The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Freiburg a 41% win probability (draw 29%, FC St. Pauli 28%). The final result was FC St. Pauli 1–2 SC Freiburg. In 1 previous meetings, FC St. Pauli have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for SC Freiburg.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
6
0.76
Actual xG
2.04
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
28.66%
FC
29.64%
X
41.7%
SC ←
we assigned to the actual result (SC Freiburg)
41.7%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.01
0.76
-0.25
1.15
2.04
+0.89
SC Freiburg dominated by xG (2.04 vs 0.76).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg?
The final score was FC St. Pauli 1–2 SC Freiburg.
What did the model predict before FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg?
The model assigned 28% probability to a FC St. Pauli win, 29% to a draw, and 41% to an SC Freiburg win.