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Super League · Regular Season - 11 October 25, 2026 14:00 Cornaredo, Lugano
FC Thun
#9 · 10 pts
2 – 3
Final score
FC Lugano
#1 · 31 pts
✓Model correct — prediction FC Lugano
Nassim Zoukit 37'
Riccardo Braschi 88' (pen.)
34' (ast. Hannes Delcroix) Dereck Moncada
49' (ast. Daniel Dos Santos Correia) Uran Bislimi
76' (ast. Lars Lukas Mai) Albian Ajeti
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Lugano a 56% win probability (draw 22%, FC Thun 20%). The final result was FC Thun 2–3 FC Lugano. In 4 previous meetings, FC Thun have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for FC Lugano.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
19
9
Shots on target
6
1.90
Actual xG
1.79
3
Saves
7
52%
Possession
48%
6
Corners
2
12
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
34'
ast. Hannes Delcroix · Dereck Moncada⚽
34'
⚽Nassim Zoukit
37'
38'
Elias Pihlstrom
44'
Damian Kelvin
↕ Louis Immanuel Passavant / Mattias Käit
45'
45'
Daniel Dos Santos Correia / Damian Kelvin ↕
45'
Mattia Zanotti / Elias Pihlstrom ↕
49'
ast. Daniel Dos Santos Correia · Uran Bislimi⚽
Nico Maier
52'
60'
Martim Marques / Dereck Moncada ↕
↕ Furkan Dursun / Noah Christoffersson
65'
73'
Albian Ajeti / Kevin Behrens ↕
↕ Nico Maier / Patrik Kristal
74'
76'
ast. Lars Lukas Mai · Albian Ajeti⚽
↕ Brighton Labeau / Riccardo Braschi
81'
↕ Nils·Reichmuth / A. Ilic
81'
84'
Ahmed Kendouci / Uran Bislimi ↕
Fabio Fehr
85'
⚽Riccardo Braschi (pen.)
88'
Pre-match prediction
20.78%
FC
22.56%
X
56.67%
FC ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Lugano) 56.67% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
0.82
1.90
+1.09
FC
2.32
1.79
-0.53
xG dominance was balanced (1.90 – 1.79). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Lugano FC Lugano 11 31
2 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 11 25
3 FC Sion FC Sion 11 22
4 FC Zurich FC Zurich 11 17
5 Servette FC Servette FC 11 16
6 FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 11 16
7 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 11 14
8 FC Luzern FC Luzern 11 12
9 FC Thun FC Thun 11 10
10 FC Vaduz FC Vaduz 11 9
11 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 11 9
12 Lausanne Lausanne 11 6
Lineups
FC Thun FC Thun 4-4-2
1 N. Steffen N. Steffen G 5.67
18 T. Strannegård T. Strannegård D 5.86
5 N. Bürgy N. Bürgy D 6.00
54 L. Passavant L. Passavant 46' D 6.34
47 F. Fehr F. Fehr D 6.20
30 N. Maier N. Maier 74' M 5.34
13 N. Zoukit N. Zoukit 1 ⚽ M 7.37
16 J. Roth J. Roth M 6.05
70 N. Reichmuth N. Reichmuth 81' M 6.73
96 B. Labeau B. Labeau 81' F 6.39
9 F. Dursun F. Dursun 65' F 6.31
Bench
17 A. Balaruban A. Balaruban D 0.00
52 Adam Ilic Adam Ilic 9' M 5.81
37 L. Dähler L. Dähler D 0.00
14 M. Käit M. Käit 44' M 6.38
26 N. Christoffersson N. Christoffersson 25' F 6.11
15 P. Kristal P. Kristal 16' M 5.86
20 R. Braschi R. Braschi 1 ⚽ 9' F 7.80
80 S. Lengen S. Lengen F 0.00
25 T. Spycher T. Spycher G 0.00
FC Lugano FC Lugano 3-4-1-2
16 D. von Ballmoos D. von Ballmoos G 7.56
3 H. Delcroix H. Delcroix 1 👟 D 6.20
17 L. Mai L. Mai 1 👟 D 6.68
4 D. Kelvin D. Kelvin 46' D 5.48
21 Y. Cimignani Y. Cimignani M 6.05
8 A. Grgić A. Grgić M 6.26
25 U. Bislimi U. Bislimi 1 ⚽ 84' M 7.90
2 B. Karimov B. Karimov M 6.89
30 D. Moncada D. Moncada 1 ⚽ 60' F 8.20
24 E. Pihlström E. Pihlström 46' F 5.84
91 K. Behrens K. Behrens 73' F 6.48
Bench
9 A. Ajeti A. Ajeti 1 ⚽ 17' F 7.49
14 A. Kendouci A. Kendouci 6' M 6.05
22 B. Castro B. Castro F 0.00
27 Daniel Dos Santos Daniel Dos Santos 1 👟 44' M 6.15
7 E. Alioski E. Alioski D 0.00
28 F. Gebhardt F. Gebhardt G 0.00
18 J. Bichsel J. Bichsel D 0.00
26 Martim Marques Martim Marques 30' D 6.08
46 M. Zanotti M. Zanotti 44' D 6.27
Best on the pitch
D. Moncada
D. Moncada
F · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots · 16 pass
U. Bislimi
U. Bislimi
M · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 48 pass
R. Braschi
R. Braschi
F · FC
7.80
1 ⚽
2 shots · 1 pass
D. von Ballmoos
D. von Ballmoos
G · FC
7.56
· 30 pass
A. Ajeti
A. Ajeti
F · FC
7.49
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
N. Zoukit
N. Zoukit
M · FC
7.37
1 ⚽
2 shots · 45 pass
FC Thun FC Thun — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Steffen G 90 5.67 — — 0 36 27% 0 — —
T. Strannegård D 90 5.86 — — 0 27 20% 1 — —
N. Bürgy D 90 6.00 — — 0 68 54% 1 — —
L. Passavant D 46 6.34 — — 0 23 20% 0 — —
F. Fehr D 90 6.20 — — 0 42 32% 3 1 —
N. Maier M 74 5.34 — — 1 20 13% 0 1 —
N. Zoukit M 90 7.37 1 — 2 45 36% 2 — —
J. Roth M 90 6.05 — — 0 35 30% 0 — —
N. Reichmuth M 81 6.73 — — 4 24 21% 1 — —
B. Labeau F 81 6.39 — — 5 16 15% 2 — —
F. Dursun F 65 6.31 — — 2 16 11% 1 — —
Adam Ilic M 9 5.81 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
M. Käit M 44 6.38 — — 0 28 26% 0 — —
N. Christoffersson F 25 6.11 — — 1 5 1% 0 — —
P. Kristal M 16 5.86 — — 0 7 5% 1 — —
R. Braschi F 9 7.80 1 — 2 1 1% 0 — —
FC Lugano FC Lugano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. von Ballmoos G 90 7.56 — — 0 30 21% 0 — —
H. Delcroix D 90 6.20 — 1 0 37 27% 1 — —
L. Mai D 90 6.68 — 1 0 55 42% 3 — —
D. Kelvin D 46 5.48 — — 0 15 11% 0 1 —
Y. Cimignani M 90 6.05 — — 3 24 19% 2 — —
A. Grgić M 90 6.26 — — 1 53 44% 1 — —
U. Bislimi M 84 7.90 1 — 2 48 38% 2 — —
B. Karimov M 90 6.89 — — 3 20 20% 0 — —
D. Moncada F 60 8.20 1 — 5 16 11% 1 — —
E. Pihlström F 46 5.84 — — 1 14 11% 0 1 —
K. Behrens F 73 6.48 — — 2 23 14% 0 — —
A. Ajeti F 17 7.49 1 — 1 3 1% 0 — —
A. Kendouci M 6 6.05 — — 0 1 1% 1 — —
Daniel Dos Santos M 44 6.15 — 1 1 14 12% 0 — —
Martim Marques D 30 6.08 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
M. Zanotti D 44 6.27 — — 0 13 11% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Thun vs FC Lugano?
The final score was FC Thun 2–3 FC Lugano.
What did the model predict before FC Thun vs FC Lugano?
The model assigned 20% probability to a FC Thun win, 22% to a draw, and 56% to an FC Lugano win.