FC Nordsjaelland - Valur Reykjavik
Conference League
August 13, 2026 19:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
78.37%
Win
FC Nordsjaelland
10.73%
Draw
10.9%
Win
Valur Reykjavik
4.34
1.49
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
FC Nordsjaelland
78.37%
Probability
82.4%
1X2 accuracy · 17 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
4–1
(6.96%)
1X2 Result
✓ 82.4% hit rate (17 picks)
1
78%
X
11%
2
11%
Double Chance
1X
89%
X2
22%
12
89%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
90%
Over 2.5
83%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Nordsjaelland a 78% win probability, against 10% for a draw and 10% for Valur Reykjavik. Expected goals are 4.3 for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.5 for Valur Reykjavik (total 5.8), with a 90% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 4–1 at 6.96% probability. In 1 previous meetings, FC Nordsjaelland have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Valur Reykjavik.
Season Stats
2W
0D
1L
3W
2D
2L
Averages per game
2.7
Goals
1.4
0.3
Conceded
1.1
5.7
Shots OT
2.0
5.3
Corners
3.0
60%
Poss.
35%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
86%
33%
O 2.5
57%
0%
BTTS
57%
67%
Clean Sht
29%
ℹ
Based on the last 7 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
67%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
1W
0D
0L
· at home
1W
2D
0L
· away
6.0
gls/g
1.7
0.0
Conceded
1.3
100%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
67%
100%
O 3.5
33%
0%
BTTS
100%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ FC Nordsjaelland
Valur Reykjavik →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Recent form
Playing profile
FC Nordsjaelland
Attack
56
Defence
70
Form
66
Valur Reykjavik
Attack
35
Defence
52
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
6 Aug 2026
2–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik?
The model gives FC Nordsjaelland a 78% win probability, 10% for a draw, and 10% for an Valur Reykjavik win.
How many goals are expected in FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik?
Expected goals: FC Nordsjaelland 4.3, Valur Reykjavik 1.5 (total 5.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 90%.
What is the most likely score in FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik?
4–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.96%.