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FC Orenburg - Rubin

Cup September 02, 2026 15:15
FC Orenburg
vs
Rubin
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.6%
Win
FC Orenburg
32.89%
Draw
34.51%
Win
Rubin
1.1
Expected xG
1.21

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (15.1%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 65%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rubin a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for FC Orenburg. Expected goals are 1.1 for FC Orenburg and 1.2 for Rubin (total 2.3), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 15.1% probability. In 7 previous meetings, FC Orenburg have won 2 times, with 4 draws and 1 wins for Rubin.

Season Stats

FC Orenburg
2W 1D 7L
Rubin
1W 3D 4L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
0.6
2.8
Conceded
1.8
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
63%
60%
O 2.5
38%
40%
BTTS
13%
20%
Clean Sht
38%
ℹ Based on the last 10 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
38%
BTTS
FC Orenburg
1W 1D 2L · at home
Rubin
0W 2D 3L · away
1.5
gls/g
0.0
2.2
Conceded
2.0
25%
Win %
0%
50%
Win or Draw
40%
75%
O 1.5
60%
75%
O 2.5
40%
50%
O 3.5
20%
75%
BTTS
0%
25%
Clean Sht
40%
25%
Failed to Score
100%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FC Orenburg Rubin →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0% 12.0% 7.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.0% 13.2% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.0% 7.3% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% —
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

FC Orenburg FC Orenburg
L Spartak Moscow 5–1
L Krylia Sovetov 2–0
L FC Krasnodar 4–0
L FC Krasnodar 1–3
L Zenit 6–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Rubin Rubin
L Rodina Moskva 5–0
D Arsenal Tula 0–0
D Akhmat 3–3
L Zenit 0–1
D FC Orenburg 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

FC Orenburg FC Orenburg
Attack
27
Defence
51
Form
48
Rubin Rubin
Attack
32
Defence
62
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

2
FC Orenburg
4
Draw
1
Rubin
9 Aug 2026 Premier League 1–1
3 Jul 2026 Friendlies Clubs 2–1
11 Apr 2026 Premier League 0–0
20 Feb 2026 Friendlies Clubs 1–0
16 Sep 2025 Cup 0–0
30 Aug 2025 Premier League 2–2
31 Jul 2025 Cup 0–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Orenburg vs Rubin?
The model gives FC Orenburg a 32% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 34% for an Rubin win.
How many goals are expected in FC Orenburg vs Rubin?
Expected goals: FC Orenburg 1.1, Rubin 1.2 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in FC Orenburg vs Rubin?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.1%.