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FC Porto - Santa Clara

Primeira Liga May 16, 2026 16:30
FC Porto
#1 · 85 pts
vs
Santa Clara
#12 · 36 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 17.4°C 💨 20 km/h · Porto
⚡ Pre-match analysis
65.35%
Win
FC Porto
21.02%
Draw
13.63%
Win
Santa Clara
1.81
Expected xG
0.68
Model prediction
FC Porto
65.35%
Probability
55.9%
1X2 accuracy · 34 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Porto a 65% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Santa Clara. Expected goals are 1.8 for FC Porto and 0.7 for Santa Clara (total 2.5), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.0% probability. In 1 previous meetings, FC Porto have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Santa Clara.

Score Matrix
↕ FC Porto Santa Clara →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3% 5.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 15.0% 10.2% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% —
2 13.5% 9.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% —
3 8.2% 5.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 3.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% — —
5 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% — —
Recent form
FC Porto FC Porto
L AVS 3–1
W Alverca 1–0
W Estrela 1–2
W Tondela 2–0
W Estoril 1–3
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 48%
Santa Clara Santa Clara
W Nacional 2–0
D Arouca 2–2
W SC Braga 2–1
D Casa Pia 0–0
L Rio Ave 0–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 26%
Playing profile
FC Porto FC Porto
Attack
51
Defence
70
Form
68
Santa Clara Santa Clara
Attack
31
Defence
73
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
FC Porto
0
Draw
0
Santa Clara
W 4 Jan 2026 Primeira Liga 1–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Porto vs Santa Clara?
The model gives FC Porto a 65% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 13% for an Santa Clara win.
How many goals are expected in FC Porto vs Santa Clara?
Expected goals: FC Porto 1.8, Santa Clara 0.7 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in FC Porto vs Santa Clara?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.0%.