—
Tobias Klysner	F	28	6.90	—	1	—	8	7%	—	—	—