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FC Porto - Paredes

Taça de Portugal November 21, 2026 16:00
FC Porto
vs
Paredes
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.89%
Win
FC Porto
29.44%
Draw
38.67%
Win
Paredes
0.92
Expected xG
1.2

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (13.54%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 29%
2 39%
Double Chance
1X 61%
X2 68%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 69%
Over 2.5 40%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Paredes a 38% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 31% for FC Porto. Expected goals are 0.9 for FC Porto and 1.2 for Paredes (total 2.1), with a 69% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 13.54% probability.

Season Stats

FC Porto
4W 1D 1L
Paredes
3W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
2.2
0.3
Conceded
1.0
3.0
Shots OT
—
6.0
Corners
—
50%
Poss.
—
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
75%
50%
O 2.5
50%
17%
BTTS
50%
67%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
63%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
FC Porto
3W 1D 0L · at home
Paredes
1W 0D 0L · away
2.0
gls/g
3.0
0.2
Conceded
1.0
75%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
25%
O 3.5
100%
25%
BTTS
100%
75%
Clean Sht
0%
25%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FC Porto Paredes →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0% 14.4% 8.7% 3.5% 1.0% 0.3%
1 11.0% 13.2% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.1% 6.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

FC Porto FC Porto
D Sporting CP 0–0
L Sporting CP 1–0
W Benfica 1–0
W Famalicao 4–1
W Sintrense 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
Paredes Paredes
W Famalicao 1–0
W Maria da Fonte 5–1
W Ermesinde 1–3
L Chaves 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

FC Porto FC Porto
Attack
48
Defence
63
Form
59
Paredes Paredes
Attack
61
Defence
76
Form
72
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Porto vs Paredes?
The model gives FC Porto a 31% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 38% for an Paredes win.
How many goals are expected in FC Porto vs Paredes?
Expected goals: FC Porto 0.9, Paredes 1.2 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 69%.
What is the most likely score in FC Porto vs Paredes?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.54%.