✗Model wrong — prediction FC ST. Gallen, result Draw
C. Konietzke
65'
74'
(ast. K. Imeri)
M. Heule
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC ST. Gallen a 58% win probability (draw 18%, FC Thun 23%). The final result was FC ST. Gallen 1–1 FC Thun. In 4 previous meetings, FC ST. Gallen have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for FC Thun.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
14
6
Shots on target
2
2.33
Actual xG
1.50
1
Saves
5
50%
Possession
50%
3
Corners
9
20
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
C. Okoroji
21'
C. Konietzke
43'
D. Besio
/ A. Vogt
46'
C. Boukhalfa
/ B. Fazliji
63'
L. Daschner
/ C. Witzig
63'
⚽C. Konietzke
65'
66'
F. Fehr
/
L. Dahler
66'
F. Meichtry
/
V. Matoshi
68'
K. Imeri
74'
ast. K. Imeri ·
M. Heule⚽
B. Fazliji
76'
77'
F. Dursun
/
B. Labeau
77'
N. Reichmuth
/
K. Imeri
H. Vandermersch
/ J. Ruiz
77'
C. Konietzke
/ J. Quintilla
77'
89'
M. Gutbub
/
E. Rastoder
90'+7
M. Heule
Pre-match prediction
58.04%
FC
18.57%
X ←
23.39%
FC
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
18.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.43
2.33
-0.1
1.46
1.50
+0.04
FC ST. Gallen dominated by xG (2.33 vs 1.50).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
L. Zigi
G
L. Zigi
G
36
C. Okoroji
D
C. Okoroji
D
4
J. Stanić
D
J. Stanić
D
26
T. Gaal
D
T. Gaal
D
64
M. Stevanovic
M
M. Stevanovic
M
11
C. Boukhalfa
64'
M
C. Boukhalfa
64'
M
10
L. Daschner
64'
M
L. Daschner
64'
M
63
C. Konietzke
1 ⚽
77'
M
C. Konietzke
1 ⚽
77'
M
28
H. Vandermersch
77'
M
H. Vandermersch
77'
M
69
D. Besio
45'
F
D. Besio
45'
F
70
N. Scherrer
F
N. Scherrer
F
Bench
19
A. Verinac
F
A. Verinac
F
18
A. Vogt
45'
F
A. Vogt
45'
F
23
B. Fazliji
26'
M
B. Fazliji
26'
M
7
C. Witzig
26'
M
C. Witzig
26'
M
8
Jordi Quintillà
13'
M
74
J. Ruiz
13'
D
J. Ruiz
13'
D
16
L. Görtler
M
L. Görtler
M
25
L. Watkowiak
G
L. Watkowiak
G
71
Pascal Büttiker
D
Pascal Büttiker
D
25
T. Spycher
G
T. Spycher
G
27
M. Heule
1 ⚽
D
M. Heule
1 ⚽
D
5
Dominik Franke
D
16
J. Roth
D
J. Roth
D
37
L. Dähler
66'
D
L. Dähler
66'
D
20
Noah Rupp
M
Noah Rupp
M
14
M. Käit
M
M. Käit
M
7
K. Imeri
1 👟
77'
M
K. Imeri
1 👟
77'
M
78
V. Matoshi
67'
M
V. Matoshi
67'
M
74
E. Rastoder
89'
F
E. Rastoder
89'
F
96
B. Labeau
77'
F
B. Labeau
77'
F
Bench
17
A. Balaruban
D
A. Balaruban
D
52
Adam Ilic
M
Adam Ilic
M
77
E. Meichtry
23'
M
E. Meichtry
23'
M
9
F. Dursun
13'
F
F. Dursun
13'
F
47
F. Fehr
24'
D
F. Fehr
24'
D
30
Jan Eicher
G
Jan Eicher
G
33
M. Gutbub
8'
F
M. Gutbub
8'
F
70
N. Reichmuth
13'
M
N. Reichmuth
13'
M
8
Vasilije Janjičić
M
Vasilije Janjičić
M
Best on the pitch
M. Heule
D · FC
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 28 pass
J. Stanić
D · FC
7.70
· 34 pass
C. Okoroji
D · FC
7.50
· 35 pass
L. Daschner
M · FC
7.50
1 shots
· 25 pass
K. Imeri
M · FC
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 25 pass
C. Konietzke
M · FC
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
FC ST. Gallen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Zigi | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | — | — | — |
| C. Okoroji | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Stanić | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Gaal | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Stevanovic | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Boukhalfa | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Daschner | M | 64 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Konietzke | M | 77 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Vandermersch | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 7% | — | — | — |
| D. Besio | F | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| N. Scherrer | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Vogt | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| B. Fazliji | M | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Witzig | M | 26 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Jordi Quintillà | M | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Ruiz | D | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
FC Thun — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Spycher | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M. Heule | D | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 19% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Dominik Franke | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Roth | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Dähler | D | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Noah Rupp | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Käit | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Imeri | M | 77 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 25 | 19% | 3 | 1 | — |
| V. Matoshi | M | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Rastoder | F | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| B. Labeau | F | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| E. Meichtry | M | 23 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Dursun | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| F. Fehr | D | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Gutbub | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Reichmuth | M | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun?
The final score was FC ST. Gallen 1–1 FC Thun.
What did the model predict before FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun?
The model assigned 58% probability to a FC ST. Gallen win, 18% to a draw, and 23% to an FC Thun win.