24'
(ast. Anthony Caci)
Phillip Tietz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Schalke 04 a 36% win probability (draw 29%, FSV Mainz 05 34%). The final result was FC Schalke 04 0–1 FSV Mainz 05.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
6
0.33
Actual xG
1.53
5
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
4
Corners
1
18
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
24'
ast. Anthony Caci ·
Phillip Tietz⚽
42'
Nadiem Amiri
45'
Kaishu Sano
Edin Džeko
/ Hwang Hee-Chan
60'
Adrian Tobias Gantenbein
/ Junior Dina Ebimbe
60'
Nikola Katić
/ Maximilian Wöber
71'
Adil Aouchiche
/ Junior Chukwubuike Adamu
71'
76'
Paul Nebel
/
Lee Jae-Sung
76'
Ransford Konigsdorffer
/
Sheraldo Becker
Robin Gosens
/ Vitalie Becker
79'
86'
Eric Martel
/
Nadiem Amiri
90'+1
Lennard Maloney
/
Phillip Tietz
90'+1
Silvan Widmer
/
Anthony Caci
Pre-match prediction
36.23%
FC
29.69%
X
34.07%
FSV ←
we assigned to the actual result (FSV Mainz 05)
34.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.64
0.33
-1.31
1.34
1.53
+0.19
FSV Mainz 05 dominated by xG (1.53 vs 0.33).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
L. Karius
G
L. Karius
G
4
H. Kuruçay
D
H. Kuruçay
D
25
N. Katić
71'
D
N. Katić
71'
D
5
T. Becker
D
T. Becker
D
8
R. Gosens
79'
M
R. Gosens
79'
M
13
S. Tanaka
M
S. Tanaka
M
23
S. El-Faouzi
M
S. El-Faouzi
M
17
A. Gantenbein
60'
M
A. Gantenbein
60'
M
24
A. Aouchiche
71'
M
A. Aouchiche
71'
M
19
K. Karaman
M
K. Karaman
M
10
E. Džeko
60'
F
E. Džeko
60'
F
Bench
7
Hwang Hee-Chan
30'
F
Hwang Hee-Chan
30'
F
20
J. Adamu
19'
F
J. Adamu
19'
F
29
J. Dina Ebimbe
30'
M
J. Dina Ebimbe
30'
M
22
K. Müller
G
K. Müller
G
38
L. Vozar
M
L. Vozar
M
43
M. Ayhan
D
M. Ayhan
D
39
M. Wöber
19'
D
M. Wöber
19'
D
6
R. Schallenberg
M
R. Schallenberg
M
33
Vitalie Becker
11'
D
Vitalie Becker
11'
D
1
A. Schwolow
G
A. Schwolow
G
48
K. Potulski
D
K. Potulski
D
4
S. Posch
D
S. Posch
D
21
D. da Costa
D
D. da Costa
D
2
P. Mwene
M
P. Mwene
M
7
Lee Jae-Sung
76'
M
Lee Jae-Sung
76'
M
6
K. Sano
M
K. Sano
M
10
N. Amiri
86'
M
N. Amiri
86'
M
19
A. Caci
1 👟
89'
M
A. Caci
1 👟
89'
M
9
P. Tietz
1 ⚽
89'
F
P. Tietz
1 ⚽
89'
F
23
S. Becker
76'
F
S. Becker
76'
F
Bench
17
B. Hollerbach
F
B. Hollerbach
F
5
E. Martel
4'
M
E. Martel
4'
M
3
F. Gruber
D
F. Gruber
D
15
L. Maloney
1'
M
L. Maloney
1'
M
40
M. Kinzig
G
M. Kinzig
G
8
P. Nebel
14'
M
P. Nebel
14'
M
11
R. Königsdörffer
14'
F
R. Königsdörffer
14'
F
47
R. Nakuzola
D
R. Nakuzola
D
30
S. Widmer
1'
D
S. Widmer
1'
D
Best on the pitch
P. Tietz
F · FSV
8.07
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 28 pass
L. Karius
G · FC
7.41
· 30 pass
K. Potulski
D · FSV
7.14
· 61 pass
A. Schwolow
G · FSV
7.00
· 37 pass
S. Posch
D · FSV
6.95
· 73 pass
Lee Jae-Sung
M · FSV
6.83
2 shots
· 32 pass
FC Schalke 04 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Karius | G | 90 | 7.41 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Kuruçay | D | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Katić | D | 71 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Becker | D | 90 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Gosens | M | 79 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Tanaka | M | 90 | 6.45 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| S. El-Faouzi | M | 90 | 5.53 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Gantenbein | M | 60 | 6.37 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Aouchiche | M | 71 | 5.70 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Karaman | M | 90 | 5.94 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Džeko | F | 60 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Hwang Hee-Chan | F | 30 | 6.23 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Adamu | F | 19 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Dina Ebimbe | M | 30 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Wöber | D | 19 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Vitalie Becker | D | 11 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
FSV Mainz 05 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Schwolow | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Potulski | D | 90 | 7.14 | — | — | 0 | 61 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Posch | D | 90 | 6.95 | — | — | 0 | 73 | 59% | 3 | — | — |
| D. da Costa | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Mwene | M | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Lee Jae-Sung | M | 76 | 6.83 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Sano | M | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| N. Amiri | M | 86 | 6.37 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Caci | M | 89 | 6.80 | — | 1 | 0 | 35 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Tietz | F | 89 | 8.07 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Becker | F | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Martel | M | 4 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Maloney | M | 1 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Nebel | M | 14 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Königsdörffer | F | 14 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Widmer | D | 1 | 6.72 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?
The final score was FC Schalke 04 0–1 FSV Mainz 05.
What did the model predict before FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?
The model assigned 36% probability to a FC Schalke 04 win, 29% to a draw, and 34% to an FSV Mainz 05 win.