2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 20:30

FC Schalke 04

1 – 0

Final score

Fortuna Düsseldorf

✓Model correct — prediction FC Schalke 04

K. Karaman 15'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Schalke 04 a 76% win probability (draw 12%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 10%). The final result was FC Schalke 04 1–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf. In 1 previous meetings, FC Schalke 04 have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

4

6

Shots on target

2

1.36

Actual xG

0.57

2

Saves

5

40%

Possession

60%

4

Corners

1

15

Tackles

11

2

🟨 Yellow cards

3

Match Events

⚽K. Karaman

15'

22'

T. Breithaupt

M. Sylla

51'

64'

M. Heyer / T. Breithaupt ↕

64'

L. Raimund / C. Lenz ↕

A. Aouchiche

67'

↕ D. Ljubicic / E. Dzeko

69'

71'

V. Lunddal / M. Zimmermann ↕

81'

K. Sauck / S. Appelkamp ↕

81'

J. Paulina / M. Ljubicic ↕

↕ H. Kurucay / F. Sanchez

81'

↕ M. Sylla / A. Gantenbein

82'

90'+2

K. Sauck

90'+3

C. Lenz

↕ A. Aouchiche / J. Bachmann

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

76.17%

FC ←

12.99%

X

10.84%

Fortuna

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Schalke 04) 76.17% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FC

3.07

1.36

-1.71

Fortuna

0.99

0.57

-0.42

FC Schalke 04 dominated by xG (1.36 vs 0.57). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	1. FC Nürnberg	5	13
2	Hertha BSC	4	12
3	1. FC Magdeburg	5	9
4	1. FC Heidenheim	4	9
5	VfL Wolfsburg	4	8
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	5	8
7	VfL Bochum	5	7
8	VfL Osnabrück	4	6
9	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	5	5
10	Karlsruher SC	4	5
11	Eintracht Braunschweig	5	4
12	Energie Cottbus	4	4
13	Arminia Bielefeld	5	4
14	Hannover 96	5	4
15	SV Darmstadt 98	5	4
16	Dynamo Dresden	5	4
17	FC St. Pauli	4	3
18	Holstein Kiel	4	3

Lineups

FC Schalke 04 4-3-3

1

G 7.20

16 M. N'Diaye D 7.50

4 H. Kuruçay 81' D 7.20

43 M. Ayhan D 6.90

5 T. Becker D 7.20

24 A. Aouchiche 89' M 6.90

6 R. Schallenberg M 6.70

23 S. El-Faouzi M 6.90

19 K. Karaman 1 ⚽ F 7.70

9 M. Sylla 82' F 6.90

21 D. Ljubičić 69' F 7.50

Bench

7 Christian Gomis F

10 E. Džeko 21' F 6.30

Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-2-3-1

33

G 8.30

3 Christopher Lenz 64' D 6.20

44 Elias Egouli D 6.50

15

D 6.90

25 Matthias Zimmermann 71' D 6.70

6 Tim Breithaupt 64' M 6.50

14 Sotiris Alexandropoulos M 6.90

20 M. Ljubičić 81' M 6.30

23 S. Appelkamp 81' M 6.70

19 E. Iyoha M 6.30

13 C. Itten F 6.30

Bench

2 J. Daland D

27 Jordi Paulina 9' F 6.30

29

K. Sauck 9' M 6.30

7 L. Raimund 26' F 6.60

5 Moritz Heyer 26' D 6.70

12 Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson 19' D 6.90

Best on the pitch

G · Fortuna

8.30

· 61 pass

K. Karaman

F · FC

7.70

1 ⚽

4 shots · 33 pass

M. N'Diaye

D · FC

7.50

· 33 pass

D. Ljubičić

F · FC

7.50

1 shots · 14 pass

G · FC

7.20

· 32 pass

H. Kuruçay

D · FC

7.20

· 28 pass

FC Schalke 04 — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	32	15%	—	—	—
M. N'Diaye	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	33	23%	3	—	—
H. Kuruçay	D	81	7.20	—	—	—	28	23%	4	—	—
M. Ayhan	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	32	23%	—	—	—
T. Becker	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	16	9%	2	—	—
A. Aouchiche	M	89	6.90	—	—	3	32	23%	1	1	—
R. Schallenberg	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	33	21%	—	—	—
S. El-Faouzi	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	27	15%	2	—	—
K. Karaman	F	90	7.70	1	—	4	33	16%	—	—	—
M. Sylla	F	82	6.90	—	—	1	16	13%	1	1	—
D. Ljubičić	F	69	7.50	—	—	1	14	9%	2	—	—
E. Džeko	F	21	6.30	—	—	—	10	7%	—	—	—

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	8.30	—	—	—	61	44%	—	—	—
Christopher Lenz	D	64	6.20	—	—	—	43	29%	1	1	—
Elias Egouli	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	56	52%	2	—	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	73	59%	2	—	—
Matthias Zimmermann	D	71	6.70	—	—	—	31	22%	1	—	—
Tim Breithaupt	M	64	6.50	—	—	—	29	27%	—	1	—
Sotiris Alexandropoulos	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	52	43%	1	—	—
M. Ljubičić	M	81	6.30	—	—	—	28	19%	1	—	—
S. Appelkamp	M	81	6.70	—	—	1	34	28%	—	—	—
E. Iyoha	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	45	35%	1	—	—
C. Itten	F	90	6.30	—	—	1	11	5%	—	—	—
Jordi Paulina	F	9	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
K. Sauck	M	9	6.30	—	—	1	1	1%	—	1	—
L. Raimund	F	26	6.60	—	—	1	8	6%	1	—	—
Moritz Heyer	D	26	6.70	—	—	—	8	5%	—	—	—
Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson	D	19	6.90	—	—	—	13	10%	1	—	—