FC Thun - Vikingur Reykjavik
Europa League
August 06, 2026 19:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.56%
Win
FC Thun
26.36%
Draw
41.08%
Win
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.86
2.36
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(9.05%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
26%
2
41%
Double Chance
1X
59%
X2
67%
12
74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
71%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Vikingur Reykjavik a 41% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 32% for FC Thun. Expected goals are 1.9 for FC Thun and 2.4 for Vikingur Reykjavik (total 4.2), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.05% probability.
Season Stats
5W
3D
7L
12W
1D
2L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
3.1
1.9
Conceded
0.9
4.7
Shots OT
2.0
5.9
Corners
4.0
44%
Poss.
38%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
93%
67%
O 2.5
73%
80%
BTTS
53%
0%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
60%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
6W
2D
2L
· at home
7W
1D
2L
· away
2.6
gls/g
2.7
1.7
Conceded
1.0
60%
Win %
70%
80%
Win or Draw
80%
80%
O 1.5
100%
70%
O 2.5
70%
60%
O 3.5
60%
80%
BTTS
60%
10%
Clean Sht
30%
10%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ FC Thun
Vikingur Reykjavik →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| 2 | 2.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Recent form
Playing profile
FC Thun
Attack
46
Defence
47
Form
54
Vikingur Reykjavik
Attack
50
Defence
67
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik?
The model gives FC Thun a 32% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 41% for an Vikingur Reykjavik win.
How many goals are expected in FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik?
Expected goals: FC Thun 1.9, Vikingur Reykjavik 2.4 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.05%.