Europa League
· Play-offs
August 27, 2026 20:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Lech Poznan, result Draw
S. Lengen
(ast. F. Dursun)
22'
F. Dursun
(ast. N. Maier)
43'
17'
(ast. L. Palma)
R. Gumny
68'
(ast. M. Lis)
P. Walemark
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lech Poznan a 59% win probability (draw 19%, FC Thun 21%). The final result was FC Thun 2–2 Lech Poznan. In 1 previous meetings, FC Thun have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lech Poznan.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
3
39%
Possession
61%
6
Corners
3
Match Events
17'
ast. L. Palma ·
R. Gumny⚽
⚽S. Lengen
· ast. F. Dursun
22'
26'
P. Walemark
/
D. Hakans
N. Maier
32'
40'
G. Berggren
⚽F. Dursun
· ast. N. Maier
43'
T. Strannegard
/ F. Fehr
46'
F. Saiz
/ J. Roth
46'
46'
R. Murawski
/
A. Kozubal
53'
P. Walemark
N. Maier
/ A. Ilic
56'
F. Dursun
/ R. Braschi
61'
67'
P. Rodriguez
/
A. Sayyadmanesh
68'
ast. M. Lis ·
P. Walemark⚽
S. Lengen
/ N. Reichmuth
73'
L. Passavant
75'
80'
T. Yegbe
/
W. Monka
80'
F. Jagiello
/
Y. Agnero
90'+1
M. Skrzypczak
Pre-match prediction
21.12%
FC
19.44%
X ←
59.43%
Lech
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
19.44%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.05
—
—
3.16
—
—
Lineups
25
T. Spycher
G
T. Spycher
G
16
T. Strannegård
D
T. Strannegård
D
23
M. Bürki
D
M. Bürki
D
54
L. Passavant
D
L. Passavant
D
37
L. Dähler
D
L. Dähler
D
21
Dorian Derbaci
M
Dorian Derbaci
M
13
N. Zoukit
M
N. Zoukit
M
8
F. Saiz
M
F. Saiz
M
30
N. Maier
1 👟
F
N. Maier
1 👟
F
9
F. Dursun
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
F. Dursun
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
80
S. Lengen
1 ⚽
F
S. Lengen
1 ⚽
F
Bench
52
Adam Ilic
M
Adam Ilic
M
96
B. Labeau
F
B. Labeau
F
22
Dario Walti
G
47
F. Fehr
D
F. Fehr
D
19
J. Bamert
D
J. Bamert
D
16
J. Roth
M
J. Roth
M
5
N. Bürgy
D
N. Bürgy
D
70
N. Reichmuth
M
N. Reichmuth
M
1
N. Steffen
G
N. Steffen
G
21
R. Braschi
F
R. Braschi
F
1
M. Lis
1 👟
G
M. Lis
1 👟
G
15
M. Gurgul
D
M. Gurgul
D
72
M. Skrzypczak
D
M. Skrzypczak
D
27
W. Mońka
D
W. Mońka
D
20
R. Gumny
1 ⚽
D
R. Gumny
1 ⚽
D
4
G. Berggren
M
G. Berggren
M
43
A. Kozubal
M
A. Kozubal
M
11
D. Håkans
M
D. Håkans
M
77
L. Palma
1 👟
M
L. Palma
1 👟
M
17
A. Sayyadmanesh
M
A. Sayyadmanesh
M
7
Y. Agnero
F
Y. Agnero
F
Bench
24
F. Jagiełło
M
F. Jagiełło
M
2
Joel Pereira
D
Joel Pereira
D
53
Karol Delikat
M
Karol Delikat
M
35
M. Pruchniewski
G
M. Pruchniewski
G
21
Pablo Rodríguez
M
Pablo Rodríguez
M
10
P. Wålemark
1 ⚽
M
P. Wålemark
1 ⚽
M
22
R. Murawski
M
R. Murawski
M
59
T. Yegbe
D
T. Yegbe
D
31
Wiktor Obremski
G
Wiktor Obremski
G
56
W. Szymczak
F
W. Szymczak
F
FC Thun — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Spycher | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Strannegård | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Bürki | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Passavant | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Dähler | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dorian Derbaci | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Zoukit | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Saiz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Maier | F | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Dursun | F | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Lengen | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lech Poznan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lis | G | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Gurgul | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Skrzypczak | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Mońka | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Gumny | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Berggren | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kozubal | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Håkans | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Palma | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Sayyadmanesh | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Agnero | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Thun vs Lech Poznan?
The final score was FC Thun 2–2 Lech Poznan.
What did the model predict before FC Thun vs Lech Poznan?
The model assigned 21% probability to a FC Thun win, 19% to a draw, and 59% to an Lech Poznan win.