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FC St. Pauli - Deportivo La Coruna

Friendlies Clubs August 01, 2026 18:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.66%
Win
FC St. Pauli
31.75%
Draw
34.59%
Win
Deportivo La Coruna
1.69
Expected xG
1.78

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (8.75%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 32%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 66%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Deportivo La Coruna a 34% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for FC St. Pauli. Expected goals are 1.7 for FC St. Pauli and 1.8 for Deportivo La Coruna (total 3.5), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 8.75% probability.

Season Stats

FC St. Pauli
4W 1D 1L
Deportivo La Coruna
2W 1D 0L
Averages per game
2.7
Goals
1.7
1.5
Conceded
0.0
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
33%
83%
O 2.5
33%
83%
BTTS
0%
17%
Clean Sht
100%
Based on the last 6 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
FC St. Pauli
1W 1D 0L · at home
Deportivo La Coruna
1W 1D 0L · away
1.0
gls/g
2.0
0.5
Conceded
0.0
50%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
50%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
100%
50%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FC St. Pauli Deportivo La Coruna →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1% 5.5% 4.9% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.3% 9.4% 8.3% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 7.9% 7.0% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.5% 4.5% 4.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4%
4 1.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

L Bournemouth 4–1
W HNK Gorica 2–1
W SV Babelsberg 03 1–4
W Kickers Emden 1–3
W Altona 93 2–6
Home clean sheet (120 days) 15%
W Lugo 1–0
D Oviedo 0–0
W Compostela 0–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 47%

Playing profile

FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
Attack
65
Defence
57
Form
69
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna
Attack
49
Defence
100
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Deportivo La Coruna?
The model gives FC St. Pauli a 33% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 34% for an Deportivo La Coruna win.
How many goals are expected in FC St. Pauli vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Expected goals: FC St. Pauli 1.7, Deportivo La Coruna 1.8 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in FC St. Pauli vs Deportivo La Coruna?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.75%.