Europa League · Round of 16 March 19, 2026 21:00

FC Porto

#5 · 17 pts

2 – 0

Final score

VfB Stuttgart

#11 · 15 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Porto a 52% win probability (draw 21%, VfB Stuttgart 25%). The final result was FC Porto 2–0 VfB Stuttgart. In 1 previous meetings, FC Porto have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for VfB Stuttgart.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

6

1.52

Actual xG

1.55

36%

Possession

64%

4

Corners

11

Pre-match prediction

52.76%

FC ←

21.7%

X

25.54%

VfB

we assigned to the actual result (FC Porto) 52.76% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FC

2.56

1.52

-1.04

VfB

1.89

1.55

-0.34

xG dominance was balanced (1.52 – 1.55). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lyon	8	21
2	Aston Villa	8	21
3	FC Midtjylland	8	19
4	Real Betis	8	17
5	FC Porto	8	17
6	SC Braga	8	17
7	SC Freiburg	8	17
8	AS Roma	8	16
9	Genk	8	16
10	Bologna	8	15
11	VfB Stuttgart	8	15
12	Ferencvarosi TC	8	15
13	Nottingham Forest	8	14
14	Plzen	8	14
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	8	14
16	Celta Vigo	8	13
17	PAOK	8	12
18	Lille	8	12
19	Fenerbahçe	8	12
20	Panathinaikos	8	12
21	Celtic	8	11
22	Ludogorets	8	10
23	Dinamo Zagreb	8	10
24	Brann	8	9
25	BSC Young Boys	8	9
26	Sturm Graz	8	7
27	FCSB	8	7
28	GO Ahead Eagles	8	7
29	Feyenoord	8	6
30	FC Basel 1893	8	6
31	Red Bull Salzburg	8	6
32	Rangers	8	4
33	Nice	8	3
34	Utrecht	8	1
35	Malmo FF	8	1
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv	8	1