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FC Rostov - CSKA Moscow

Cup September 01, 2026 19:45
FC Rostov
vs
CSKA Moscow
⚡ Pre-match analysis
57.38%
Win
FC Rostov
24.54%
Draw
18.08%
Win
CSKA Moscow
2.22
Expected xG
0.66
Most likely outcome
FC Rostov
57.38%
Probability
0.0%
1X2 accuracy · 1 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–0 (11.96%)
1X2 Result
1 57%
X 25%
2 18%
Double Chance
1X 82%
X2 43%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 70%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Rostov a 57% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 18% for CSKA Moscow. Expected goals are 2.2 for FC Rostov and 0.7 for CSKA Moscow (total 2.9), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 11.96% probability. In 4 previous meetings, FC Rostov have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for CSKA Moscow.

Season Stats

FC Rostov
4W 1D 4L
CSKA Moscow
6W 4D 3L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.5
1.3
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
89%
O 1.5
77%
56%
O 2.5
46%
56%
BTTS
62%
11%
Clean Sht
15%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
38%
O 3.5
44%
BTTS
FC Rostov
1W 0D 3L · at home
CSKA Moscow
2W 3D 3L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.1
2.0
Conceded
1.2
25%
Win %
25%
25%
Win or Draw
63%
100%
O 1.5
63%
50%
O 2.5
25%
50%
O 3.5
25%
50%
BTTS
38%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
50%
Failed to Score
50%
last 8
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FC Rostov CSKA Moscow →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% — —
1 12.5% 8.3% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% —
2 13.8% 9.1% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% —
3 10.2% 6.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 5.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% — —
5 2.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% — —

Recent form

FC Rostov FC Rostov
W Akron 0–4
L Dinamo Makhachkala 0–2
W FK Neftekhimik 1–3
W Nizhny Novgorod 4–1
D Dinamo Makhachkala 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
D Lokomotiv 1–1
L Spartak Moscow 1–0
W Krylia Sovetov 2–5
L FC Krasnodar 4–0
W FC Krasnodar 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 14%

Playing profile

FC Rostov FC Rostov
Attack
52
Defence
68
Form
58
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
Attack
24
Defence
61
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
FC Rostov
2
Draw
1
CSKA Moscow
8 Aug 2026 Premier League 0–0
21 Apr 2026 Premier League 1–1
18 Feb 2026 Friendlies Clubs 1–3
14 Sep 2025 Premier League 1–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Rostov vs CSKA Moscow?
The model gives FC Rostov a 57% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 18% for an CSKA Moscow win.
How many goals are expected in FC Rostov vs CSKA Moscow?
Expected goals: FC Rostov 2.2, CSKA Moscow 0.7 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in FC Rostov vs CSKA Moscow?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.96%.