Premier League
· Regular Season - 26
April 22, 2026 16:30
Alexandre Jesus
(ast. J. Thompson)
79'
Alexandre Jesus
(ast. J. Thompson)
82'
(pen.)
41'
A. Balboa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Orenburg a 43% win probability (draw 30%, Nizhny Novgorod 26%). The final result was FC Orenburg 2–1 Nizhny Novgorod. In 1 previous meetings, FC Orenburg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nizhny Novgorod.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
3
6
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
4
55%
Possession
45%
10
Corners
4
19
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
B. Ovsyannikov
40'
41'
(pen.)
A. Balboa⚽
47'
A. Ivlev
55'
M. Urvantsev
E. Tsenov
/ A. Cantero
57'
M. Savelyev
/ Alexandre Jesus
67'
D. Puebla
/ R. Golybin
68'
69'
A. Balboa
69'
D. Lesovoy
/
M. Urvantsev
70'
N. Ermakov
/
A. Ivlev
70'
J. Castillo
/
A. Balboa
⚽Alexandre Jesus
· ast. J. Thompson
79'
⚽Alexandre Jesus
· ast. J. Thompson
82'
A. Cantero
84'
85'
V. Grulev
/
J. Castillo
E. Bolotov
/ I. Kvekveskiri
89'
Du Queiroz
/ R. Kul
89'
90'+2
A. Sidorenko
/
L. Ticic
Pre-match prediction
43.15%
FC ←
30.7%
X
26.15%
Nizhny
we assigned to the actual result (FC Orenburg)
43.15%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.12
—
—
0.82
—
—
Lineups
1
Bogdan Ovsyannikov
G
Bogdan Ovsyannikov
G
26
Emil Tsenov
57'
D
Emil Tsenov
57'
D
4
D
6
Jhon Palacios
D
Jhon Palacios
D
18
Fahd Moufi
D
Fahd Moufi
D
57
Evgeniy Bolotov
89'
M
Evgeniy Bolotov
89'
M
37
Du Queiroz
89'
M
Du Queiroz
89'
M
7
Emircan Gürlük
M
Emircan Gürlük
M
8
Damián Puebla
68'
M
Damián Puebla
68'
M
16
J. Thompson
2 👟
M
J. Thompson
2 👟
M
9
M. Saveljev
67'
F
M. Saveljev
67'
F
Bench
19
Alexandre Jesus
2 ⚽
23'
F
Alexandre Jesus
2 ⚽
23'
F
32
Alexis Cantero
33'
D
Alexis Cantero
33'
D
3
Danila Vedernikov
D
Danila Vedernikov
D
65
Ivan Ivashchenko
M
Ivan Ivashchenko
M
88
Maksim Rudakov
G
Maksim Rudakov
G
27
Renat Golybin
22'
M
Renat Golybin
22'
M
30
G
3
Yuriy Koledin
D
Yuriy Koledin
D
4
D
2
D
70
Maksim Shnaptsev
D
Maksim Shnaptsev
D
17
Egor Smelov
M
Egor Smelov
M
77
Andrey Ivlev
70'
M
Andrey Ivlev
70'
M
29
Luka Tičić
89'
M
Luka Tičić
89'
M
21
R. Cephas
F
R. Cephas
F
10
Adrián Balboa
1 ⚽
70'
F
Adrián Balboa
1 ⚽
70'
F
14
Matvey Urvantsev
69'
F
Matvey Urvantsev
69'
F
Bench
69
Artem Sidorenko
8'
M
Artem Sidorenko
8'
M
88
Daniil Lesovoy
21'
F
Daniil Lesovoy
21'
F
23
Juan Castillo
15'
D
Juan Castillo
15'
D
8
Mamadou Maiga
M
Mamadou Maiga
M
Best on the pitch
Alexandre Jesus
F · FC
9.00
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 3 pass
J. Thompson
M · FC
7.70
2 👟
· 22 pass
M. Saveljev
F · FC
7.70
3 shots
· 7 pass
D · FC
7.60
3 shots
· 60 pass
Adrián Balboa
F · Nizhny
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
Damián Puebla
M · FC
7.00
2 shots
· 11 pass
FC Orenburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogdan Ovsyannikov | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Emil Tsenov | D | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 3 | 60 | 41% | 2 | — | — | |
| Jhon Palacios | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Fahd Moufi | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Evgeniy Bolotov | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Du Queiroz | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Emircan Gürlük | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | 5 | — | — |
| Damián Puebla | M | 68 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Thompson | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 2 | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. Saveljev | F | 67 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexandre Jesus | F | 23 | 9.00 | 2 | — | 2 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Cantero | D | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Renat Golybin | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
Nizhny Novgorod — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 7% | — | — | — | |
| Yuriy Koledin | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | 5 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 22% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Maksim Shnaptsev | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Egor Smelov | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Andrey Ivlev | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luka Tičić | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Cephas | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Adrián Balboa | F | 70 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Matvey Urvantsev | F | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Artem Sidorenko | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Daniil Lesovoy | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Castillo | D | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Orenburg vs Nizhny Novgorod?
The final score was FC Orenburg 2–1 Nizhny Novgorod.
What did the model predict before FC Orenburg vs Nizhny Novgorod?
The model assigned 43% probability to a FC Orenburg win, 30% to a draw, and 26% to an Nizhny Novgorod win.