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FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt - FSV Mainz 05 II

Friendlies Clubs July 11, 2026 14:00
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
vs
FSV Mainz 05 II
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.7%
Win
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
29.57%
Draw
31.73%
Win
FSV Mainz 05 II
2.51
Expected xG
1.87
Most likely result 2–1 (7.4%)
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
81%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt a 38% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 31% for FSV Mainz 05 II. Expected goals are 2.5 for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt and 1.9 for FSV Mainz 05 II (total 4.4), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 7.4% probability.

Season Stats

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
3W 0D 1L
FSV Mainz 05 II
3W 2D 1L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
2.5
2.0
Conceded
0.8
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
75%
O 2.5
50%
75%
BTTS
50%
25%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 1.5
50%
O 2.5
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
1W 0D 1L · at home
FSV Mainz 05 II
0W 0D 1L · away
3.0
gls/g
0.0
3.0
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
0%
50%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
0%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
100%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt FSV Mainz 05 II →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.2% 2.3% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.1% 5.9% 5.5% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
2 3.9% 7.4% 6.9% 4.3% 2.0% 0.8%
3 3.3% 6.2% 5.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.1% 3.9% 3.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
5 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Recent form

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
W FC Schweinfurt 05 5–3
W Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 0–2
L Hessen Kassel 1–3
W Heiligenstadt 2–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 15%
FSV Mainz 05 II FSV Mainz 05 II
D FC Astoria Walldorf 1–1
W Darmstadt 98 II 6–0
L Kickers Offenbach 1–0
D TuS Koblenz 0–0
W FC Emmelshausen-Karbach 5–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
Attack
69
Defence
50
Form
63
FSV Mainz 05 II FSV Mainz 05 II
Attack
49
Defence
80
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
The model gives FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt a 38% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 31% for an FSV Mainz 05 II win.
How many goals are expected in FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
Expected goals: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2.5, FSV Mainz 05 II 1.9 (total 4.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.4%.