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FC Rostov - Lokomotiv

Cup August 18, 2026 19:45
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.08%
Win
FC Rostov
30.99%
Draw
36.93%
Win
Lokomotiv
1.29
Expected xG
1.59

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (14.51%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 31%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 63%
X2 68%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 66%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lokomotiv a 36% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 32% for FC Rostov. Expected goals are 1.3 for FC Rostov and 1.6 for Lokomotiv (total 2.9), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 14.51% probability. In 3 previous meetings, FC Rostov have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Lokomotiv.

Season Stats

FC Rostov
3W 1D 4L
Lokomotiv
5W 2D 3L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.7
1.5
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
88%
O 1.5
90%
50%
O 2.5
70%
63%
BTTS
70%
0%
Clean Sht
30%
Based on the last 10 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
FC Rostov
1W 0D 3L · at home
Lokomotiv
3W 1D 2L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.8
2.0
Conceded
1.7
25%
Win %
50%
25%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 6
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FC Rostov Lokomotiv →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6% 8.9% 7.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
1 7.2% 11.5% 9.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.7% 7.4% 5.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.0% 3.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

L Dinamo Makhachkala 0–2
W FK Neftekhimik 1–3
W Nizhny Novgorod 4–1
D Dinamo Makhachkala 1–1
W Spartak Moscow 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
D Krylia Sovetov 2–2
W Arsenal Tula 1–2
L Spartak Moscow 2–3
L Spartak Moscow 3–1
W Baltika 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

FC Rostov FC Rostov
Attack
39
Defence
58
Form
52
Lokomotiv Lokomotiv
Attack
43
Defence
83
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv?
The model gives FC Rostov a 32% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 36% for an Lokomotiv win.
How many goals are expected in FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv?
Expected goals: FC Rostov 1.3, Lokomotiv 1.6 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.51%.