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#11 · 9 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Alexandre Jesus (ast. J. Thompson) 79'
Alexandre Jesus (ast. J. Thompson) 82'
(pen.) 41' A. Balboa
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Orenburg a 43% win probability (draw 30%, Nizhny Novgorod 26%). The final result was FC Orenburg 2–1 Nizhny Novgorod. In 1 previous meetings, FC Orenburg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nizhny Novgorod.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
3
6
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
4
55%
Possession
45%
10
Corners
4
19
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
B. Ovsyannikov
40'
41'
(pen.) A. Balboa⚽
47'
A. Ivlev
55'
M. Urvantsev
↕ E. Tsenov / A. Cantero
57'
↕ M. Savelyev / Alexandre Jesus
67'
↕ D. Puebla / R. Golybin
68'
69'
A. Balboa
69'
D. Lesovoy / M. Urvantsev ↕
70'
N. Ermakov / A. Ivlev ↕
70'
J. Castillo / A. Balboa ↕
⚽Alexandre Jesus · ast. J. Thompson
79'
⚽Alexandre Jesus · ast. J. Thompson
82'
A. Cantero
84'
85'
V. Grulev / J. Castillo ↕
↕ E. Bolotov / I. Kvekveskiri
89'
↕ Du Queiroz / R. Kul
89'
90'+2
A. Sidorenko / L. Ticic ↕
Pre-match prediction
43.15%
FC ←
30.7%
X
26.15%
Nizhny
we assigned to the actual result (FC Orenburg) 43.15% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
1.12
—
—
Nizhny
0.82
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 9 21
2 Dynamo Dynamo 9 19
3 CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 9 19
4 Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 9 19
5 Zenit Zenit 9 18
6 Rubin Rubin 9 12
7 Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala 9 12
8 Baltika Baltika 9 11
9 Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 9 11
10 Akhmat Akhmat 9 10
11 FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 9 9
12 FC Rostov FC Rostov 9 8
13 Akron Akron 9 8
14 Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 9 7
15 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 9 5
16 Fakel Fakel 9 3
Lineups
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 4-2-3-1
1 B. Ovsyannikov B. Ovsyannikov G 6.30
26 E. Tsenov E. Tsenov 57' D 6.90
4
D 7.60
6 J. Palacios J. Palacios D 6.90
18 F. Moufi F. Moufi D 6.30
57 E. Bolotov E. Bolotov 89' M 6.50
37 Du Queiroz Du Queiroz 89' M 6.90
7 Emircan Gürlük Emircan Gürlük M 6.90
8 D. Puebla D. Puebla 68' M 7.00
16 J. Thompson J. Thompson 2 👟 M 7.70
9 M. Saveljev M. Saveljev 67' F 7.70
Bench
19 Alexandre Jesus Alexandre Jesus 2 ⚽ 23' F 9.00
32 Alexis Cantero Alexis Cantero 33' D 6.60
3 D. Vedernikov D. Vedernikov D
65 I. Ivashchenko I. Ivashchenko M
88 Maksim Rudakov Maksim Rudakov G
27 Renat Golybin Renat Golybin 22' M 6.30
30
G 6.50
3 Yuriy Koledin Yuriy Koledin D 6.50
4
D 6.50
2
D 5.90
70 M. Shnaptsev M. Shnaptsev D 6.70
17 E. Smelov E. Smelov M 6.30
77 Andrey Ivlev Andrey Ivlev 70' M 6.60
29 Luka Tičić Luka Tičić 89' M 6.60
21 R. Cephas R. Cephas F 6.90
10 Adrián Balboa Adrián Balboa 1 ⚽ 70' F 7.20
14 Matvey Urvantsev Matvey Urvantsev 69' F 6.30
Bench
69 Artem Sidorenko Artem Sidorenko 8' M 6.30
88 D. Lesovoy D. Lesovoy 21' F 6.70
23 Juan Castillo Juan Castillo 15' D 6.20
8 Mamadou Maiga Mamadou Maiga M
Best on the pitch
Alexandre Jesus
Alexandre Jesus
F · FC
9.00
2 ⚽
2 shots · 3 pass
J. Thompson
J. Thompson
M · FC
7.70
2 👟
· 22 pass
M. Saveljev
M. Saveljev
F · FC
7.70
3 shots · 7 pass
D · FC
7.60
3 shots · 60 pass
Adrián Balboa
Adrián Balboa
F · Nizhny
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 11 pass
D. Puebla
D. Puebla
M · FC
7.00
2 shots · 11 pass
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Ovsyannikov G 90 6.30 — — — 16 13% — 1 —
E. Tsenov D 57 6.90 — — — 23 16% 4 — —
D 90 7.60 — — 3 60 41% 2 — —
J. Palacios D 90 6.90 — — 2 44 37% 1 — —
F. Moufi D 90 6.30 — — — 31 20% — — —
E. Bolotov M 89 6.50 — — — 20 13% — — —
Du Queiroz M 89 6.90 — — 3 36 26% 3 — —
Emircan Gürlük M 90 6.90 — — — 17 10% 5 — —
D. Puebla M 68 7.00 — — 2 11 8% 2 — —
J. Thompson M 90 7.70 — 2 — 22 20% — — —
M. Saveljev F 67 7.70 — — 3 7 4% 1 — —
Alexandre Jesus F 23 9.00 2 — 2 3 3% — — —
Alexis Cantero D 33 6.60 — — — 15 7% 1 1 —
Renat Golybin M 22 6.30 — — 1 6 3% — — —
Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 — — — 25 7% — — —
Yuriy Koledin D 90 6.50 — — — 29 19% 5 — —
D 90 6.50 — — — 37 22% 1 — —
D 90 5.90 — — — 23 14% — — —
M. Shnaptsev D 90 6.70 — — — 25 22% 3 — —
E. Smelov M 90 6.30 — — 1 21 15% 3 — —
Andrey Ivlev M 70 6.60 — — — 15 13% 1 1 —
Luka Tičić M 89 6.60 — — — 35 27% 1 — —
R. Cephas F 90 6.90 — — — 9 7% 2 — —
Adrián Balboa F 70 7.20 1 — 2 11 6% — 1 —
Matvey Urvantsev F 69 6.30 — — — 16 8% 2 1 —
Artem Sidorenko M 8 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
D. Lesovoy F 21 6.70 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
Juan Castillo D 15 6.20 — — — 3 1% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Orenburg vs Nizhny Novgorod?
The final score was FC Orenburg 2–1 Nizhny Novgorod.
What did the model predict before FC Orenburg vs Nizhny Novgorod?
The model assigned 43% probability to a FC Orenburg win, 30% to a draw, and 26% to an Nizhny Novgorod win.