D. Osorio
36'
P. Bravo
(ast. A. Simsir)
45'+2
M. Erlic
(ast. O. Diao)
80'
33'
A. Beck
45'
A. Beck
89'
D. Hanza
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Midtjylland a 48% win probability (draw 25%, Viborg 26%). The final result was FC Midtjylland 3–3 Viborg. In 4 previous meetings, FC Midtjylland have won 2 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Viborg.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
6
0.79
Actual xG
1.67
3
Saves
3
57%
Possession
43%
8
Corners
0
24
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
15'
D. Osorio
31'
33'
A. Beck⚽
⚽D. Osorio
36'
40'
⚽P. Bravo
· ast. A. Simsir
45'+2
45'
A. Beck⚽
D. Osorio
/ Junior Brumado
46'
E. Chilufya
/ Cho Gue-Sung
60'
66'
M. Hoedemakers
67'
Z. Zaletel
/
O. Bundgaard
V. Bak
67'
74'
B. Brahimi
/
C. Nouck
A. Simsir
/ M. Gogorza
74'
75'
J. Mbom
/
M. Hoedemakers
D. Castillo
/ K. Mbabu
75'
⚽M. Erlic
· ast. O. Diao
80'
87'
A. Kleis-Kristoffersen
/
A. Beck
O. Diao
/ Paulinho
87'
89'
D. Hanza⚽
Pre-match prediction
48.04%
FC
25.76%
X ←
26.2%
Viborg
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.28
0.79
-0.49
1.01
1.67
+0.66
Viborg dominated by xG (1.67 vs 0.79).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
G
4
O. Diao
1 👟
87'
D
O. Diao
1 👟
87'
D
6
M. Erlić
1 ⚽
D
M. Erlić
1 ⚽
D
3
Han-Beom Lee
D
Han-Beom Lee
D
55
V. Bak Jensen
M
V. Bak Jensen
M
19
Pedro Bravo
1 ⚽
M
Pedro Bravo
1 ⚽
M
8
P. Billing
M
P. Billing
M
11
D. Osorio
1 ⚽
45'
M
D. Osorio
1 ⚽
45'
M
58
Aral Şimşir
1 👟
74'
F
Aral Şimşir
1 👟
74'
F
21
D. Castillo
75'
F
D. Castillo
75'
F
14
E. Chilufya
60'
F
E. Chilufya
60'
F
Bench
10
Cho Gue-Sung
34'
F
Cho Gue-Sung
34'
F
38
Julius Emefile
F
Julius Emefile
F
74
Júnior Brumado
49'
F
Júnior Brumado
49'
F
43
K. Mbabu
19'
D
K. Mbabu
19'
D
41
Mikel Gogorza
20'
F
Mikel Gogorza
20'
F
29
Paulinho
7'
D
Paulinho
7'
D
20
V. Byskov
M
V. Byskov
M
1
G
23
O. Bundgaard
67'
D
O. Bundgaard
67'
D
24
D
32
L. Kirkegaard
D
L. Kirkegaard
D
26
Hjalte Bidstrup
D
Hjalte Bidstrup
D
10
T. Jørgensen
M
T. Jørgensen
M
4
Mees Hoedemakers
75'
M
Mees Hoedemakers
75'
M
8
A. Beck
2 ⚽
87'
M
A. Beck
2 ⚽
87'
M
29
S. Jalal
M
S. Jalal
M
19
Dorian Hanza
1 ⚽
F
Dorian Hanza
1 ⚽
F
11
C. Nouck
74'
F
C. Nouck
74'
F
Bench
21
B. Brahimi
20'
M
B. Brahimi
20'
M
18
J. Mbom
19'
D
J. Mbom
19'
D
17
O. Addo
F
O. Addo
F
5
Ž. Zaletel
27'
D
Ž. Zaletel
27'
D
Best on the pitch
O. Diao
D · FC
7.60
1 👟
· 52 pass
Pedro Bravo
M · FC
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
A. Beck
M · Viborg
7.50
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 26 pass
M. Erlić
D · FC
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 44 pass
P. Billing
M · FC
7.50
· 37 pass
D. Osorio
M · FC
7.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 20 pass
FC Midtjylland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| O. Diao | D | 87 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 52 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Erlić | D | 94 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Han-Beom Lee | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| V. Bak Jensen | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 41% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Bravo | M | 94 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Billing | M | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Osorio | M | 45 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 20 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Aral Şimşir | F | 74 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 31 | 23% | — | — | — |
| D. Castillo | F | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Chilufya | F | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Cho Gue-Sung | F | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Júnior Brumado | F | 49 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 6% | — | — | — |
| K. Mbabu | D | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Mikel Gogorza | F | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Paulinho | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
Viborg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| O. Bundgaard | D | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| L. Kirkegaard | D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Hjalte Bidstrup | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| T. Jørgensen | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 26% | 5 | — | — |
| Mees Hoedemakers | M | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Beck | M | 87 | 7.50 | 2 | — | 3 | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| S. Jalal | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Dorian Hanza | F | 94 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Nouck | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Brahimi | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Mbom | D | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Ž. Zaletel | D | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Midtjylland vs Viborg?
The final score was FC Midtjylland 3–3 Viborg.
What did the model predict before FC Midtjylland vs Viborg?
The model assigned 48% probability to a FC Midtjylland win, 25% to a draw, and 26% to an Viborg win.