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FC Thun - SV Elversberg

Friendlies Clubs July 11, 2026 12:30
FC Thun
vs
SV Elversberg
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.42%
Win
FC Thun
30.08%
Draw
30.5%
Win
SV Elversberg
4.5
Expected xG
1.51
Most likely result 4–1 (6.3%)
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
94%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Thun a 39% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for SV Elversberg. Expected goals are 4.5 for FC Thun and 1.5 for SV Elversberg (total 6.0), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 4–1 at 6.3% probability.

Season Stats

FC Thun
2W 0D 0L
SV Elversberg
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
5.5
Goals
3.7
0.5
Conceded
3.3
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
67%
50%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
100%
O 1.5
84%
O 2.5
84%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
FC Thun
2W 0D 0L · at home
SV Elversberg
2W 0D 1L · away
5.5
gls/g
3.7
0.5
Conceded
3.3
100%
Win %
67%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
67%
100%
O 3.5
67%
50%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FC Thun SV Elversberg →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% —
1 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
2 2.5% 3.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
3 3.7% 5.6% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.2% 6.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
5 3.8% 5.7% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%

Recent form

FC Thun FC Thun
W FC WIL 1900 7–1
W Rapperswil 4–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg
W 1899 Hoffenheim 3–5
L Eintracht Trier 2–0
W FC Basel 1893 5–6
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

FC Thun FC Thun
Attack
100
Defence
87
Form
94
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg
Attack
68
Defence
26
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Thun vs SV Elversberg?
The model gives FC Thun a 39% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 30% for an SV Elversberg win.
How many goals are expected in FC Thun vs SV Elversberg?
Expected goals: FC Thun 4.5, SV Elversberg 1.5 (total 6.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in FC Thun vs SV Elversberg?
4–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.3%.