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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5 September 12, 2026 20:30 Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
FC St. Pauli
#8 · 7 pts
1 – 0
Final score
VfL Wolfsburg
#4 · 11 pts
Joel Chima Fujita 88'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfL Wolfsburg a 37% win probability (draw 28%, FC St. Pauli 34%). The final result was FC St. Pauli 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg. In 2 previous meetings, FC St. Pauli have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for VfL Wolfsburg.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
10
Corners
4
17
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Lars Ritzka
4'
12'
Cleiton Santana dos Santos
Abdoulie Ceesay
32'
65'
Bence Dárdai / Muhammed Damar ↕
65'
Jonas Adjetey / Cleiton Santana dos Santos ↕
↕ Lars Ritzka / Adam Dźwigała
67'
↕ Youssoupha Niang / Martijn Kaars
70'
74'
Yannick Gerhardt / Kento Shiogai ↕
74'
Maximilian Arnold / Mattias Svanberg ↕
78'
Tobias Strobl
82'
Alessio Besio / Alexander Bernhardsson ↕
85'
Joakim Maehle
⚽Joel Chima Fujita
88'
↕ Abdoulie Ceesay / Taichi Hara
90'+1
↕ Connor Metcalfe / Samuel Klein
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
34.06%
FC ←
28.49%
X
37.45%
VfL
we assigned to the actual result (FC St. Pauli) 34.06% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.50
—
—
VfL
3.04
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 6 18
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 6 16
3 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 6 13
4 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 6 11
5 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 6 11
6 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 6 10
7 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 6 8
8 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 6 7
9 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 6 7
10 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 6 7
11 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 6 7
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 6 5
14 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 6 5
15 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 6 4
16 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 6 4
17 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 6 4
18 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 6 4
Lineups
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 4-1-3-2
1 B. Voll B. Voll G 6.56
23 L. Oppie L. Oppie D 6.35
21 L. Ritzka L. Ritzka 67' D 6.03
4 D. Nemeth D. Nemeth D 6.93
11 A. Pyrka A. Pyrka D 7.10
8 E. Smith E. Smith M 6.87
16 J. Fujita J. Fujita 1 ⚽ M 8.05
20 M. Rasmussen M. Rasmussen M 6.63
7 Y. Niang Y. Niang 70' M 6.23
9 Abdoulie Ceesay Abdoulie Ceesay 89' F 6.38
24 C. Metcalfe C. Metcalfe 89' F 7.20
Bench
25 A. Dźwigała A. Dźwigała 23' D 6.76
33 D. Mitov D. Mitov G 0.00
14 E. Ahlstrand E. Ahlstrand M 0.00
19 M. Kaars M. Kaars 20' F 6.50
26 R. Jones R. Jones F 0.00
22 Samuel Klein Samuel Klein 1' M 0.00
17 S. Banks S. Banks F 0.00
18 T. Hara T. Hara 1' F 0.00
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 4-3-3
30 J. Zieliński J. Zieliński G 7.29
21 J. Mæhle J. Mæhle D 6.71
33 Cleiton Cleiton 65' D 6.81
6 H. Wahl H. Wahl D 6.91
2 K. Fischer K. Fischer D 6.12
32 M. Svanberg M. Svanberg 74' M 6.44
5 Vinicius Souza Vinicius Souza M 6.26
20 M. Damar M. Damar 65' M 5.91
11 F. Reese F. Reese F 6.47
7 Kento Shiogai Kento Shiogai 74' F 6.26
17 A. Bernhardsson A. Bernhardsson 82' F 6.38
Bench
23 A. Besio A. Besio 8' F 6.56
25 A. Zehnter A. Zehnter D 0.00
8 Bence Dárdai Bence Dárdai 25' M 6.24
42 B. Katz B. Katz F 0.00
18
J. Adjetey 25' D 6.58
27 M. Arnold M. Arnold 16' M 5.97
14 P. Hensel P. Hensel M 0.00
12 P. Pervan P. Pervan G 0.00
31 Y. Gerhardt Y. Gerhardt 16' M 6.22
Best on the pitch
J. Fujita
J. Fujita
M · FC
8.05
1 ⚽
2 shots · 34 pass
J. Zieliński
J. Zieliński
G · VfL
7.29
· 38 pass
C. Metcalfe
C. Metcalfe
F · FC
7.20
4 shots · 22 pass
A. Pyrka
A. Pyrka
D · FC
7.10
· 39 pass
D. Nemeth
D. Nemeth
D · FC
6.93
· 37 pass
H. Wahl
H. Wahl
D · VfL
6.91
1 shots · 68 pass
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Voll G 90 6.56 — — 0 22 13% 0 — —
L. Oppie D 90 6.35 — — 3 28 23% 0 — —
L. Ritzka D 67 6.03 — — 1 40 33% 3 1 —
D. Nemeth D 90 6.93 — — 0 37 35% 1 — —
A. Pyrka D 90 7.10 — — 0 39 29% 1 — —
E. Smith M 90 6.87 — — 1 40 35% 4 — —
J. Fujita M 90 8.05 1 — 2 34 25% 1 — —
M. Rasmussen M 90 6.63 — — 1 31 25% 2 — —
Y. Niang M 70 6.23 — — 2 10 9% 1 — —
Abdoulie Ceesay F 89 6.38 — — 3 10 7% 1 1 —
C. Metcalfe F 89 7.20 — — 4 22 16% 2 — —
A. Dźwigała D 23 6.76 — — 0 10 9% 1 — —
M. Kaars F 20 6.50 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
Samuel Klein M 1 0.00 — — 1 1 0% 0 — —
T. Hara F 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Zieliński G 90 7.29 — — 0 38 36% 0 — —
J. Mæhle D 90 6.71 — — 0 66 59% 3 1 —
Cleiton D 65 6.81 — — 1 71 66% 0 1 —
H. Wahl D 90 6.91 — — 1 68 66% 0 — —
K. Fischer D 90 6.12 — — 1 47 39% 0 — —
M. Svanberg M 74 6.44 — — 0 27 24% 0 — —
Vinicius Souza M 90 6.26 — — 0 61 50% 4 — —
M. Damar M 65 5.91 — — 1 35 28% 1 — —
F. Reese F 90 6.47 — — 5 21 13% 2 — —
Kento Shiogai F 74 6.26 — — 0 8 6% 0 — —
A. Bernhardsson F 82 6.38 — — 1 14 12% 1 — —
A. Besio F 8 6.56 — — 0 7 7% 0 — —
Bence Dárdai M 25 6.24 — — 0 9 7% 4 — —
J. Adjetey D 25 6.58 — — 0 14 13% 1 — —
M. Arnold M 16 5.97 — — 0 16 14% 1 — —
Y. Gerhardt M 16 6.22 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The final score was FC St. Pauli 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg.
What did the model predict before FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The model assigned 34% probability to a FC St. Pauli win, 28% to a draw, and 37% to an VfL Wolfsburg win.