Conference League
· League Stage - 2
October 22, 2026 21:00
17'
D. de Almeida
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 44% win probability (draw 31%, FC Thun 23%). The final result was FC Thun 0–1 HNK Hajduk Split.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
4
1.28
Actual xG
1.28
3
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
2
Corners
3
22
Tackles
23
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
17'
D. de Almeida⚽
47'
A. del Moral
J. Roth
56'
64'
D. Maresic
67'
(missed pen.)
M. Sego⚽
F. Dursun
/ N. Christoffersson
70'
N. Maier
/ N. Zoukit
70'
70'
D. Melnjak
/
M. Soticek
N. Reichmuth
73'
J. Roth
/ D. Derbaci
77'
B. Labeau
/ R. Braschi
77'
78'
M. Livaja
/
M. Sego
78'
L. Dendoncker
/
A. del Moral
N. Reichmuth
/ S. Lengen
83'
84'
C. Martin
/
A. Sanyang
84'
A. Van Hoorenbeeck
/
K. Fayad
Pre-match prediction
23.91%
FC
31.89%
X
44.2%
HNK ←
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Hajduk Split)
44.2%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.65
1.28
+0.63
1.11
1.28
+0.17
xG dominance was balanced (1.28 – 1.28).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
N. Steffen
89'
G
N. Steffen
89'
G
2
Olivier Mambwa
89'
D
Olivier Mambwa
89'
D
19
J. Bamert
89'
D
J. Bamert
89'
D
23
M. Bürki
89'
D
M. Bürki
89'
D
47
F. Fehr
89'
D
F. Fehr
89'
D
30
N. Maier
70'
M
N. Maier
70'
M
14
M. Käit
89'
M
M. Käit
89'
M
16
J. Roth
78'
M
J. Roth
78'
M
70
N. Reichmuth
83'
M
N. Reichmuth
83'
M
9
F. Dursun
70'
F
F. Dursun
70'
F
96
B. Labeau
78'
F
B. Labeau
78'
F
Bench
52
Adam Ilic
M
Adam Ilic
M
22
Dario Walti
G
Dario Walti
G
21
Dorian Derbaci
11'
M
Dorian Derbaci
11'
M
37
L. Dähler
D
L. Dähler
D
54
L. Passavant
D
L. Passavant
D
5
N. Bürgy
D
N. Bürgy
D
26
N. Christoffersson
19'
F
N. Christoffersson
19'
F
13
N. Zoukit
19'
M
N. Zoukit
19'
M
20
R. Braschi
11'
F
R. Braschi
11'
F
80
S. Lengen
6'
F
S. Lengen
6'
F
25
T. Spycher
G
T. Spycher
G
18
T. Strannegård
M
T. Strannegård
M
33
T. Silić
89'
G
T. Silić
89'
G
32
Š. Hrgović
89'
D
Š. Hrgović
89'
D
15
D. Marešić
89'
D
D. Marešić
89'
D
6
D. Hadžikadunić
89'
D
D. Hadžikadunić
89'
D
22
M. Acapandié
89'
D
M. Acapandié
89'
D
20
Alberto del Moral
78'
M
Alberto del Moral
78'
M
8
K. Fayad
85'
M
K. Fayad
85'
M
23
M. Šotiček
71'
M
M. Šotiček
71'
M
9
Dali
1 ⚽
89'
M
Dali
1 ⚽
89'
M
7
A. Sanyang
85'
M
A. Sanyang
85'
M
11
M. Šego
78'
F
M. Šego
78'
F
Bench
26
A. Guram
M
A. Guram
M
16
A. Sutalo
M
A. Sutalo
M
5
A. Van Hoorenbeeck
4'
D
A. Van Hoorenbeeck
4'
D
77
Carlos Martín
4'
F
Carlos Martín
4'
F
99
D. Fesyuk
G
D. Fesyuk
G
17
D. Melnjak
18'
D
D. Melnjak
18'
D
44
D. Stipica
G
D. Stipica
G
19
E. Brruti
M
E. Brruti
M
18
L. Dendoncker
11'
M
L. Dendoncker
11'
M
10
M. Livaja
11'
F
M. Livaja
11'
F
3
Roko Gabrić
D
Roko Gabrić
D
14
R. Raci
D
R. Raci
D
Best on the pitch
T. Silić
G · HNK
7.90
· 36 pass
D. Hadžikadunić
D · HNK
7.60
· 39 pass
A. Sanyang
M · HNK
7.30
· 17 pass
Alberto del Moral
M · HNK
7.30
· 35 pass
N. Reichmuth
M · FC
7.30
1 shots
· 24 pass
Dali
M · HNK
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
FC Thun — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Steffen | G | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Olivier Mambwa | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bamert | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 40% | — | — | — |
| M. Bürki | D | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Fehr | D | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 25% | 6 | — | — |
| N. Maier | M | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Käit | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Roth | M | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Reichmuth | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 13% | 7 | 1 | — |
| F. Dursun | F | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Labeau | F | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Dorian Derbaci | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Christoffersson | F | 19 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| N. Zoukit | M | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| R. Braschi | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Lengen | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Silić | G | 89 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Š. Hrgović | D | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Marešić | D | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 30% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D. Hadžikadunić | D | 89 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Acapandié | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 48 | 32% | 4 | — | — |
| Alberto del Moral | M | 78 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| K. Fayad | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 32% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Šotiček | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Dali | M | 89 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Sanyang | M | 85 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Šego | F | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Van Hoorenbeeck | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Martín | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| D. Melnjak | D | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Dendoncker | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Livaja | F | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The final score was FC Thun 0–1 HNK Hajduk Split.
What did the model predict before FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The model assigned 23% probability to a FC Thun win, 31% to a draw, and 44% to an HNK Hajduk Split win.