2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 20:30

FC Schalke 04

#1 · 70 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Fortuna Düsseldorf

#17 · 37 pts

✓Model correct — prediction FC Schalke 04

K. Karaman 15'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Schalke 04 a 76% win probability (draw 12%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 10%). The final result was FC Schalke 04 1–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf. In 1 previous meetings, FC Schalke 04 have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

4

6

Shots on target

2

1.36

Actual xG

0.57

2

Saves

5

40%

Possession

60%

4

Corners

1

15

Tackles

11

2

🟨 Yellow cards

3

Match Events

⚽K. Karaman

15'

22'

T. Breithaupt

M. Sylla

51'

64'

M. Heyer / T. Breithaupt ↕

64'

L. Raimund / C. Lenz ↕

A. Aouchiche

67'

↕ D. Ljubicic / E. Dzeko

69'

71'

V. Lunddal / M. Zimmermann ↕

81'

K. Sauck / S. Appelkamp ↕

81'

J. Paulina / M. Ljubicic ↕

↕ H. Kurucay / F. Sanchez

81'

↕ M. Sylla / A. Gantenbein

82'

90'+2

K. Sauck

90'+3

C. Lenz

↕ A. Aouchiche / J. Bachmann

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

76.17%

FC ←

12.99%

X

10.84%

Fortuna

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Schalke 04) 76.17% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FC

3.07

1.36

-1.71

Fortuna

0.99

0.57

-0.42

FC Schalke 04 dominated by xG (1.36 vs 0.57). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	34	70
2	SV Elversberg	34	62
3	SC Paderborn 07	34	62
4	Hannover 96	34	60
5	SV Darmstadt 98	34	52
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	34	52
7	Hertha BSC	34	51
8	1. FC Nürnberg	34	46
9	VfL Bochum	34	44
10	Karlsruher SC	34	44
11	Dynamo Dresden	34	41
12	Holstein Kiel	34	41
13	Arminia Bielefeld	34	39
14	1. FC Magdeburg	34	39
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	34	37
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	34	37
17	Fortuna Düsseldorf	34	37
18	Preußen Münster	34	30

Lineups

FC Schalke 04 4-3-3

1

G 7.20

16 Moussa Ndiaye D 7.50

4 Hasan Kuruçay 81' D 7.20

43 Mertcan Ayhan D 6.90

5 Timo Becker D 7.20

24 Adil Aouchiche 89' M 6.90

6 Ron Schallenberg M 6.70

23 Soufiane El-Faouzi M 6.90

19 K. Karaman 1 ⚽ F 7.70

9 Moussa Sylla 82' F 6.90

21 Dejan Ljubičić 69' F 7.50

Bench

7 Christian Gomis F

10 Edin Džeko 21' F 6.30

Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-2-3-1

33

G 8.30

3 Christopher Lenz 64' D 6.20

44 Elias Egouli D 6.50

15

D 6.90

25 Matthias Zimmermann 71' D 6.70

6 Tim Breithaupt 64' M 6.50

14 Sotiris Alexandropoulos M 6.90

20 Marin Ljubičić 81' M 6.30

23 S. Appelkamp 81' M 6.70

19 Emmanuel Iyoha M 6.30

13 C. Itten F 6.30

Bench

2 J. Daland D

27 Jordi Paulina 9' F 6.30

29

K. Sauck 9' M 6.30

7 Luca Raimund 26' F 6.60

5 Moritz Heyer 26' D 6.70

12 Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson 19' D 6.90

Best on the pitch

G · Fortuna

8.30

· 61 pass

K. Karaman

F · FC

7.70

1 ⚽

4 shots · 33 pass

Moussa Ndiaye

D · FC

7.50

· 33 pass

Dejan Ljubičić

F · FC

7.50

1 shots · 14 pass

G · FC

7.20

· 32 pass

Hasan Kuruçay

D · FC

7.20

· 28 pass

FC Schalke 04 — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	32	15%	—	—	—
Moussa Ndiaye	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	33	23%	3	—	—
Hasan Kuruçay	D	81	7.20	—	—	—	28	23%	4	—	—
Mertcan Ayhan	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	32	23%	—	—	—
Timo Becker	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	16	9%	2	—	—
Adil Aouchiche	M	89	6.90	—	—	3	32	23%	1	1	—
Ron Schallenberg	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	33	21%	—	—	—
Soufiane El-Faouzi	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	27	15%	2	—	—
K. Karaman	F	90	7.70	1	—	4	33	16%	—	—	—
Moussa Sylla	F	82	6.90	—	—	1	16	13%	1	1	—
Dejan Ljubičić	F	69	7.50	—	—	1	14	9%	2	—	—
Edin Džeko	F	21	6.30	—	—	—	10	7%	—	—	—

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	8.30	—	—	—	61	44%	—	—	—
Christopher Lenz	D	64	6.20	—	—	—	43	29%	1	1	—
Elias Egouli	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	56	52%	2	—	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	73	59%	2	—	—
Matthias Zimmermann	D	71	6.70	—	—	—	31	22%	1	—	—
Tim Breithaupt	M	64	6.50	—	—	—	29	27%	—	1	—
Sotiris Alexandropoulos	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	52	43%	1	—	—
Marin Ljubičić	M	81	6.30	—	—	—	28	19%	1	—	—
S. Appelkamp	M	81	6.70	—	—	1	34	28%	—	—	—
Emmanuel Iyoha	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	45	35%	1	—	—
C. Itten	F	90	6.30	—	—	1	11	5%	—	—	—
Jordi Paulina	F	9	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
K. Sauck	M	9	6.30	—	—	1	1	1%	—	1	—
Luca Raimund	F	26	6.60	—	—	1	8	6%	1	—	—
Moritz Heyer	D	26	6.70	—	—	—	8	5%	—	—	—
Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson	D	19	6.90	—	—	—	13	10%	1	—	—