2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 20:30

FC Schalke 04

1 – 0

Final score

Fortuna Düsseldorf

✓Model correct — prediction FC Schalke 04

K. Karaman 15'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Schalke 04 a 76% win probability (draw 12%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 10%). The final result was FC Schalke 04 1–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf. In 1 previous meetings, FC Schalke 04 have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

4

6

Shots on target

2

1.36

Actual xG

0.57

2

Saves

5

40%

Possession

60%

4

Corners

1

15

Tackles

11

2

🟨 Yellow cards

3

Match Events

⚽K. Karaman

15'

22'

T. Breithaupt

M. Sylla

51'

64'

M. Heyer / T. Breithaupt ↕

64'

L. Raimund / C. Lenz ↕

A. Aouchiche

67'

↕ D. Ljubicic / E. Dzeko

69'

71'

V. Lunddal / M. Zimmermann ↕

81'

K. Sauck / S. Appelkamp ↕

81'

J. Paulina / M. Ljubicic ↕

↕ H. Kurucay / F. Sanchez

81'

↕ M. Sylla / A. Gantenbein

82'

90'+2

K. Sauck

90'+3

C. Lenz

↕ A. Aouchiche / J. Bachmann

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

76.17%

FC ←

12.99%

X

10.84%

Fortuna

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Schalke 04) 76.17% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FC

3.07

1.36

-1.71

Fortuna

0.99

0.57

-0.42

FC Schalke 04 dominated by xG (1.36 vs 0.57). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	10	28
2	1. FC Nürnberg	10	21
3	VfL Wolfsburg	10	19
4	1. FC Kaiserslautern	10	18
5	1. FC Magdeburg	10	17
6	1. FC Heidenheim	10	15
7	Arminia Bielefeld	10	14
8	FC St. Pauli	10	12
9	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	11	12
10	Energie Cottbus	11	11
11	Eintracht Braunschweig	11	11
12	VfL Osnabrück	10	11
13	VfL Bochum	10	11
14	Dynamo Dresden	11	11
15	Hannover 96	10	11
16	Karlsruher SC	10	11
17	SV Darmstadt 98	10	9
18	Holstein Kiel	10	8

Lineups

FC Schalke 04 4-3-3

1

G 7.20

16 M. N'Diaye D 7.50

4 H. Kuruçay 81' D 7.20

43 M. Ayhan D 6.90

5 T. Becker D 7.20

24 A. Aouchiche 89' M 6.90

6 R. Schallenberg M 6.70

23 S. El-Faouzi M 6.90

19 K. Karaman 1 ⚽ F 7.70

9 M. Sylla 82' F 6.90

21 D. Ljubičić 69' F 7.50

Bench

7 Christian Gomis F

10 E. Džeko 21' F 6.30

Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-2-3-1

33

G 8.30

3 Christopher Lenz 64' D 6.20

44 Elias Egouli D 6.50

15

D 6.90

25 Matthias Zimmermann 71' D 6.70

6 Tim Breithaupt 64' M 6.50

14 Sotiris Alexandropoulos M 6.90

20 M. Ljubičić 81' M 6.30

23 S. Appelkamp 81' M 6.70

19 E. Iyoha M 6.30

13 C. Itten F 6.30

Bench

2 J. Daland D

27 J. Paulina 9' F 6.30

29

K. Sauck 9' M 6.30

7 L. Raimund 26' F 6.60

5 Moritz Heyer 26' D 6.70

12 V. Lunddal Friðriksson 19' D 6.90

Best on the pitch

G · Fortuna

8.30

· 61 pass

K. Karaman

F · FC

7.70

1 ⚽

4 shots · 33 pass

M. N'Diaye

D · FC

7.50

· 33 pass

D. Ljubičić

F · FC

7.50

1 shots · 14 pass

G · FC

7.20

· 32 pass

H. Kuruçay

D · FC

7.20

· 28 pass

FC Schalke 04 — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	32	15%	—	—	—
M. N'Diaye	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	33	23%	3	—	—
H. Kuruçay	D	81	7.20	—	—	—	28	23%	4	—	—
M. Ayhan	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	32	23%	—	—	—
T. Becker	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	16	9%	2	—	—
A. Aouchiche	M	89	6.90	—	—	3	32	23%	1	1	—
R. Schallenberg	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	33	21%	—	—	—
S. El-Faouzi	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	27	15%	2	—	—
K. Karaman	F	90	7.70	1	—	4	33	16%	—	—	—
M. Sylla	F	82	6.90	—	—	1	16	13%	1	1	—
D. Ljubičić	F	69	7.50	—	—	1	14	9%	2	—	—
E. Džeko	F	21	6.30	—	—	—	10	7%	—	—	—

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	8.30	—	—	—	61	44%	—	—	—
Christopher Lenz	D	64	6.20	—	—	—	43	29%	1	1	—
Elias Egouli	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	56	52%	2	—	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	73	59%	2	—	—
Matthias Zimmermann	D	71	6.70	—	—	—	31	22%	1	—	—
Tim Breithaupt	M	64	6.50	—	—	—	29	27%	—	1	—
Sotiris Alexandropoulos	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	52	43%	1	—	—
M. Ljubičić	M	81	6.30	—	—	—	28	19%	1	—	—
S. Appelkamp	M	81	6.70	—	—	1	34	28%	—	—	—
E. Iyoha	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	45	35%	1	—	—
C. Itten	F	90	6.30	—	—	1	11	5%	—	—	—
J. Paulina	F	9	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
K. Sauck	M	9	6.30	—	—	1	1	1%	—	1	—
L. Raimund	F	26	6.60	—	—	1	8	6%	1	—	—
Moritz Heyer	D	26	6.70	—	—	—	8	5%	—	—	—
V. Lunddal Friðriksson	D	19	6.90	—	—	—	13	10%	1	—	—