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FC Serpa - Louletano

Taça de Portugal September 20, 2026 16:00
FC Serpa
vs
Louletano
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.09%
Win
FC Serpa
31.97%
Draw
31.94%
Win
Louletano
3.3
Expected xG
1.34

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.69%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Serpa a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Louletano. Expected goals are 3.3 for FC Serpa and 1.3 for Louletano (total 4.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.69% probability.

Season Stats

FC Serpa
2W 0D 1L
Louletano
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
2.3
0.3
Conceded
0.7
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
67%
0%
BTTS
33%
67%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
FC Serpa
2W 0D 0L · at home
Louletano
1W 0D 1L · away
2.5
gls/g
1.0
0.0
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
50%
100%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FC Serpa Louletano →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 3.2% 4.3% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.3% 7.1% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.8% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.8% 6.4% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
5 3.2% 4.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

FC Serpa FC Serpa
W O Grandolense 2–0
L Lusitano Évora 1911 1–0
W Portel 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
Louletano Louletano
W Castrense 0–1
L Silves 2–1
W Operário 5–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 40%

Playing profile

FC Serpa FC Serpa
Attack
47
Defence
98
Form
83
Louletano Louletano
Attack
35
Defence
71
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Serpa vs Louletano?
The model gives FC Serpa a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Louletano win.
How many goals are expected in FC Serpa vs Louletano?
Expected goals: FC Serpa 3.3, Louletano 1.3 (total 4.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in FC Serpa vs Louletano?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.69%.