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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 3 August 23, 2026 21:30 Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
FC Porto
#1 · 18 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Arouca
#5 · 10 pts
G. Veiga (ast. William Gomes) 67'
B. Sainz (ast. Pepe) 86'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Porto a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Arouca 30%). The final result was FC Porto 2–0 Arouca. In 2 previous meetings, FC Porto have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Arouca.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
4
10
Shots on target
1
3.00
Actual xG
0.54
1
Saves
8
53%
Possession
47%
12
Corners
2
16
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
59'
62'
P. Gozalbez / H. Lee ↕
62'
D. Nandin / I. Barbero ↕
⚽G. Veiga · ast. William Gomes
67'
↕ Andre Silva / D. Gul
72'
72'
Pedro Santos / E. van Ee ↕
72'
B. Mansilla / A. Trezza ↕
↕ William Gomes / B. Sainz
76'
↕ G. Veiga / Hwang In-Beom
76'
Hwang In-Beom
83'
⚽B. Sainz · ast. Pepe
86'
88'
M. Flores / Tiago Esgaio ↕
↕ J. Bednarek / N. Perez
88'
Pre-match prediction
39.73%
FC ←
30.04%
X
30.23%
Arouca
we assigned to the actual result (FC Porto) 39.73% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.68
3.00
+0.32
Arouca
1.84
0.54
-1.3
FC Porto dominated by xG (3.00 vs 0.54). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 6 18
2 Santa Clara Santa Clara 6 14
3 Benfica Benfica 5 13
4 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5 13
5 Arouca Arouca 6 10
6 Estrela Estrela 5 9
7 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 6 8
8 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 4 7
9 SC Braga SC Braga 4 7
10 Maritimo Maritimo 5 7
11 Alverca Alverca 6 5
12 Vitória SC Vitória SC 6 4
13 Nacional Nacional 6 4
14 Moreirense Moreirense 5 4
15 Famalicao Famalicao 5 3
16 Rio Ave Rio Ave 5 3
17 Estoril Estoril 5 2
18 Casa Pia Casa Pia 6 1
Lineups
FC Porto FC Porto 4-3-3
99 Diogo Costa Diogo Costa G 7.30
12 Z. Sanusi Z. Sanusi D 7.50
4 J. Kiwior J. Kiwior D 7.30
5 J. Bednarek J. Bednarek 88' D 7.30
20 Alberto Baio Alberto Baio D 7.50
10 Gabri Veiga Gabri Veiga 1 ⚽ 76' M 9.30
13 P. Rosario P. Rosario M 6.90
8 Victor Mow Froholdt Victor Mow Froholdt M 6.90
11 Pepê Aquino Pepê Aquino 1 👟 F 7.00
19 André Silva André Silva 72' F 6.20
7 William William 1 👟 76' F 8.30
Bench
24 Andorinha Andorinha G
22 A. Varela A. Varela M
17 Borja Sainz Borja Sainz 1 ⚽ 14' F 8.00
27 Deniz Gül Deniz Gül 18' F 6.90
21 D. Prpić D. Prpić D
57 Duarte Cunha Duarte Cunha F
74 Francisco Moura Francisco Moura D
16 Hwang In-Beom Hwang In-Beom 14' M 6.30
50 J. Afonso J. Afonso G
18 N. Pérez N. Pérez 8' D 7.30
6 S. Eustáquio S. Eustáquio M
59 Tiago Andrade Tiago Andrade F
Arouca Arouca 4-2-3-1
12 I. de Arruabarrena I. de Arruabarrena G 9.00
18 O. Lebedenko O. Lebedenko D 5.90
3 José Fontán José Fontán D 7.00
15 Javi Sánchez Javi Sánchez D 6.70
28 Tiago Esgaio Tiago Esgaio 88' D 6.30
8 T. Fukui T. Fukui M 6.90
6 E. van Ee E. van Ee 72' M 6.60
7 N. Djouahra N. Djouahra M 6.30
14 Lee Hyun-Ju Lee Hyun-Ju 62' M 6.30
19 A. Trezza A. Trezza 72' M 6.50
17 Barbero Barbero 62' F 6.30
Bench
24 B. Mansilla B. Mansilla 18' F 6.30
5 B. Popović B. Popović D
4 Diogo Monteiro Diogo Monteiro D
23 D. Nandín D. Nandín 28' F 6.50
9 F. Mayulu F. Mayulu F
1 J. Vinarčík J. Vinarčík G
37 Mario Climent Mario Climent D
21 Mateo Flores Mateo Flores 8' M 6.60
71 M. Duarte M. Duarte G
10 Pablo Gozálbez Pablo Gozálbez 28' M 6.20
89 Pedro Santos Pedro Santos 18' M 6.70
77 S. Park S. Park F
Best on the pitch
Gabri Veiga
Gabri Veiga
M · FC
9.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 37 pass
I. de Arruabarrena
I. de Arruabarrena
G · Arouca
9.00
· 36 pass
William
William
F · FC
8.30
1 👟
2 shots · 20 pass
Borja Sainz
Borja Sainz
F · FC
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots · 1 pass
Z. Sanusi
Z. Sanusi
D · FC
7.50
· 35 pass
Alberto Baio
Alberto Baio
D · FC
7.50
· 23 pass
FC Porto FC Porto — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Diogo Costa G 90 7.30 — — — 32 26% — — —
Z. Sanusi D 90 7.50 — — — 35 30% — — —
J. Kiwior D 90 7.30 — — — 105 93% — — —
J. Bednarek D 88 7.30 — — 1 104 98% 1 — —
Alberto Baio D 90 7.50 — — — 23 18% 3 — —
Gabri Veiga M 76 9.30 1 — 3 37 31% 2 — —
P. Rosario M 90 6.90 — — — 32 28% 2 — —
Victor Mow Froholdt M 90 6.90 — — 4 19 17% 3 — —
Pepê Aquino F 90 7.00 — 1 4 28 21% — — —
André Silva F 72 6.20 — — 1 18 12% — — —
William F 76 8.30 — 1 2 20 14% 3 — —
Borja Sainz F 14 8.00 1 — 3 1 1% 1 — —
Deniz Gül F 18 6.90 — — — 4 2% — — —
Hwang In-Beom M 14 6.30 — — — 2 2% — 1 —
N. Pérez D 8 7.30 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Arouca Arouca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. de Arruabarrena G 90 9.00 — — — 36 29% — — —
O. Lebedenko D 90 5.90 — — — 34 29% 2 — —
José Fontán D 90 7.00 — — — 76 68% 3 — —
Javi Sánchez D 90 6.70 — — — 58 56% — — —
Tiago Esgaio D 88 6.30 — — — 31 25% 1 — —
T. Fukui M 90 6.90 — — — 46 41% 2 — —
E. van Ee M 72 6.60 — — — 31 28% 1 — —
N. Djouahra M 90 6.30 — — 1 26 19% 3 — —
Lee Hyun-Ju M 62 6.30 — — 1 17 14% — — —
A. Trezza M 72 6.50 — — — 8 7% — — —
Barbero F 62 6.30 — — 1 7 6% 1 — —
B. Mansilla F 18 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
D. Nandín F 28 6.50 — — — 4 1% 1 — —
Mateo Flores M 8 6.60 — — — 4 4% — — —
Pablo Gozálbez M 28 6.20 — — — 8 6% — — —
Pedro Santos M 18 6.70 — — 1 23 22% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Porto vs Arouca?
The final score was FC Porto 2–0 Arouca.
What did the model predict before FC Porto vs Arouca?
The model assigned 39% probability to a FC Porto win, 30% to a draw, and 30% to an Arouca win.