✗Model wrong — prediction FC ST. Gallen, result Draw
C. Konietzke
65'
74'
(ast. K. Imeri)
M. Heule
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC ST. Gallen a 58% win probability (draw 18%, FC Thun 23%). The final result was FC ST. Gallen 1–1 FC Thun. In 3 previous meetings, FC ST. Gallen have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for FC Thun.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
14
6
Shots on target
2
2.33
Actual xG
1.50
1
Saves
5
50%
Possession
50%
3
Corners
9
20
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
C. Okoroji
21'
C. Konietzke
43'
D. Besio
/ A. Vogt
46'
C. Boukhalfa
/ B. Fazliji
63'
L. Daschner
/ C. Witzig
63'
⚽C. Konietzke
65'
66'
F. Fehr
/
L. Dahler
66'
F. Meichtry
/
V. Matoshi
68'
K. Imeri
74'
ast. K. Imeri ·
M. Heule⚽
B. Fazliji
76'
77'
F. Dursun
/
B. Labeau
77'
N. Reichmuth
/
K. Imeri
H. Vandermersch
/ J. Ruiz
77'
C. Konietzke
/ J. Quintilla
77'
89'
M. Gutbub
/
E. Rastoder
90'+7
M. Heule
Pre-match prediction
58.04%
FC
18.57%
X ←
23.39%
FC
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
18.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.43
2.33
-0.1
1.46
1.50
+0.04
FC ST. Gallen dominated by xG (2.33 vs 1.50).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Lawrence Ati Zigi
G
Lawrence Ati Zigi
G
36
C. Okoroji
D
C. Okoroji
D
4
J. Stanić
D
J. Stanić
D
26
Tom Gaal
D
Tom Gaal
D
64
Mihailo Stevanović
M
Mihailo Stevanović
M
11
C. Boukhalfa
64'
M
C. Boukhalfa
64'
M
10
Lukas Daschner
64'
M
Lukas Daschner
64'
M
63
Corsin Konietzke
1 ⚽
77'
M
Corsin Konietzke
1 ⚽
77'
M
28
H. Vandermersch
77'
M
H. Vandermersch
77'
M
69
Diego Besio
45'
F
Diego Besio
45'
F
70
Nevio Scherrer
F
Nevio Scherrer
F
Bench
19
Antonio Verinac
F
Antonio Verinac
F
18
A. Vogt
45'
F
A. Vogt
45'
F
23
Betim Fazliji
26'
M
7
Christian Witzig
26'
M
Christian Witzig
26'
M
74
Joel Ruiz
13'
D
Joel Ruiz
13'
D
8
Jordi Quintillà
13'
M
Jordi Quintillà
13'
M
16
L. Görtler
M
L. Görtler
M
25
Lukas Watkowiak
G
Lukas Watkowiak
G
71
Pascal Büttiker
D
Pascal Büttiker
D
25
Tim Spycher
G
Tim Spycher
G
27
M. Heule
1 ⚽
D
M. Heule
1 ⚽
D
5
Dominik Franke
D
Dominik Franke
D
16
Justin Roth
D
Justin Roth
D
37
Lucien Dähler
66'
D
Lucien Dähler
66'
D
20
Noah Rupp
M
Noah Rupp
M
14
Mattias Käit
M
Mattias Käit
M
7
K. Imeri
1 👟
77'
M
K. Imeri
1 👟
77'
M
78
V. Matoshi
67'
M
V. Matoshi
67'
M
74
E. Rastoder
89'
F
E. Rastoder
89'
F
96
Brighton Labeau
77'
F
Brighton Labeau
77'
F
Bench
52
Adam Ilic
M
Adam Ilic
M
17
Ashvin Balaruban
D
Ashvin Balaruban
D
77
E. Meichtry
23'
M
E. Meichtry
23'
M
47
F. Fehr
24'
D
F. Fehr
24'
D
9
Furkan Dursun
13'
F
Furkan Dursun
13'
F
30
Jan Eicher
G
Jan Eicher
G
33
Marc Gutbub
8'
F
Marc Gutbub
8'
F
70
Nils Reichmuth
13'
M
Nils Reichmuth
13'
M
8
Vasilije Janjičić
M
Vasilije Janjičić
M
Best on the pitch
M. Heule
D · FC
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 28 pass
J. Stanić
D · FC
7.70
· 34 pass
C. Okoroji
D · FC
7.50
· 35 pass
Lukas Daschner
M · FC
7.50
1 shots
· 25 pass
K. Imeri
M · FC
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 25 pass
Corsin Konietzke
M · FC
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
FC ST. Gallen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawrence Ati Zigi | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | — | — | — |
| C. Okoroji | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Stanić | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| Tom Gaal | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Mihailo Stevanović | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Boukhalfa | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Lukas Daschner | M | 64 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Corsin Konietzke | M | 77 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Vandermersch | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Diego Besio | F | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Nevio Scherrer | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Vogt | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Betim Fazliji | M | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Christian Witzig | M | 26 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Joel Ruiz | D | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Jordi Quintillà | M | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
FC Thun — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Spycher | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M. Heule | D | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 19% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Dominik Franke | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Justin Roth | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucien Dähler | D | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Noah Rupp | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Mattias Käit | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Imeri | M | 77 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 25 | 19% | 3 | 1 | — |
| V. Matoshi | M | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Rastoder | F | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Brighton Labeau | F | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| E. Meichtry | M | 23 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Fehr | D | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Furkan Dursun | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Marc Gutbub | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nils Reichmuth | M | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun?
The final score was FC ST. Gallen 1–1 FC Thun.
What did the model predict before FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun?
The model assigned 58% probability to a FC ST. Gallen win, 18% to a draw, and 23% to an FC Thun win.