Jan Bednarek
(ast. Gabri Veiga)
11'
Gabri Veiga
(ast. Santiago Giménez)
71'
Jakub Kiwior
(ast. Hwang In-Beom)
80'
Samuel Aghehowa
90'
(pen.)
43'
Scott McTominay
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Porto a 52% win probability (draw 24%, Napoli 23%). The final result was FC Porto 4–1 Napoli.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
11
8
Shots on target
6
2.75
Actual xG
1.31
5
Saves
4
52%
Possession
48%
6
Corners
5
15
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
1'
Antonio Vergara
⚽Jan Bednarek
· ast. Gabri Veiga
11'
21'
Frank Anguissa
35'
Amir Rrahmani
36'
Scott McTominay
43'
Scott McTominay⚽
Gabri Veiga
45'+2
André Silva
/ Samuel Aghehowa
56'
Borja Sainz
/ Santiago Giménez
67'
Martim Fernandes
/ Zaidu Sanusi
67'
⚽Gabri Veiga
· ast. Santiago Giménez
71'
Gabri Veiga
/ Hwang In-Beom
78'
Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa
/ Seko Fofana
78'
78'
Noa Lang
/
Frank Anguissa
78'
Giovane Santana Do Nascimento
/
Antonio Vergara
⚽Jakub Kiwior
· ast. Hwang In-Beom
80'
81'
Lorenzo Lucca
/
Matteo Politano
88'
Rafael Marin Zamora
⚽Samuel Aghehowa
(pen.)
90'
Pre-match prediction
52.57%
FC ←
24.07%
X
23.36%
Napoli
we assigned to the actual result (FC Porto)
52.57%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.02
2.75
-0.27
1.74
1.31
-0.43
FC Porto dominated by xG (2.75 vs 1.31).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
99
Diogo Costa
G
Diogo Costa
G
52
Martim Fernandes
67'
D
Martim Fernandes
67'
D
4
J. Kiwior
1 ⚽
D
J. Kiwior
1 ⚽
D
5
J. Bednarek
1 ⚽
D
J. Bednarek
1 ⚽
D
20
Alberto Baio
D
Alberto Baio
D
10
Gabri Veiga
1 ⚽
1 👟
78'
M
Gabri Veiga
1 ⚽
1 👟
78'
M
13
P. Rosario
M
P. Rosario
M
8
Victor Mow Froholdt
M
Victor Mow Froholdt
M
17
Borja Sainz
67'
F
Borja Sainz
67'
F
19
André Silva
56'
F
André Silva
56'
F
11
Pepê Aquino
78'
F
Pepê Aquino
78'
F
Bench
24
Andorinha
G
Andorinha
G
22
A. Varela
M
A. Varela
M
14
Cláudio Ramos
G
Cláudio Ramos
G
74
Francisco Moura
D
Francisco Moura
D
16
Hwang In-Beom
1 👟
12'
M
Hwang In-Beom
1 👟
12'
M
18
N. Pérez
D
N. Pérez
D
77
O. Pietuszewski
F
O. Pietuszewski
F
9
Samu
1 ⚽
34'
F
Samu
1 ⚽
34'
F
42
S. Fofana
12'
M
S. Fofana
12'
M
29
S. Giménez
1 👟
23'
F
S. Giménez
1 👟
23'
F
33
Souza
D
Souza
D
12
Z. Sanusi
23'
D
Z. Sanusi
23'
D
1
A. Meret
G
A. Meret
G
16
Rafa Marín
88'
D
Rafa Marín
88'
D
13
Amir Rrahmani
D
Amir Rrahmani
D
31
S. Beukema
D
S. Beukema
D
26
A. Vergara
78'
M
A. Vergara
78'
M
8
S. McTominay
1 ⚽
M
S. McTominay
1 ⚽
M
99
A. Zambo Anguissa
78'
M
A. Zambo Anguissa
78'
M
21
M. Politano
81'
M
M. Politano
81'
M
6
B. Gilmour
M
B. Gilmour
M
11
K. De Bruyne
F
K. De Bruyne
F
19
R. Højlund
F
R. Højlund
F
Bench
38
A. Chiummariello
M
A. Chiummariello
M
23
Giovane
12'
F
Giovane
12'
F
20
L. Lucca
9'
F
L. Lucca
9'
F
14
N. Contini
G
N. Contini
G
70
N. Lang
12'
F
N. Lang
12'
F
32
V. Milinković-Savić
G
V. Milinković-Savić
G
Best on the pitch
Gabri Veiga
M · FC
8.89
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 49 pass
J. Bednarek
D · FC
8.11
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 57 pass
J. Kiwior
D · FC
7.94
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 68 pass
Samu
F · FC
7.80
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 6 pass
S. McTominay
M · Napoli
7.56
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 39 pass
Diogo Costa
G · FC
7.48
· 49 pass
FC Porto — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Costa | G | 90 | 7.48 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| Martim Fernandes | D | 67 | 6.81 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Kiwior | D | 90 | 7.94 | 1 | — | 2 | 68 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bednarek | D | 90 | 8.11 | 1 | — | 2 | 57 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Alberto Baio | D | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Gabri Veiga | M | 78 | 8.89 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 49 | 39% | 2 | 1 | — |
| P. Rosario | M | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| Victor Mow Froholdt | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Borja Sainz | F | 67 | 6.89 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| André Silva | F | 56 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Pepê Aquino | F | 78 | 6.24 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| Hwang In-Beom | M | 12 | 6.72 | — | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Samu | F | 34 | 7.80 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Fofana | M | 12 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Giménez | F | 23 | 7.15 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Z. Sanusi | D | 23 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
Napoli — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Meret | G | 90 | 5.89 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Rafa Marín | D | 88 | 5.14 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 52% | 4 | — | 1 |
| Amir Rrahmani | D | 90 | 5.52 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 45% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Beukema | D | 90 | 6.03 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 43% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Vergara | M | 78 | 5.26 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | 4 | 1 | — |
| S. McTominay | M | 90 | 7.56 | 1 | — | 3 | 39 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Zambo Anguissa | M | 78 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 36% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Politano | M | 81 | 6.47 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Gilmour | M | 90 | 6.12 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| K. De Bruyne | F | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 44% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Højlund | F | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Giovane | F | 12 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Lucca | F | 9 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Lang | F | 12 | 6.52 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Porto vs Napoli?
The final score was FC Porto 4–1 Napoli.
What did the model predict before FC Porto vs Napoli?
The model assigned 52% probability to a FC Porto win, 24% to a draw, and 23% to an Napoli win.