57'
(ast. Sven Mijnans)
Guus Til
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Porto a 52% win probability (draw 24%, PSV Eindhoven 23%). The final result was FC Porto 0–1 PSV Eindhoven.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
18
4
Shots on target
3
1.45
Actual xG
1.69
2
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
2
Corners
3
7
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
39'
Lutsharel Geertruida
57'
ast. Sven Mijnans ·
Guus Til⚽
Samuel Aghehowa
/ André Silva
58'
Oskar Pietuszewski
/ Borja Sainz
58'
Gabri Veiga
/ Hwang In-Beom
58'
Zaidu Sanusi
/ João Victor de Souza Menezes
69'
74'
Armando Obispo
/
Yarek Gasiorowski
75'
Mauro Júnior
Victor Froholdt
/ Seko Fofana
76'
81'
Noah Fernandez
/
Mauro Júnior
81'
Dennis Man
/
Esmir Bajraktarević
88'
Amir Bouhamdi
/
Ivan Perišić
88'
Ryan Flamingo
/
Filip Kostić
Pre-match prediction
52.59%
FC
24.17%
X
23.24%
PSV ←
we assigned to the actual result (PSV Eindhoven)
23.24%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.61
1.45
-0.16
0.97
1.69
+0.72
xG dominance was balanced (1.45 – 1.69).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
99
Diogo Costa
G
Diogo Costa
G
12
Z. Sanusi
69'
D
Z. Sanusi
69'
D
4
J. Kiwior
D
J. Kiwior
D
5
J. Bednarek
D
J. Bednarek
D
20
Alberto Baio
D
Alberto Baio
D
10
Gabri Veiga
58'
M
Gabri Veiga
58'
M
13
P. Rosario
M
P. Rosario
M
8
Victor Mow Froholdt
76'
M
Victor Mow Froholdt
76'
M
77
O. Pietuszewski
58'
F
O. Pietuszewski
58'
F
9
Samu
58'
F
Samu
58'
F
11
Pepê Aquino
F
Pepê Aquino
F
Bench
24
Andorinha
G
Andorinha
G
19
André Silva
32'
F
André Silva
32'
F
22
A. Varela
M
A. Varela
M
17
Borja Sainz
32'
F
Borja Sainz
32'
F
14
Cláudio Ramos
G
Cláudio Ramos
G
74
Francisco Moura
D
Francisco Moura
D
16
Hwang In-Beom
32'
M
Hwang In-Beom
32'
M
52
Martim Fernandes
D
Martim Fernandes
D
18
N. Pérez
D
N. Pérez
D
42
S. Fofana
14'
M
S. Fofana
14'
M
29
S. Giménez
F
S. Giménez
F
33
Souza
21'
D
Souza
21'
D
32
M. Kovář
G
M. Kovář
G
18
F. Kostić
88'
D
F. Kostić
88'
D
3
Yarek Gasiorowski
74'
D
Yarek Gasiorowski
74'
D
2
L. Geertruida
D
L. Geertruida
D
8
S. Dest
D
S. Dest
D
17
Mauro Júnior
81'
M
Mauro Júnior
81'
M
24
K. Sano
M
K. Sano
M
5
I. Perišić
88'
M
I. Perišić
88'
M
21
S. Mijnans
1 👟
M
S. Mijnans
1 👟
M
19
E. Bajraktarevic
81'
M
E. Bajraktarevic
81'
M
20
G. Til
1 ⚽
F
G. Til
1 ⚽
F
Bench
37
A. Bouhamdi
2'
F
A. Bouhamdi
2'
F
4
A. Obispo
16'
D
A. Obispo
16'
D
35
A. Santos
M
A. Santos
M
27
D. Man
9'
F
D. Man
9'
F
23
M. Hansen
F
M. Hansen
F
31
N. Fernandez
9'
M
N. Fernandez
9'
M
1
N. Olij
G
N. Olij
G
6
R. Flamingo
2'
D
R. Flamingo
2'
D
42
S. Cornecion
M
S. Cornecion
M
51
T. Smolenaars
G
T. Smolenaars
G
Best on the pitch
G. Til
F · PSV
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 27 pass
S. Dest
D · PSV
7.81
2 shots
· 58 pass
S. Mijnans
M · PSV
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 45 pass
Yarek Gasiorowski
D · PSV
7.61
· 66 pass
E. Bajraktarevic
M · PSV
7.20
4 shots
· 35 pass
L. Geertruida
D · PSV
7.19
· 93 pass
FC Porto — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Costa | G | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 38% | 0 | — | — |
| Z. Sanusi | D | 69 | 6.76 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Kiwior | D | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 56% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Bednarek | D | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 44% | 0 | — | — |
| Alberto Baio | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabri Veiga | M | 58 | 6.41 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Rosario | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Mow Froholdt | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Pietuszewski | F | 58 | 6.14 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Samu | F | 58 | 6.56 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Pepê Aquino | F | 90 | 6.10 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| André Silva | F | 32 | 6.67 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Borja Sainz | F | 32 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Hwang In-Beom | M | 32 | 6.04 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Fofana | M | 14 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Souza | D | 21 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kovář | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Kostić | D | 88 | 6.83 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 44% | 0 | — | — |
| Yarek Gasiorowski | D | 74 | 7.61 | — | — | 0 | 66 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Geertruida | D | 90 | 7.19 | — | — | 0 | 93 | 86% | 0 | 1 | — |
| S. Dest | D | 90 | 7.81 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| Mauro Júnior | M | 81 | 6.40 | — | — | 2 | 67 | 56% | 0 | 1 | — |
| K. Sano | M | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 54 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Perišić | M | 88 | 6.92 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mijnans | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 45 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Bajraktarevic | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 35 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Til | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 27 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Bouhamdi | F | 2 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Obispo | D | 16 | 7.09 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Man | F | 9 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Fernandez | M | 9 | 6.88 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Flamingo | D | 2 | 7.03 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?
The final score was FC Porto 0–1 PSV Eindhoven.
What did the model predict before FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?
The model assigned 52% probability to a FC Porto win, 24% to a draw, and 23% to an PSV Eindhoven win.