The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Sion a 42% win probability (draw 25%, FC ST. Gallen 31%). The final result was FC Sion 1–1 FC ST. Gallen. In 3 previous meetings, FC Sion have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC ST. Gallen.
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
7
1.34
Actual xG
1.09
49%
Possession
51%
8
Corners
12
Pre-match prediction
42.94%
FC
25.91%
X ←
31.15%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.91%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.64
1.34
-0.3
1.46
1.09
-0.37
xG dominance was balanced (1.34 – 1.09).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Sion vs FC ST. Gallen?
The final score was FC Sion 1–1 FC ST. Gallen.
What did the model predict before FC Sion vs FC ST. Gallen?
The model assigned 42% probability to a FC Sion win, 25% to a draw, and 31% to an FC ST. Gallen win.