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FC Seoul - Melbourne Victory

AFC Champions League Two December 02, 2026 11:00
FC Seoul
#2 · 6 pts
vs
Melbourne Victory
#3 · 4 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.46%
Win
FC Seoul
35.97%
Draw
26.57%
Win
Melbourne Victory
0.8
Expected xG
0.44

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (15.69%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 36%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 63%
12 64%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Seoul a 37% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 26% for Melbourne Victory. Expected goals are 0.8 for FC Seoul and 0.4 for Melbourne Victory (total 1.2), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.69% probability. In 1 previous meetings, FC Seoul have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Melbourne Victory.

Season Stats

FC Seoul
2W 0D 2L
Melbourne Victory
1W 1D 2L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.2
1.0
Conceded
1.2
5.5
Shots OT
2.3
4.0
Corners
3.7
53%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
50%
0%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in AFC Champions League Two. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
FC Seoul
1W 0D 1L · at home
Melbourne Victory
0W 1D 1L · away
1.5
gls/g
0.5
0.5
Conceded
1.5
50%
Win %
0%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FC Seoul Melbourne Victory →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 28.9% 12.7% 2.8% 0.4% — —
1 23.2% 10.2% 2.2% 0.3% — —
2 9.3% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% — —
3 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% — — —
4 0.5% 0.2% — — — —
5 0.1% — — — — —

Recent form

FC Seoul FC Seoul
W Viettel 3–0
W Viettel 0–5
L Melbourne Victory 3–0
L Persib Bandung 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 31%
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
L Persib Bandung 1–2
L Persib Bandung 2–0
W FC Seoul 3–0
D Viettel 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

FC Seoul FC Seoul
Attack
40
Defence
70
Form
55
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
Attack
28
Defence
64
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
FC Seoul
0
Draw
1
Melbourne Victory
14 Oct 2026 AFC Champions League Two 0–3

Group E

# Team G Pts
1 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 4 12
2 FC Seoul FC Seoul 4 6
3 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 4 4
4 Viettel Viettel 4 1

What's at stake · Group E

Top 2 advance to the next round

FC Seoul Melbourne Victory
Current #2 #3
→ FC Seoul #2 #3
→ Draw #2 #3
→ Melbourne Victory #3 #2

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Seoul vs Melbourne Victory?
The model gives FC Seoul a 37% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 26% for an Melbourne Victory win.
How many goals are expected in FC Seoul vs Melbourne Victory?
Expected goals: FC Seoul 0.8, Melbourne Victory 0.4 (total 1.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in FC Seoul vs Melbourne Victory?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.69%.