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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3 August 30, 2026 13:30 Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
FC St. Pauli
#7 · 12 pts
1 – 2
Final score
1. FC Kaiserslautern
#3 · 18 pts
A. Ceesay (ast. T. Hara) 56'
29' (ast. S. Sahin) E. Yardimci
46' T. Tazemeta
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC St. Pauli a 40% win probability (draw 29%, 1. FC Kaiserslautern 29%). The final result was FC St. Pauli 1–2 1. FC Kaiserslautern.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
4
1.21
Actual xG
0.71
2
Saves
6
58%
Possession
42%
4
Corners
5
24
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
29'
ast. S. Sahin · E. Yardimci⚽
D. Nemeth
38'
M. Mathisen
41'
46'
T. Tazemeta / E. Yardimci ↕
46'
T. Tazemeta⚽
↕ M. Mathisen / A. Ceesay
55'
↕ M. Kaars / C. Metcalfe
55'
⚽A. Ceesay · ast. T. Hara
56'
60'
J. Rasmussen
64'
I. Kanate
67'
F. Kunze
68'
M. Berisha / I. Kanate ↕
68'
M. Sauer / M. Ritter ↕
71'
L. Robinson / F. Kunze ↕
76'
M. Sauer
↕ T. Hara / Y. Niang
83'
84'
K. Frees / M. Gyamfi ↕
85'
T. Lieberknecht
T. Ando
89'
Pre-match prediction
40.51%
FC
29.75%
X
29.73%
1. ←
we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Kaiserslautern) 29.73% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
3.63
1.21
-2.42
1.
1.04
0.71
-0.32
FC St. Pauli dominated by xG (1.21 vs 0.71). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 9 25
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 9 18
3 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 9 18
4 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 9 16
5 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 9 16
6 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 9 15
7 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 9 12
8 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 9 11
9 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 9 11
10 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 9 10
11 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 9 10
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9 9
13 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 9 8
14 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 9 8
15 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 9 8
16 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 9 8
17 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 9 8
18 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 9 8
Lineups
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 3-4-1-2
1 B. Voll B. Voll G 7.20
15 T. Ando T. Ando D 6.50
6 M. Mathisen M. Mathisen 55' D 7.00
4 D. Nemeth D. Nemeth D 6.90
23 L. Oppie L. Oppie M 7.50
20 M. Rasmussen M. Rasmussen M 7.50
8 E. Smith E. Smith M 7.00
11 A. Pyrka A. Pyrka M 7.00
10 B. Hrgota B. Hrgota F 7.00
18 T. Hara T. Hara 1 👟 83' F 7.60
19 M. Kaars M. Kaars 55' F 6.70
Bench
9 Abdoulie Ceesay Abdoulie Ceesay 1 ⚽ 39' F 6.90
25 A. Dźwigała A. Dźwigała D
24 C. Metcalfe C. Metcalfe 39' M 7.20
33 D. Mitov D. Mitov G
14 E. Ahlstrand E. Ahlstrand M
16 J. Fujita J. Fujita M
21 L. Ritzka L. Ritzka D
22 Samuel Klein Samuel Klein M
7 Y. Niang Y. Niang 11' F 6.60
1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3-4-3
1 J. Krahl J. Krahl G 7.70
14 J. Rasmussen J. Rasmussen D 6.60
4 M. Gyamfi M. Gyamfi 84' D 6.60
33 J. Elvedi J. Elvedi D 7.20
22 Mika Haas Mika Haas M 7.00
8 S. Şahin S. Şahin 1 👟 M 7.30
6 F. Kunze F. Kunze 71' M 6.30
26 P. Joly P. Joly M 6.20
11 I. Kanate I. Kanate 68' F 6.50
17 E. Yardımcı E. Yardımcı 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.60
7 M. Ritter M. Ritter 68' F 6.30
Bench
3 A. Murphy A. Murphy D
41 D. Schramm D. Schramm M
40 E. Kamga E. Kamga G
5 Kelven Olagie Frees Kelven Olagie Frees 10' D 6.90
37 Leon Robinson Leon Robinson 23' M 6.50
20 M. Berisha M. Berisha 26' F 6.60
21 M. Sauer M. Sauer 26' M 6.00
2 S. Asta S. Asta D
39 T. Fidjeu-Tazemeta T. Fidjeu-Tazemeta 1 ⚽ 49' M 7.60
Best on the pitch
J. Krahl
J. Krahl
G · 1.
7.70
· 29 pass
T. Fidjeu-Tazemeta
T. Fidjeu-Tazemeta
M · 1.
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
E. Yardımcı
E. Yardımcı
F · 1.
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
T. Hara
T. Hara
F · FC
7.60
1 👟
1 shots · 21 pass
L. Oppie
L. Oppie
M · FC
7.50
2 shots · 37 pass
M. Rasmussen
M. Rasmussen
M · FC
7.50
2 shots · 60 pass
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Voll G 94 7.20 — — — 30 19% — — —
T. Ando D 94 6.50 — — — 51 44% 1 1 —
M. Mathisen D 55 7.00 — — 1 47 41% 6 1 —
D. Nemeth D 94 6.90 — — — 59 50% 4 1 —
L. Oppie M 94 7.50 — — 2 37 31% 2 — —
M. Rasmussen M 94 7.50 — — 2 60 53% 5 — —
E. Smith M 94 7.00 — — — 79 68% — — —
A. Pyrka M 94 7.00 — — — 45 33% 2 — —
B. Hrgota F 94 7.00 — — 5 40 27% 1 — —
T. Hara F 83 7.60 — 1 1 21 14% 1 — —
M. Kaars F 55 6.70 — — 1 14 13% — — —
Abdoulie Ceesay F 39 6.90 1 — 1 10 4% 1 — —
C. Metcalfe M 39 7.20 — — 1 19 16% 1 — —
Y. Niang F 11 6.60 — — — 3 2% — — —
1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Krahl G 94 7.70 — — — 29 15% — — —
J. Rasmussen D 94 6.60 — — 1 47 35% 1 1 —
M. Gyamfi D 84 6.60 — — — 25 21% 1 — —
J. Elvedi D 94 7.20 — — — 32 25% 2 — —
Mika Haas M 94 7.00 — — — 29 25% — — —
S. Şahin M 94 7.30 — 1 1 51 45% 2 — —
F. Kunze M 71 6.30 — — — 30 20% 2 1 —
P. Joly M 94 6.20 — — — 37 23% — — —
I. Kanate F 68 6.50 — — — 14 11% — 1 —
E. Yardımcı F 45 7.60 1 — 1 17 12% — — —
M. Ritter F 68 6.30 — — 3 26 17% — — —
Kelven Olagie Frees D 10 6.90 — — — 2 2% — — —
Leon Robinson M 23 6.50 — — — 6 4% 2 — —
M. Berisha F 26 6.60 — — 1 6 6% — — —
M. Sauer M 26 6.00 — — — 8 4% — 1 —
T. Fidjeu-Tazemeta M 49 7.60 1 — 1 7 3% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The final score was FC St. Pauli 1–2 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
What did the model predict before FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The model assigned 40% probability to a FC St. Pauli win, 29% to a draw, and 29% to an 1. FC Kaiserslautern win.