✓Model correct — prediction FC Porto
S. Lima
69'
(og)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Porto a 66% win probability (draw 20%, Santa Clara 13%). The final result was FC Porto 1–0 Santa Clara. In 1 previous meetings, FC Porto have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Santa Clara.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
0
0.85
Actual xG
0.45
0
Saves
6
54%
Possession
46%
8
Corners
5
16
Tackles
20
Match Events
9'
Andrey
/
J. Tavares
B. Sainz
/ O. Pietuszewski
56'
D. Gul
/ G. Veiga
56'
62'
Elias Manoel
/
Fernando
63'
Vinicius Lopes
/
Welinton Torrao
⚽S. Lima
(og)
69'
D. Costa
/ J. Costa
72'
F. Moura
/ N. Perez
81'
V. Froholdt
/ B. Lima
82'
86'
Isaac
/
Gustavo Klismahn
86'
Lucas Soares
/
Paulo Victor
Pre-match prediction
66.05%
FC ←
20.47%
X
13.47%
Santa
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FC Porto)
66.05%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.81
0.85
-0.96
0.68
0.45
-0.23
FC Porto dominated by xG (0.85 vs 0.45).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
99
Diogo Costa
72'
G
Diogo Costa
72'
G
74
Francisco Moura
81'
D
Francisco Moura
81'
D
4
J. Kiwior
D
J. Kiwior
D
5
J. Bednarek
D
J. Bednarek
D
20
Alberto Baio
D
Alberto Baio
D
86
Rodrigo Mora
M
Rodrigo Mora
M
22
A. Varela
M
A. Varela
M
8
Victor Mow Froholdt
82'
M
Victor Mow Froholdt
82'
M
17
Borja Sainz
56'
F
Borja Sainz
56'
F
27
D. Gül
56'
F
D. Gül
56'
F
7
William
F
William
F
Bench
24
Andorinha
18'
G
Andorinha
18'
G
66
Bernardo Lima
8'
M
10
Gabri Veiga
34'
M
Gabri Veiga
34'
M
18
N. Pérez
9'
D
N. Pérez
9'
D
77
Oskar Pietuszewski
34'
F
11
Pepê Aquino
F
Pepê Aquino
F
13
P. Rosario
M
P. Rosario
M
42
S. Fofana
M
S. Fofana
M
29
T. Moffi
F
T. Moffi
F
50
J. Afonso
G
J. Afonso
G
64
Paulo Victor
86'
D
Paulo Victor
86'
D
4
Pedro Pacheco
D
Pedro Pacheco
D
23
Sidney Lima
1 ⚽
D
Sidney Lima
1 ⚽
D
2
Diogo Calila
D
Diogo Calila
D
35
Serginho
M
65
José Luís Rocha Tavares
9'
M
José Luís Rocha Tavares
9'
M
10
Gabriel Silva
M
Gabriel Silva
M
77
Gustavo Klismahn
86'
M
49
Welinton Torrão
63'
M
Welinton Torrão
63'
M
26
Luis Fernando
62'
F
Luis Fernando
62'
F
Bench
78
Andrey
81'
M
37
Darlan
M
Darlan
M
7
Elias Manoel
28'
F
Elias Manoel
28'
F
21
Frederico Venâncio
D
Frederico Venâncio
D
1
Gabriel Batista
G
Gabriel Batista
G
94
Henrique Silva
D
Henrique Silva
D
52
Isaac
10'
M
42
Lucas Soares
10'
D
Lucas Soares
10'
D
70
Vinícius Lopes
27'
F
Vinícius Lopes
27'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Bednarek
D · FC
7.70
· 74 pass
J. Kiwior
D · FC
7.60
2 shots
· 72 pass
Serginho
M · Santa
7.30
1 shots
· 43 pass
J. Afonso
G · Santa
7.30
· 23 pass
Rodrigo Mora
M · FC
7.20
2 shots
· 29 pass
William
F · FC
7.20
2 shots
· 27 pass
FC Porto — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Costa | G | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Moura | D | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Kiwior | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 72 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bednarek | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 74 | 63% | — | — | — |
| Alberto Baio | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mora | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| A. Varela | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Mow Froholdt | M | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Borja Sainz | F | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Gül | F | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 3% | — | — | — |
| William | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Andorinha | G | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Lima | M | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Gabri Veiga | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Pérez | D | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Oskar Pietuszewski | F | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
Santa Clara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Afonso | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Victor | D | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Pedro Pacheco | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Sidney Lima | D | 90 | 6.50 | 1 | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Diogo Calila | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Serginho | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| José Luís Rocha Tavares | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Silva | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Gustavo Klismahn | M | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Welinton Torrão | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Fernando | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Andrey | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Elias Manoel | F | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Isaac | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Soares | D | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Vinícius Lopes | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Porto vs Santa Clara?
The final score was FC Porto 1–0 Santa Clara.
What did the model predict before FC Porto vs Santa Clara?
The model assigned 66% probability to a FC Porto win, 20% to a draw, and 13% to an Santa Clara win.