K. Mets
(ast. H. Wahl)
69'
(pen.)
86'
L. Waldschmidt
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Köln a 50% win probability (draw 21%, FC St. Pauli 28%). The final result was FC St. Pauli 1–1 1. FC Köln. In 1 previous meetings, FC St. Pauli have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Köln.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
1
1.79
Actual xG
1.25
0
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
8
Corners
5
11
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
46'
L. Maina
/
J. Thielmann
51'
M. Bulter
/
R. Ache
L. Ritzka
/ M. Saliakas
65'
⚽K. Mets
· ast. H. Wahl
69'
70'
K. Lund
/
A. Castro-Montes
Andreas Hountondji
71'
Tomoya Ando
76'
A. Hountondji
/ C. Metcalfe
77'
79'
L. Waldschmidt
/
I. Johannesson
79'
F. Chavez
/
S. Sebulonsen
84'
86'
(pen.)
L. Waldschmidt⚽
Mathias Pereira Lage
87'
87'
Said El Mala
M. Pereira Lage
/ M. Kaars
87'
Danel Sinani
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
28.35%
FC
21.12%
X ←
50.53%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.12%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.68
1.79
+1.11
1.91
1.25
-0.66
FC St. Pauli dominated by xG (1.79 vs 1.25).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
3
Karol Mets
1 ⚽
D
Karol Mets
1 ⚽
D
5
1 👟
D
15
Tomoya Ando
D
Tomoya Ando
D
21
Lars Ritzka
65'
M
Lars Ritzka
65'
M
7
Jackson Irvine
M
Jackson Irvine
M
20
Mathias Rasmussen
M
Mathias Rasmussen
M
11
M
28
Mathias Pereira Lage
87'
F
10
D. Sinani
F
D. Sinani
F
27
Andreas Hountondji
77'
F
Andreas Hountondji
77'
F
Bench
9
Abdoulie Ceesay
F
Abdoulie Ceesay
F
24
Connor Metcalfe
13'
M
Connor Metcalfe
13'
M
23
Louis Oppie
D
Louis Oppie
D
19
Martijn Kaars
11'
F
Martijn Kaars
11'
F
2
M. Saliakas
25'
D
1
Marvin Schwäbe
G
Marvin Schwäbe
G
17
Alessio Castro-Montes
70'
D
Alessio Castro-Montes
70'
D
39
D
22
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
D
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
D
28
Sebastian Sebulonsen
79'
D
Sebastian Sebulonsen
79'
D
16
Jakub Kamiński
M
6
E. Martel
M
E. Martel
M
18
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
79'
M
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
79'
M
29
Jan Uwe Thielmann
45'
M
Jan Uwe Thielmann
45'
M
13
S. El Mala
F
S. El Mala
F
9
R. Ache
51'
F
R. Ache
51'
F
Bench
32
Kristoffer Lund
20'
D
Kristoffer Lund
20'
D
37
Linton Maina
45'
M
Linton Maina
45'
M
7
Luca Waldschmidt
1 ⚽
11'
F
Luca Waldschmidt
1 ⚽
11'
F
30
Marius Bülter
39'
F
Marius Bülter
39'
F
5
Tom Krauß
M
Tom Krauß
M
Best on the pitch
Marvin Schwäbe
G · 1.
8.70
· 45 pass
Karol Mets
D · FC
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 61 pass
Luca Waldschmidt
F · 1.
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Marius Bülter
F · 1.
7.20
· 9 pass
D · FC
7.20
1 👟
· 61 pass
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
M · 1.
7.20
· 44 pass
FC St. Pauli — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Karol Mets | D | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 61 | 52% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 61 | 55% | — | — | — | |
| Tomoya Ando | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 39% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Lars Ritzka | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Jackson Irvine | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Mathias Rasmussen | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — | |
| Mathias Pereira Lage | F | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Sinani | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Andreas Hountondji | F | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Connor Metcalfe | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Martijn Kaars | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Saliakas | D | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
1. FC Köln — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Schwäbe | G | 90 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Alessio Castro-Montes | D | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 57% | 2 | — | — | |
| Jahmai Simpson-Pusey | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 74 | 62% | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Sebulonsen | D | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Jakub Kamiński | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| E. Martel | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 48% | 4 | — | — |
| Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 5 | — | — |
| Jan Uwe Thielmann | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| S. El Mala | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Ache | F | 51 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Kristoffer Lund | D | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Linton Maina | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Luca Waldschmidt | F | 11 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Marius Bülter | F | 39 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Köln?
The final score was FC St. Pauli 1–1 1. FC Köln.
What did the model predict before FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Köln?
The model assigned 28% probability to a FC St. Pauli win, 21% to a draw, and 50% to an 1. FC Köln win.